CEFCU Arena · at Illinois St · Conference game
Closing line
ILST -10.5✓ UIC covered by 14.5
ILST -10.5✓ UIC covered by 14.5Closing total141.5Under by 19.5
 UIC | This season | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| 4-10 | Record | 11-4 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 10-5 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UIC 66–77 ILST · ✗ ILST (84%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UIC | 28 | 23 | 12 | 63 |
| ILST | 25 | 26 | 8 | 59 |
1st half: UIC 28, ILST 25 (UIC by 3). The model had ILST by 6.7 and a total of 67.2 (actual 53).
Team stats
| UIC | ILST | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 17-62 27% |
| 3-14 21% | 3-pointers | 8-35 23% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 44 12 off | Rebounds | 39 15 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UIC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Johnson G | 34 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Ahmad Henderson II G | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Mekhi Lowery G | 22 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Jayce Nathaniel F | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Rashund Washington Jr. G | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Crawford G | 32 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Sam Silverstein G | 30 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Abdul Momoh F | 29 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Hammons G | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Ante Beljan F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nano Barrantes, AJ Morgan, Tai Walters-Whitaker, Carlos Harris III, Chris Walker
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger G | 42 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 2-14 | 1-9 |
| Ty Pence G | 35 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-3 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 33 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-12 | 1-8 |
| Chase Walker F | 32 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 0-6 | 0-0 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 26 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mason Klabo G | 23 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Landon Wolf G | 15 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Landon Moore G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Nick Allen, Isaac Ericksen, Ty Blake, Cameron Barnes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketILST -10.5
ModelILST -11.4
Model edgeILST +0.9
L UIC covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
L Under
Projected score
UIC 66 · ILST 77.4
UIC 63 · ILST 59
Win probability
ILST 84%
1st half
Spread
ILST -6.7
UIC -3.0
Total
67.2
53 points
Projected score
UIC 30.3 · ILST 36.9
UIC 28 · ILST 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenILST -12.5
2 → UIC
CloseILST -10.5
2 pts toward UIC
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UIC +500 · ILST -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ILST -12.5 · closed ILST -10.5 · moved 2 toward UICmodel ILST -11.5
model ILST -11.5
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIC | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| ILST | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
UIC 3–3 ILSTSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · UIC 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | ILST 81 @ UIC 79 | UIC -3.5 | ILST W |
| Dec 29, 2024-25 | UIC 73 @ ILST 67 | ILST -4.5 | UIC W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | UIC 61 @ ILST 56 | ILST -4.5 | UIC W |
| Nov 30, 2023-24 | ILST 69 @ UIC 64 | UIC -5.5 | ILST W |
| Feb 1, 2022-23 | UIC 62 @ ILST 68 | ILST -4.5 | ILST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UIC
14 games played
Straight up
4-10
29% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DETM | W 91-71 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ ORST | L 73-76 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ CHST | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs HPU | L 80-90 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs USI | W 84-73 | -11.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | @ RMU | L 74-88 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs UAPB | L 62-63 | -16.5 | L −17.5 | 163.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 7 | @ YALE | L 66-80 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 13 | @ BEL | L 84-87 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs UNI | L 54-60 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 21 | @ CLT | L 76-88 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 1 | vs MUR | L 77-81 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 4 | @ VAL | L 59-66 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 7 | vs SIU | W 70-57 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDETM
DETMW 91-71
+10.5
7
@ORST
ORSTL 73-76
+3.5
15
@CHST
CHSTW 67-63
−5.5
20
vsHPU
HPUL 80-90
+0.5
22
vsUSI
USIW 84-73
−0.5
26
@RMU
RMUL 74-88
−15.5
3
vsUAPB
UAPBL 62-63
−17.5
7
@YALE
YALEL 66-80
−1.5
13
@BEL
BELL 84-87
+9.5
17
vsUNI
UNIL 54-60
−0.5
21
@CLT
CLTL 76-88
−10.5
1
vsMUR
MURL 77-81
+1.5
4
@VAL
VALL 59-66
−4.5
7
vsSIU
SIUW 70-57
+14.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDETM
DETMW 91-71
+19.5
7
@ORST
ORSTL 73-76
+2.5
15
@CHST
CHSTW 67-63
−26.5
20
vsHPU
HPUL 80-90
+11.5
22
vsUSI
USIW 84-73
+3.5
26
@RMU
RMUL 74-88
+10.5
3
vsUAPB
UAPBL 62-63
−38.5
7
@YALE
YALEL 66-80
−2.5
13
@BEL
BELL 84-87
+16.5
17
vsUNI
UNIL 54-60
−19.5
21
@CLT
CLTL 76-88
+26.5
1
vsMUR
MURL 77-81
−1.5
4
@VAL
VALL 59-66
−19.5
7
vsSIU
SIUW 70-57
−19.5
over 7under 7avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Illinois St
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vsCLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vsCHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 18 | @SIU | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs INST | W 85-65 | -13.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 29 | @ DRKE | W 73-56 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 1 | vs EVAN | W 73-47 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 7 | @VAL | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
+8.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
+6.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
+12.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
+13.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
−12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
18
@SIU
SIUW 75-68
−10.5
21
vsINST
INSTW 85-65
−2.5
29
@DRKE
DRKEW 73-56
−16.5
1
vsEVAN
EVANW 73-47
−24.5
7
@VAL
VALL 71-77
+9.5
over 6under 9avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UIC
4-10 overall · 1-4 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs S Illinois70–57
- L@ Valparaiso59–66
- Lvs Murray St77–81
- L@ Charlotte76–88
- Lvs Northern Iowa54–60
3 days since their last game.
Illinois St
11-4 overall · 4-1 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Valparaiso71–77
- Wvs Evansville73–47
- W@ Drake73–56
- Wvs Indiana St85–65
- W@ S Illinois75–68
3 days since their last game.