Arena-Auditorium · at Wyoming · Conference game
Closing line
USU -9.5✓ WYO covered by 7.5
USU -9.5✓ WYO covered by 7.5Closing total149.5Over by 18.5
| USU | This season | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| 18-3 | Record | 12-10 |
| 10-11 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 11-10 | O/U | 11-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 80–71 WYO · ✓ USU (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 39 | 46 | 85 |
| WYO | 35 | 48 | 83 |
1st half: USU 39, WYO 35 (USU by 4). The model had USU by 5.5 and a total of 70.4 (actual 74).
Team stats
| USU | WYO | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-45 64% | Field goals | 29-64 45% |
| 6-12 50% | 3-pointers | 11-28 39% |
| 21-29 72% | Free throws | 14-16 88% |
| 28 3 off | Rebounds | 27 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 17 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 36 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Mason Falslev G | 34 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 10-14 | 1-1 |
| Drake Allen G | 30 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 30 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Zach Keller F | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garry Clark F | 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Karson Templin F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kolby King G | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Jordy Barnes, Luke Kearney, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
| WYO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khaden Bennett G | 37 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Damarion Dennis G | 34 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 8-13 | 3-6 |
| Leland Walker G | 31 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 6-14 | 0-3 |
| Nasir Meyer G | 27 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Kiani Saxon F | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Adam Harakow G | 22 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Simm-Marten Saadi F | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Uriyah Rojas G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
Did not play: Gavin Gores, Talan Taylor, Neil Summers, Garrett Spielman, Abou Magassa, Matija Belic, Jared Harris
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -9.5
ModelUSU -8.9
Model edgeWYO +0.6
W WYO covered
Total
Market149.5
Model150.5
Model edgeOver 1.0
W Over
Projected score
USU 79.7 · WYO 70.8
USU 85 · WYO 83
Win probability
USU 78%
1st half
Spread
USU -5.5
USU -4.0
Total
70.4
74 points
Projected score
USU 37.9 · WYO 32.5
USU 39 · WYO 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -6.5
3 → USU
CloseUSU -9.5
3 pts toward USU
Total
Open146.5
▲ 3
Close149.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
USU -455 · WYO +350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -6.5 · closed USU -9.5 · moved 3 toward USUmodel USU -9
model USU -9
Opened 146.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 3 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| WYO | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
USU 7–2 WYOUSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · USU has won the last 7 meetings · USU 4-4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025-26 | WYO 62 @ USU 94 | USU -13.5 | USU W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | USU 71 @ WYO 67 | WYO +9.5 | WYO W |
| Dec 4, 2024-25 | WYO 67 @ USU 70 | USU -18.5 | WYO W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | USU 84 @ WYO 76 | WYO +8.5 | WYO W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | WYO 59 @ USU 83 | USU -14.5 | USU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
21 games played
Straight up
18-3
86% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs CSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vs SJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @ AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vs NEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vs UNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vsWYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs SDSU | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @ UNM | W 86-66 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−1.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
+21.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−10.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
−4.5
over 11under 10avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wyoming
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs CSUF | W 92-82 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 11 | vs APSU | W 79-65 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs PORT | W 93-56 | -11.5 | W +25.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ SHSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 23 | vs NORF | W 75-67 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs DEN | W 101-59 | -9.5 | W +32.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 30 | @ TTU | L 72-76 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs DART | W 93-80 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 9 | vs SDAK | W 106-79 | -14.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 15 | vs SDST | W 87-72 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vsGCU | L 70-82 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 30 | @AF | W 68-56 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @UNM | L 58-78 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 6 | vsUNLV | W 98-66 | -4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | @NEV | L 83-92 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | vsSDSU | L 57-74 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @FRES | L 60-63 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 20 | vsBOIS | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 24 | vsSJSU | W 66-62 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 28 | @USU | L 62-94 | +13.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsCSU | W 68-57 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 3 | @SDSU | L 63-72 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsCSUF
CSUFW 92-82
−5.5
11
vsAPSU
APSUW 79-65
+8.5
15
vsPORT
PORTW 93-56
+25.5
19
@SHSU
SHSUL 70-78
−6.5
23
vsNORF
NORFW 75-67
−7.5
26
vsDEN
DENW 101-59
+32.5
30
@TTU
TTUL 72-76
+15.5
6
vsDART
DARTW 93-80
−1.5
9
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-79
+12.5
15
vsSDST
SDSTW 87-72
+11.5
20
vsGCU
GCUL 70-82
−14.5
30
@AF
AFW 68-56
−2.5
3
@UNM
UNML 58-78
−12.5
6
vsUNLV
UNLVW 98-66
+27.5
10
@NEV
NEVL 83-92
−5.5
14
vsSDSU
SDSUL 57-74
−15.5
17
@FRES
FRESL 60-63
−6.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISL 65-81
−14.5
24
vsSJSU
SJSUW 66-62
−9.5
28
@USU
USUL 62-94
−18.5
31
vsCSU
CSUW 68-57
+9.5
3
@SDSU
SDSUL 63-72
+3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsCSUF
CSUFW 92-82
+19.5
11
vsAPSU
APSUW 79-65
−9.5
15
vsPORT
PORTW 93-56
−11.5
19
@SHSU
SHSUL 70-78
−8.5
23
vsNORF
NORFW 75-67
+0.5
26
vsDEN
DENW 101-59
+6.5
30
@TTU
TTUL 72-76
−4.5
6
vsDART
DARTW 93-80
+16.5
9
vsSDAK
SDAKW 106-79
+23.5
15
vsSDST
SDSTW 87-72
+9.5
20
vsGCU
GCUL 70-82
+4.5
30
@AF
AFW 68-56
−22.5
3
@UNM
UNML 58-78
−15.5
6
vsUNLV
UNLVW 98-66
+9.5
10
@NEV
NEVL 83-92
+31.5
14
vsSDSU
SDSUL 57-74
−17.5
17
@FRES
FRESL 60-63
−22.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISL 65-81
+0.5
24
vsSJSU
SJSUW 66-62
−13.5
28
@USU
USUL 62-94
+7.5
31
vsCSU
CSUW 68-57
−17.5
3
@SDSU
SDSUL 63-72
−6.5
over 11under 11avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
18-3 overall · 10-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ New Mexico86–66
- Wvs San Diego St71–66
- Wvs Wyoming94–62
- W@ Colorado St65–61
- Lvs UNLV76–86
3 days since their last game.
Wyoming
12-10 overall · 4-8 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San Diego St63–72
- Wvs Colorado St68–57
- L@ Utah State62–94
- Wvs San José St66–62
- Lvs Boise St65–81
4 days since their last game.