Banterra Center · at S Illinois
Closing line
SIU -8.5✓ SIU covered by 20.5
SIU -8.5✓ SIU covered by 20.5Closing total146.5Under by 9.5
 UTM | This season | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 4-4 |
| 5-2 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTM 70–79 SIU · ✓ SIU (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTM | 27 | 27 | 54 |
| SIU | 34 | 49 | 83 |
1st half: UTM 27, SIU 34 (SIU by 7). The model had SIU by 5.0 and a total of 69.8 (actual 61).
Team stats
| UTM | SIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-56 34% | Field goals | 32-56 57% |
| 8-32 25% | 3-pointers | 5-13 38% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 36 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| UTM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Petkovski G | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-7 |
| Andrija Bukumirovic F | 30 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Matas Deniusas F | 25 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Damien King G | 22 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Filip Radakovic G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Afan Trnka G | 25 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Lamine Niang C | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Vladimir Khryapa F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ty Price G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Pedro Santos G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Ama Sow F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| AJ Hopkins F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Dragos Lungu, Charlie King, James Bass, Enrique Moya, Will Hopkins, Luca Colceag, Lucas Williams
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 26 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Drew Steffe G | 24 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 23 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Quel'Ron House G | 23 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Max Pikaar F | 25 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Davion Sykes G | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Haynes G | 21 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-1 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaheem Webber C | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Caden Hawkins G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Stafford, Luke Walsh, Daniel Pauliukonis
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIU -8.5
ModelSIU -8.6
Model edgeSIU +0.1
W SIU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model149.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
L Under
Projected score
UTM 70.3 · SIU 78.9
UTM 54 · SIU 83
Win probability
SIU 77%
1st half
Spread
SIU -5.0
SIU -7.0
Total
69.8
61 points
Projected score
UTM 32.4 · SIU 37.4
UTM 27 · SIU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIU -10.5
2 → UTM
CloseSIU -8.5
2 pts toward UTM
Total
Open150.5
▼ 4
Close146.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
UTM +360 · SIU -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIU -10.5 · closed SIU -8.5 · moved 2 toward UTMmodel SIU -8.5 matches the line
model SIU -8.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTMlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 5-2 71% | 2-5 29% |
| SIUlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Martin
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +7.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+21.5
12
@
BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+26.5
18
@
FSU
FSUL 73-87
+5.5
22
vs
PV
PVW 69-68
−9.5
23
vs
USM
USML 60-70
−11.5
2
vs
CHSO
CHSOW 73-56
+13.5
7
vs
ALST
ALSTW 74-64
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@UNLV
UNLVW 86-81
+20.5
12
@BRAD
BRADW 78-67
+0.5
18
@FSU
FSUL 73-87
−5.5
22
vsPV
PVW 69-68
−18.5
23
vsUSM
USML 60-70
−16.5
2
vsCHSO
CHSOW 73-56
−18.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 74-64
−6.5
over 2under 5avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
S Illinois
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ NEV | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @ NDSU | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs DEL | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs UAB | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ MEM | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs LR | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ HPU | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
+11.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−5.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−5.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−4.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+11.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
−15.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−7.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−24.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−2.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+7.5
over 4under 4avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Martin
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama St74–64
- Wvs Charleston So73–56
- Lvs Southern Miss60–70
- Wvs Prairie View69–68
- L@ Florida St73–87
3 days since their last game.
S Illinois
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ High Point86–84
- Wvs Little Rock74–65
- L@ Memphis58–74
- Lvs UAB73–81
- Wvs Delaware79–59
A week or more of rest.