Orleans Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
SF -3.5✓ ORST covered by 4.5
SF -3.5✓ ORST covered by 4.5Closing total144.5Over by 10.5
| SF | This season | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| 16-15 | Record | 16-15 |
| 14-17 | ATS | 14-17 |
| 16-15 | O/U | 18-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SF 75–71 ORST · ✗ SF (64%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 32 | 45 | 77 |
| ORST | 30 | 48 | 78 |
1st half: SF 32, ORST 30 (SF by 2). The model had SF by 2.5 and a total of 68.3 (actual 62).
Team stats
| SF | ORST | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 11-28 39% | 3-pointers | 11-24 46% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 36 15 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 18 |
| 11 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley G | 35 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| David Fuchs F | 35 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 34 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 10-20 | 3-8 |
| Legend Smiley G | 32 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Junjie Wang F | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mookie Cook F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Blakely Drummond, Weilun Zhao, Veniamin Abosi, Aidan Braccia, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva
| ORST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake II G | 34 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 5-12 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Sy G | 32 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Jorge Diaz-Graham F | 25 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Olavi Suutela F | 19 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Johan Munch F | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dez White G | 35 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 6-8 |
| Noah Amenhauser C | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Yaak Yaak C | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Keziah Ekissi G | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Matija Samar G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Malcolm Christie, Stephen Olowoniyi, Kaan Yarkut, Daisean Williford, Gavin Marrs
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -3.5
ModelSF -4.0
Model edgeSF +0.5
L ORST covered
Total
Market144.5
Model146.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
W Over
Projected score
SF 75 · ORST 71.1
SF 77 · ORST 78
Win probability
SF 64%
1st half
Spread
SF -2.5
SF -2.0
Total
68.3
62 points
Projected score
SF 35.4 · ORST 32.9
SF 32 · ORST 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -3.5
no move
CloseSF -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 2
Close144.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SF -180 · ORST +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -3.5 · unchangedmodel SF -4
model SF -4
Opened 142.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| ORST | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SF 2–2 ORSTSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · ORST has won the last 2 meetings · SF 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | ORST 90 @ SF 63 | SF -8.5 | ORST W |
| Dec 30, 2025-26 | SF 62 @ ORST 70 | ORST +4.5 | ORST W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | SF 74 @ ORST 72 | ORST -3.5 | SF W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | ORST 70 @ SF 81 | SF -4.5 | SF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Francisco
31 games played
Straight up
16-15
52% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-15
52% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @ SEA | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ORST | L 62-70 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 2 | vs USD | W 74-64 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | vs PORT | W 73-68 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ LMU | L 82-84 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | @ PEPP | W 80-60 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 13 | vs SMC | L 68-82 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 18 | vs WSU | W 85-80 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @ GONZ | L 66-68 | +15.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 28 | @ SCU | L 73-88 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | vs PAC | W 87-82 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 4 | vsLMU | L 75-84 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | @SMC | L 54-79 | +11.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 12 | vsORST | L 63-90 | -8.5 | L −35.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 15 | @USD | W 92-79 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 18 | vsGONZ | L 59-80 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | vsSCU | L 73-94 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @PAC | W 72-61 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 7 | vsPORT | W 82-65 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
+10.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−2.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
−0.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
+12.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
−8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
−0.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
+13.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
−5.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+0.5
4
vsLMU
LMUL 75-84
−17.5
7
@SMC
SMCL 54-79
−13.5
12
vsORST
ORSTL 63-90
−35.5
15
@USD
USDW 92-79
+7.5
18
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-80
−5.5
21
vsSCU
SCUL 73-94
−14.5
28
@PAC
PACW 72-61
+14.5
7
vsPORT
PORTW 82-65
+10.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
−20.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
2
vsUSD
USDW 74-64
−14.5
4
vsPORT
PORTW 73-68
−6.5
8
@LMU
LMUL 82-84
+24.5
10
@PEPP
PEPPW 80-60
−0.5
13
vsSMC
SMCL 68-82
+8.5
18
vsWSU
WSUW 85-80
+18.5
24
@GONZ
GONZL 66-68
−15.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 73-88
+10.5
31
vsPAC
PACW 87-82
+30.5
4
vsLMU
LMUL 75-84
+13.5
7
@SMC
SMCL 54-79
−9.5
12
vsORST
ORSTL 63-90
+12.5
15
@USD
USDW 92-79
+22.5
18
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-80
−12.5
21
vsSCU
SCUL 73-94
+8.5
28
@PAC
PACW 72-61
−9.5
7
vsPORT
PORTW 82-65
+0.5
over 16under 15avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon St
31 games played
Straight up
16-15
52% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NDSU | W 67-65 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 7 | vs UIC | W 76-73 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNT | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 17 | @ ORE | L 75-87 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs EVAN | L 69-73 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs IONA | L 84-91 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs MASS | L 65-73 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 29 | vs CBU | L 69-75 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVM | W 80-58 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs SUU | W 81-70 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 13 | vs MTST | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 17 | vs SHSU | L 75-85 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ ASU | W 78-75 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 28 | vsSCU | L 64-102 | +7.5 | L −30.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 30 | vsSF | W 70-62 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 2 | @PAC | L 53-84 | +4.5 | L −26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | @WSU | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 8 | vsSEA | W 68-55 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 10 | @PORT | L 76-82 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | vsLMU | W 76-70 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vsPAC | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 21 | @SMC | L 51-81 | +19.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | @LMU | W 72-69 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @USD | W 78-76 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | vsWSU | W 74-64 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 7 | vsGONZ | L 61-81 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 12 | @SF | W 90-63 | +8.5 | W +35.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 15 | @SEA | L 50-60 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 21 | vsPEPP | W 83-73 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 25 | vsUSD | W 92-82 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 28 | @SCU | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNDSU
NDSUW 67-65
−7.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 76-73
−3.5
12
vsUNT
UNTW 66-64
−1.5
17
@ORE
OREL 75-87
+1.5
21
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-73
−10.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 84-91
−10.5
24
vsMASS
MASSL 65-73
−11.5
29
vsCBU
CBUL 69-75
−7.5
3
vsUVM
UVMW 80-58
+18.5
6
vsSUU
SUUW 81-70
+0.5
13
vsMTST
MTSTW 67-57
+8.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 75-85
−13.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 78-75
+15.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 64-102
−30.5
30
vsSF
SFW 70-62
+12.5
2
@PAC
PACL 53-84
−26.5
4
@WSU
WSUL 67-81
−7.5
8
vsSEA
SEAW 68-55
+17.5
10
@PORT
PORTL 76-82
−3.5
14
vsLMU
LMUW 76-70
+7.5
17
vsPAC
PACL 64-81
−18.5
21
@SMC
SMCL 51-81
−10.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 72-69
+8.5
31
@USD
USDW 78-76
+5.5
4
vsWSU
WSUW 74-64
+11.5
7
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-81
−0.5
12
@SF
SFW 90-63
+35.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 50-60
−3.5
21
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-73
+0.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 92-82
+3.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 72-93
−5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNDSU
NDSUW 67-65
−12.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 76-73
+2.5
12
vsUNT
UNTW 66-64
−4.5
17
@ORE
OREL 75-87
+20.5
21
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-73
+5.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 84-91
+17.5
24
vsMASS
MASSL 65-73
−11.5
29
vsCBU
CBUL 69-75
+6.5
3
vsUVM
UVMW 80-58
−5.5
6
vsSUU
SUUW 81-70
+4.5
13
vsMTST
MTSTW 67-57
−16.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 75-85
+6.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 78-75
+5.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 64-102
+15.5
30
vsSF
SFW 70-62
−12.5
2
@PAC
PACL 53-84
−0.5
4
@WSU
WSUL 67-81
+7.5
8
vsSEA
SEAW 68-55
−16.5
10
@PORT
PORTL 76-82
+12.5
14
vsLMU
LMUW 76-70
+5.5
17
vsPAC
PACL 64-81
+5.5
21
@SMC
SMCL 51-81
−10.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 72-69
−0.5
31
@USD
USDW 78-76
+3.5
4
vsWSU
WSUW 74-64
−9.5
7
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-81
−7.5
12
@SF
SFW 90-63
+12.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 50-60
−26.5
21
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-73
+7.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 92-82
+29.5
28
@SCU
SCUL 72-93
+11.5
over 18under 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Francisco
16-15 overall · 9-10 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Portland82–65
- W@ Pacific72–61
- Lvs Santa Clara73–94
- Lvs Gonzaga59–80
- W@ San Diego92–79
1 day since their last game.
Oregon St
16-15 overall · 9-9 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Clara72–93
- Wvs San Diego92–82
- Wvs Pepperdine83–73
- L@ Seattle U50–60
- W@ San Francisco90–63
A week or more of rest.