University Credit Union Pavilion · at Saint Mary's · Conference game
Closing line
SMC -24.5✓ SMC covered by 3.5
Closing total144.5Over by 3.5
| This season | SMC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-19 | Record | 20-4 |
| 10-13 | ATS | 14-10 |
| 9-14 | O/U | 11-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PEPP 59–82 SMC · ✓ SMC (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEPP | 29 | 31 | 60 |
| SMC | 48 | 40 | 88 |
1st half: PEPP 29, SMC 48 (SMC by 19). The model had SMC by 13.4 and a total of 66.0 (actual 77).
Team stats
| PEPP | SMC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-67 34% | Field goals | 31-62 50% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 13-25 52% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 13-22 59% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 51 17 off |
| 13 | Assists | 24 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 7 | Blocks | 7 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| PEPP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Styles Phipps G | 31 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 2-11 | 0-2 |
| Aaron Clark G | 30 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-14 | 3-7 |
| Danilo Dozic C | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Javon Cooley G | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-2 |
| Yonatan Levy F | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Vudragovic G | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Stefan Cicic C | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Pavle Stosic F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| David Mager G | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Vladimir Sudar F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Pasha Shemirani F | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Yassine Gharram, Preston Phillips, Ty Virgil, Anto Balian, Nikola Radovanovic
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent G | 31 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 24 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-5 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 7-13 | 3-4 |
| Dillan Shaw G | 21 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-8 | 4-6 |
| Harry Wessels C | 21 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rory Hawke G | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Andrew McKeever C | 17 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Juzenas G | 16 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Liam Campbell G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Tony Duckett G | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Oliver Faubert F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cade Bennett, Kevin Gad, Trent MacLean, Jazz Gardner
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -24.5
no move
CloseSMC -24.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 4
Close144.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
PEPP +2000 · SMC -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -24.5 · unchangedmodel SMC -23
model SMC -23
Opened 140.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 4 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SMC -24.5 | SMC -22.8 | PEPP +1.7 | L SMC covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 140.9 | Under 3.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | PEPP 59.1 · SMC 81.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SMC -13.4 | SMC -19.0 |
| 1H total | 66.0 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | PEPP 26.3 · SMC 39.7 | PEPP 29 · SMC 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | |
| 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PEPP 0–9 SMCSMC leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SMC has won the last 9 meetings · PEPP 1-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025-26 | SMC 72 @ PEPP 45 | PEPP +19.5 | SMC W |
| Mar 10, 2024-25 | PEPP 59 vs SMC 74 | SMC -19.5 | PEPP W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | SMC 74 @ PEPP 50 | PEPP +13.5 | SMC W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | PEPP 41 @ SMC 71 | SMC -17.5 | SMC W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | SMC 83 @ PEPP 57 | PEPP +15.5 | SMC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pepperdine
23 games played
Straight up
4-19
17% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-14
39% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 63-74 | +29.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 81-88 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 60-63 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 53-76 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 69-83 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 63-71 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 56-65 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 70-62 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 78-81 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 84-62 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 28 | vs | L 56-96 | +29.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 30 | vs | L 45-72 | +19.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 63-82 | +20.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 69-74 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 63-83 | +4.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 60-80 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 67-63 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 60-84 | +28.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 79-95 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 88-92 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 81-83 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 59-92 | +7.5 | L −25.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
UCLA
L 63-74
+18.5
15
vs
UNCO
L 81-88
−5.5
18
vs
NOLA
W 90-79
+5.5
21
vs
SFA
L 60-63
−1.5
26
vs
FRES
L 53-76
−20.5
29
@
CSUF
L 69-83
−12.5
2
vs
ACU
L 63-71
−6.5
6
vs
UVM
L 56-65
−7.5
13
@
CSUB
W 70-62
+9.5
18
@
LBSU
L 78-81
+1.5
20
vs
RICE
W 84-62
+23.5
28
vs
GONZ
L 56-96
−10.5
30
vs
SMC
L 45-72
−7.5
2
@
SCU
L 63-82
+1.5
4
@
PAC
L 69-74
+6.5
8
@
USD
L 63-83
−15.5
10
vs
SF
L 60-80
−12.5
14
vs
PORT
W 67-63
+5.5
21
@
GONZ
L 60-84
+4.5
24
@
WSU
L 79-95
−4.5
28
vs
USD
L 88-92
−1.5
4
@
SEA
L 81-83
+10.5
7
vs
PAC
L 59-92
−25.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
UCLA
L 63-74
−15.5
15
vs
UNCO
L 81-88
+15.5
18
vs
NOLA
W 90-79
+11.5
21
vs
SFA
L 60-63
−25.5
26
vs
FRES
L 53-76
−21.5
29
@
CSUF
L 69-83
−9.5
2
vs
ACU
L 63-71
−3.5
6
vs
UVM
L 56-65
−21.5
13
@
CSUB
W 70-62
−15.5
18
@
LBSU
L 78-81
+17.5
20
vs
RICE
W 84-62
+5.5
28
vs
GONZ
L 56-96
−0.5
30
vs
SMC
L 45-72
−24.5
2
@
SCU
L 63-82
−5.5
4
@
PAC
L 69-74
+4.5
8
@
USD
L 63-83
−3.5
10
vs
SF
L 60-80
−0.5
14
vs
PORT
W 67-63
−17.5
21
@
GONZ
L 60-84
−6.5
24
@
WSU
L 79-95
+27.5
28
vs
USD
L 88-92
+28.5
4
@
SEA
L 81-83
+24.5
7
vs
PAC
L 59-92
+8.5
over 9under 14avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Mary's
24 games played
Straight up
20-4
83% wins
Against the spread
14-10
58% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-13
46% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @ | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @ | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 72-45 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 78-57 | -18.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 93-76 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 88-82 | -15.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 13 | @ | W 82-68 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 54-62 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 81-51 | -19.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 75-69 | -14.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 65-73 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 87-60 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 79-54 | -11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
STMN
W 84-58
+12.5
7
vs
UTC
W 87-66
+5.5
11
vs
OHIO
W 90-60
+12.5
14
vs
UNT
W 80-49
+16.5
19
vs
ARST
W 85-72
−7.5
26
vs
WICH
W 70-65
−4.5
27
vs
VT
W 77-66
+5.5
28
vs
VAN
L 71-96
−20.5
7
@
DAV
W 70-61
+0.5
14
vs
BOIS
L 67-68
−3.5
19
vs
FAU
W 88-75
−0.5
22
vs
UNI
W 63-58
−6.5
28
@
LMU
W 78-73
−4.5
30
@
PEPP
W 72-45
+7.5
2
vs
PORT
W 78-57
+2.5
4
vs
SEA
W 93-76
+5.5
10
vs
WSU
W 88-82
−9.5
13
@
SF
W 82-68
+8.5
17
@
SCU
L 54-62
−6.5
21
vs
ORST
W 81-51
+10.5
24
@
PORT
W 75-69
−8.5
31
@
GONZ
L 65-73
+0.5
4
vs
USD
W 87-60
+6.5
7
vs
SF
W 79-54
+13.5
covered 14didn’t cover 10avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
STMN
W 84-58
+0.5
7
vs
UTC
W 87-66
+7.5
11
vs
OHIO
W 90-60
+5.5
14
vs
UNT
W 80-49
+0.5
19
vs
ARST
W 85-72
+7.5
26
vs
WICH
W 70-65
−4.5
27
vs
VT
W 77-66
−1.5
28
vs
VAN
L 71-96
+17.5
7
@
DAV
W 70-61
−6.5
14
vs
BOIS
L 67-68
−4.5
19
vs
FAU
W 88-75
+17.5
22
vs
UNI
W 63-58
−11.5
28
@
LMU
W 78-73
+7.5
30
@
PEPP
W 72-45
−24.5
2
vs
PORT
W 78-57
−11.5
4
vs
SEA
W 93-76
+29.5
10
vs
WSU
W 88-82
+26.5
13
@
SF
W 82-68
+8.5
17
@
SCU
L 54-62
−36.5
21
vs
ORST
W 81-51
−10.5
24
@
PORT
W 75-69
−0.5
31
@
GONZ
L 65-73
−6.5
4
vs
USD
W 87-60
−1.5
7
vs
SF
W 79-54
−9.5
over 11under 13avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pepperdine
4-19 overall · 1-11 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Pacific59–92
- L@ Seattle U81–83
- Lvs San Diego88–92
- L@ Washington St79–95
- L@ Gonzaga60–84
4 days since their last game.
Saint Mary's
20-4 overall · 10-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Francisco79–54
- Wvs San Diego87–60
- L@ Gonzaga65–73
- W@ Portland75–69
- Wvs Oregon St81–51
4 days since their last game.