Acrisure Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
SF -5.5✓ NEV covered by 21.5
SF -5.5✓ NEV covered by 21.5Closing total142.5Over by 3.5
| SF | This season | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 4-3 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 2-5 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SF 74–72 NEV · ✗ SF (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 37 | 28 | 65 |
| NEV | 38 | 43 | 81 |
1st half: SF 37, NEV 38 (NEV by 1). The model had SF by 1.4 and a total of 68.6 (actual 75).
Team stats
| SF | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-49 39% | Field goals | 30-63 48% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 7-14 50% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 29 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley G | 31 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 24 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Junjie Wang F | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 14 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mookie Cook F | 27 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-2 |
| David Fuchs F | 24 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Legend Smiley G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Veniamin Abosi F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Weilun Zhao G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Braccia G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Blakely Drummond, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 33 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 7-14 | 2-4 |
| Elijah Price F | 28 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 23 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Chuck Bailey III G | 22 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vaughn Weems G | 24 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Peyton White G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-2 |
| Ethan Croley F | 18 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Myles Walker G | 16 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Amire Robinson G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeriah Coleman C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christopher Baudreau, Joel Armotrading, Tyler Rolison
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -5.5
ModelSF -2.0
Model edgeNEV +3.5
W NEV covered
Total
Market142.5
Model146.5
Model edgeOver 4.0
W Over
Projected score
SF 74.3 · NEV 72.3
SF 65 · NEV 81
Win probability
SF 57%
1st half
Spread
SF -1.4
NEV -1.0
Total
68.6
75 points
Projected score
SF 35 · NEV 33.6
SF 37 · NEV 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -5.5
no move
CloseSF -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▼ 2
Close142.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -5.5 · unchangedmodel SF -2
model SF -2
Opened 144.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
| NEVlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SF 1–0 NEVSF leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SF 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021-22 | NEV 70 @ SF 73 | SF -6.5 | NEV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Francisco
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vs
PRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vs
BRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vs
NWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vs
MINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vs
COLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
over 2under 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nevada
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +8.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vs
PAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vs
SIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@
SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vs
UCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vs
UCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vs
WASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
over 5under 2avg +8.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Francisco
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Colorado69–79
- Wvs Minnesota77–65
- Wvs N'Western St84–64
- Wvs Bradley75–64
- Wvs Portland St80–70
1 day since their last game.
Nevada
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Washington66–83
- Wvs Santa Barbara77–64
- Lvs UC Davis71–75
- L@ Santa Clara83–98
- Wvs S Illinois86–81
1 day since their last game.