Freedom Hall (TN) · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
HPU -14.5✓ UNCA covered by 10.5
HPU -14.5✓ UNCA covered by 10.5Closing total147.5Under by 1.5
 UNCA | This season | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-16 | Record | 25-4 |
| 14-14 | ATS | 13-16 |
| 15-13 | O/U | 19-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCA 71–83 HPU · ✓ HPU (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCA | 34 | 37 | 71 |
| HPU | 33 | 42 | 75 |
1st half: UNCA 34, HPU 33 (UNCA by 1). The model had HPU by 7.2 and a total of 71.7 (actual 67).
Team stats
| UNCA | HPU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-56 43% | Field goals | 26-57 46% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 8-27 30% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 40 12 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 11 |
| 2 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Thomas F | 40 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kam Taylor G | 40 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 4-14 | 1-8 |
| Justin Wright G | 39 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 6-14 | 1-2 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 39 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 10-20 | 2-5 |
| Myles Mayfield F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julian Clarke PG | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| DJ Patrick G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brayden Rivers, Hugo Maton, David Hermes, Mitchell Taylor, Rasheed Baldwin, Corey Jones, Jakel Powell, Connor Dubsky, Sage Tolentino
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Anderson F | 35 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 9-16 | 2-5 |
| Scotty Washington G | 34 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Rob Martin G | 34 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Braden Hausen F | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-7 |
| Owen Aquino F | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Youssouf Singar C | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Chase Johnston G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Conrad Martinez G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Vincent Brady II G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caden Miller F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Birgir Irving, Mavrick Miller, Dorian Grosber, Kasen Krueger, Josh Ibukunoluwa, David Fonville, Liam Carney, Babacar Diallo
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -14.5
ModelHPU -12.2
Model edgeUNCA +2.3
W UNCA covered
Total
Market147.5
Model153.3
Model edgeOver 5.8
L Under
Projected score
UNCA 70.6 · HPU 82.8
UNCA 71 · HPU 75
Win probability
HPU 86%
1st half
Spread
HPU -7.2
UNCA -1.0
Total
71.7
67 points
Projected score
UNCA 32.3 · HPU 39.4
UNCA 34 · HPU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHPU -11.5
3 → HPU
CloseHPU -14.5
3 pts toward HPU
Total
Open149.5
▼ 2
Close147.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNCA +750 · HPU -1200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HPU -11.5 · closed HPU -14.5 · moved 3 toward HPUmodel HPU -12
model HPU -12
Opened 149.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCA | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| HPU | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNCA 4–5 HPUHPU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · HPU has won the last 3 meetings · UNCA 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025-26 | UNCA 48 @ HPU 74 | HPU -14.5 | HPU W |
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | HPU 87 @ UNCA 69 | UNCA +10.5 | HPU W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UNCA 100 @ HPU 104 | HPU -8.5 | UNCA W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | HPU 99 @ UNCA 103 | UNCA +3.5 | UNCA W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | HPU 81 @ UNCA 86 | UNCA -0.5 | UNCA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Asheville
28 games played
Straight up
12-16
43% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ GASO | L 90-93 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIP | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ WCU | L 73-80 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs TNST | L 73-75 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs APP | W 67-55 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCG | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCSU | L 63-75 | +28.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs M-OH | L 87-90 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs STMN | L 59-80 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @ UAB | L 47-72 | +13.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 31 | vsHPU | L 69-87 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | @ CHSO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | vs LONG | W 72-61 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ RAD | W 91-72 | +4.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 14 | @ PRES | L 70-71 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs WIN | L 67-69 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 21 | @ UPST | W 83-69 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vs GWEB | W 69-50 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @WIN | L 71-84 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 4 | vsUPST | W 76-67 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 12 | @LONG | W 79-74 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsPRES | L 57-58 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 19 | @HPU | L 48-74 | +14.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 21 | vsRAD | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 26 | @GWEB | W 77-71 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 28 | vsCHSO | L 75-92 | -4.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 6 | vsLONG | W 85-82 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−10.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+2.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−1.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
−8.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−7.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
+10.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+0.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
+16.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+3.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−17.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−11.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
−7.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+1.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
+8.5
10
@RAD
RADW 91-72
+23.5
14
@PRES
PRESL 70-71
−3.5
17
vsWIN
WINL 67-69
+3.5
21
@UPST
UPSTW 83-69
+15.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 69-50
+1.5
31
@WIN
WINL 71-84
−3.5
4
vsUPST
UPSTW 76-67
+2.5
12
@LONG
LONGW 79-74
+7.5
14
vsPRES
PRESL 57-58
−6.5
19
@HPU
HPUL 48-74
−11.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 74-73
−1.5
26
@GWEB
GWEBW 77-71
−6.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 75-92
−21.5
6
vsLONG
LONGW 85-82
+4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−24.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+20.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−25.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
+0.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−16.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
−15.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+15.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
−17.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+24.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−9.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−32.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
+4.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+17.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
−15.5
10
@RAD
RADW 91-72
+11.5
14
@PRES
PRESL 70-71
+2.5
17
vsWIN
WINL 67-69
−16.5
21
@UPST
UPSTW 83-69
+6.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 69-50
−30.5
31
@WIN
WINL 71-84
+7.5
4
vsUPST
UPSTW 76-67
+3.5
12
@LONG
LONGW 79-74
+11.5
14
vsPRES
PRESL 57-58
−22.5
19
@HPU
HPUL 48-74
−30.5
21
vsRAD
RADW 74-73
−2.5
26
@GWEB
GWEBW 77-71
+2.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 75-92
+18.5
6
vsLONG
LONGW 85-82
+26.5
over 15under 13avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
High Point
29 games played
Straight up
25-4
86% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-10
66% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs JAX | W 85-64 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | @UAB | L 74-91 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs CAN | W 93-50 | -23.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIC | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIW | W 91-80 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 29 | vsWCU | W 93-73 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 3 | vs SIU | L 84-86 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs NJIT | W 89-72 | -28.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | vsAPP | L 78-86 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs LAS | W 84-72 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs BRY | W 93-47 | -19.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 31 | @UNCA | W 87-69 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | vsLONG | W 80-67 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | vsGWEB | W 104-49 | -26.5 | W +28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | @CHSO | W 84-82 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @WIN | L 75-92 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsUPST | W 89-69 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 23 | @RAD | W 93-83 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 29 | vsPRES | W 84-81 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @LONG | W 71-59 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vsCHSO | W 80-55 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vsRAD | W 86-77 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @UPST | W 95-70 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @GWEB | W 112-87 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 19 | vsUNCA | W 74-48 | -14.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 21 | vsWIN | W 89-87 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 26 | @PRES | W 79-73 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 6 | vsGWEB | W 81-59 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+3.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
−11.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
−11.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
−20.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
−1.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
+26.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+7.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−3.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
+28.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
−6.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
−19.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+3.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+2.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
−11.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
+2.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
+10.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
−5.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
−0.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
+11.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
−7.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
−6.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−5.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+6.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
+7.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
+5.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
+19.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
+6.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
−13.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+4.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−13.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
−9.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
+2.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
+4.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+5.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+10.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
+15.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
−26.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
−27.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
+0.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
+37.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
−30.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
+9.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
+0.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−15.5
over 19under 10avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Asheville
12-16 overall · 9-8 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Longwood85–82
- Lvs Charleston So75–92
- W@ Gardner-Webb77–71
- Wvs Radford74–73
- L@ High Point48–74
1 day since their last game.
High Point
25-4 overall · 16-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Gardner-Webb81–59
- W@ Presbyterian79–73
- Wvs Winthrop89–87
- Wvs UNC Asheville74–48
- W@ Gardner-Webb112–87
1 day since their last game.