When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
10 games · 2023 · Florida International · pick one to list those games
50% went over. Of the 5 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 60% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 0% of games.
All 10 games
2023 · Florida International · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 · Week 13 |
WKU -11 | 54 | 21415569 | Q3 | WKU Q1 | 41–28 |
2023 · Week 12 |
ARK -26.5 | 50 | 20445864 | Q3 | FIU Q1 | 20–44 |
2023 · Week 11 |
MTSU -10.5 | 51.5 | 17373746 | U | MTSU Q1 | 6–40 |
2023 · Week 9 |
JXST -9 | 48 | 21274357 | Q4 | JXST Q1 | 41–16 |
2023 · Week 8 |
SHSU -5.5 | 42 | 320274060 | OT | FIU Q1 Late over |
33–27 |
2023 · Week 7 |
FIU -3.5 | 42.5 | 21313841 | U | UTEP Q1 | 27–14 |
2023 · Week 4 |
LIB -10 | 54.5 | 20304444 | U | LIB Q2 | 38–6 |
2023 · Week 3 |
CONN -7 | 43.5 | 10273441 | U | FIU Q1 | 24–17 |
2023 · Week 2 |
UNT -11 | 53 | 17376585 | Q3 | FIU Q1 | 39–46 |
 ME @  FIU2023 · Week 1 |
FIU -15 | 46 | 10202626 | U | ME Q1 | 12–14 |
WKU
ARK
MTSU
JXST
SHSU
UTEP
LIB
CONN
UNTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 90% 9
Q2 10% 1
Q3 0% 0
Q4 0% 0
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 89% and covered 67% of 9 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 100% and covered 80% of 10 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 1 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.