Hulman Center · at Indiana St · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -7.5✓ INST covered by 8.5
BEL -7.5✓ INST covered by 8.5Closing total159.5Over by 1.5
| BEL | This season | INST |
|---|---|---|
| 11-1 | Record | 5-6 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 5-7 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BEL 83–77 INST · ✗ BEL (70%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 41 | 30 | 9 | 80 |
| INST | 36 | 35 | 10 | 81 |
1st half: BEL 41, INST 36 (BEL by 5). The model had BEL by 3.7 and a total of 74.8 (actual 77).
Team stats
| BEL | INST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-63 43% | Field goals | 28-61 46% |
| 12-29 41% | 3-pointers | 12-30 40% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 13-26 50% |
| 37 10 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 24 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 8 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 41 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 8-17 | 7-14 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 38 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Nic McClain G | 31 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 26 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah West G | 21 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 20 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Jack Smiley G | 18 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-8 | 0-5 |
| Win Miller G | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Keith Robbins, Graydon Lemke, Sam Orme, Jake Dykstra, Cooper Haynes, Aidan Noyes
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Wagner G | 39 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 5-8 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 35 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Ian Scott F | 35 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Xavier Hall G | 32 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Derek Vorst C | 28 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sterling Young G | 24 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Enel St. Bernard F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Harding C | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bruno Alocen G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Caden Huttenlocker, Martin Kaupanger, Jayan Walker, Sivert Waerstad Nordheim, Cooper Bean, Zyair Greene, Markus Harding
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -8.5
1 → INST
CloseBEL -7.5
1 pt toward INST
Total
Open156.5
▲ 3
Close159.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
BEL -340 · INST +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -8.5 · closed BEL -7.5 · moved 1 toward INSTmodel BEL -6
model BEL -6
Opened 156.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 upmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BEL -7.5 | BEL -5.9 | INST +1.6 | W INST covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 159.9 | Over 0.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BEL 82.9 · INST 77 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BEL -3.7 | BEL -5.0 |
| 1H total | 74.8 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | BEL 39.3 · INST 35.6 | BEL 41 · INST 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| INST | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
BEL 3–3 INSTSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · BEL has won the last 2 meetings · BEL 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | INST 75 @ BEL 77 | BEL -5.5 | INST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | BEL 84 @ INST 79 | INST -3.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | INST 78 @ BEL 72 | BEL +8.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | BEL 64 @ INST 94 | INST -11.5 | INST W |
| Mar 3, 2022-23 | INST 94 vs BEL 91 | BEL +2.5 | INST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Belmont
12 games played
Straight up
11-1
92% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs UIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @ EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
over 5under 7avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana St
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLT | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ SIUE | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ DUKE | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs LT | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs BALL | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @LT | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs ALCN | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs USI | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ MILW | W 70-68 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs BRAD | L 99-108 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 207 |
| Dec 21 | @ ILST | L 65-85 | +13.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+0.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
−19.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
+10.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
+4.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
−3.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+6.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
+2.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
−26.5
14
@MILW
MILWW 70-68
−21.5
18
vsBRAD
BRADL 99-108
+56.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 65-85
−2.5
over 4under 7avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Belmont
11-1 overall · 2-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UC Irvine84–58
- W@ Evansville83–78
- Wvs UIC87–84
- W@ MTSU83–62
- Lvs Richmond76–84
A week or more of rest.
Indiana St
5-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Illinois St65–85
- Lvs Bradley99–108
- W@ Milwaukee70–68
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles77–55
- Lvs Alcorn St74–81
A week or more of rest.