Thomas M. Ryan Center · at Rhode Island · Conference game
Closing line
VCU -3.5✓ VCU covered by 5.5
VCU -3.5✓ VCU covered by 5.5Closing total147.5Over by 11.5
| VCU | This season | URI |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 10-7 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 10-7 | O/U | 7-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VCU 76–72 URI · ✓ VCU (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU | 40 | 44 | 84 |
| URI | 30 | 45 | 75 |
1st half: VCU 40, URI 30 (VCU by 10). The model had VCU by 2.6 and a total of 69.0 (actual 70).
Team stats
| VCU | URI | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 12-29 41% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 18-28 64% | Free throws | 15-24 63% |
| 30 8 off | Rebounds | 31 8 off |
| 16 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Evans F | 30 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Nyk Lewis G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jadrian Tracey G | 27 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 5-13 | 3-9 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell F | 19 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Jennings G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Belle F | 30 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 28 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 7-11 | 2-6 |
| Ahmad Nowell G | 13 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Tyrell Ward G | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jordan Tillery, Christian Fermin, Lazar Djokovic, Jordann Dumont, Obinnaya Okafor
| URI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Hinton G | 35 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Keeyan Itejere F | 32 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Cochran G | 31 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 5-14 | 2-8 |
| Alex Crawford F | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Myles Corey G | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| RJ Johnson G | 27 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Jahmere Tripp G | 27 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Jalen Harper G | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Damone King G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drissa Traore, Javon Perry, Barrett Loer, Jaymien Aponte, Moek Icke, Mouhamed Sow, Jimmy Ball
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVCU -3.5
ModelVCU -4.1
Model edgeVCU +0.6
W VCU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model147.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
L Over
Projected score
VCU 75.7 · URI 71.6
VCU 84 · URI 75
Win probability
VCU 64%
1st half
Spread
VCU -2.6
VCU -10.0
Total
69.0
70 points
Projected score
VCU 35.8 · URI 33.2
VCU 40 · URI 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -4.5
1 → URI
CloseVCU -3.5
1 pt toward URI
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
VCU -162 · URI +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -4.5 · closed VCU -3.5 · moved 1 toward URImodel VCU -4
model VCU -4
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 147.5 matches the line
model 147.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VCU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| URI | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VCU 4–0 URIVCU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · VCU has won the last 4 meetings · VCU 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | VCU 81 @ URI 57 | URI +7.5 | VCU W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | URI 67 @ VCU 88 | VCU -13.5 | VCU W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | VCU 55 @ URI 54 | URI +8.5 | URI W |
| Feb 8, 2021-22 | URI 64 @ VCU 73 | VCU -6.5 | VCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
VCU
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WAG | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs USU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SPU | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ NCSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs COPP | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs USF | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs VAN | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs VT | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 5 | vs SAM | W 83-57 | -19.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs UNM | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 15 | vs NIA | W 84-58 | -30.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 18 | vs AMER | W 105-83 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | vs RID | W 100-79 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 31 | vs SBU | W 89-82 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ DUQ | W 93-80 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vs SLU | L 62-71 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ GMU | L 80-86 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+3.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−0.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−3.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
+5.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+10.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
+10.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
−8.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+15.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
+6.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
−11.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−4.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+2.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
−9.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
−2.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−10.5
10
@GMU
GMUL 80-86
−7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+43.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−6.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−8.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
−0.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+7.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
−28.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
+1.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+0.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
+1.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−1.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 105-83
+33.5
22
vsRID
RIDW 100-79
+33.5
31
vsSBU
SBUW 89-82
+13.5
3
@DUQ
DUQW 93-80
+7.5
7
vsSLU
SLUL 62-71
−38.5
10
@GMU
GMUL 80-86
+21.5
over 10under 7avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rhode Island
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −7.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STET | W 93-62 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs TLSA | L 65-82 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs STO | W 80-57 | -16.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 14 | vs UALB | W 80-61 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 18 | @ YALE | W 86-77 | +8.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs TOW | L 55-62 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 25 | vs UVM | W 80-65 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vs TEM | W 90-75 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 2 | vs BRWN | W 66-56 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | @ PROV | L 71-90 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs MCN | L 64-66 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 16 | vs CAN | W 62-45 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 107 |
| Dec 22 | vs NE | W 85-77 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 31 | vs LUC | L 57-61 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | @GMU | L 50-61 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 7 | vs LAS | L 72-79 | -11.5 | L −18.5 | 135.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 10 | @ DAV | W 70-45 | +2.5 | W +27.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-62
+12.5
7
vsTLSA
TLSAL 65-82
−20.5
11
vsSTO
STOW 80-57
+6.5
14
vsUALB
UALBW 80-61
+3.5
18
@YALE
YALEW 86-77
+17.5
24
vsTOW
TOWL 55-62
−9.5
25
vsUVM
UVMW 80-65
+10.5
26
vsTEM
TEMW 90-75
+11.5
2
vsBRWN
BRWNW 66-56
−3.5
6
@PROV
PROVL 71-90
−11.5
9
vsMCN
MCNL 64-66
−0.5
16
vsCAN
CANW 62-45
−4.5
22
vsNE
NEW 85-77
−2.5
31
vsLUC
LUCL 57-61
−13.5
3
@GMU
GMUL 50-61
−4.5
7
vsLAS
LASL 72-79
−18.5
10
@DAV
DAVW 70-45
+27.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTET
STETW 93-62
+2.5
7
vsTLSA
TLSAL 65-82
−6.5
11
vsSTO
STOW 80-57
−14.5
14
vsUALB
UALBW 80-61
−9.5
18
@YALE
YALEW 86-77
+9.5
24
vsTOW
TOWL 55-62
−23.5
25
vsUVM
UVMW 80-65
+0.5
26
vsTEM
TEMW 90-75
+15.5
2
vsBRWN
BRWNW 66-56
−16.5
6
@PROV
PROVL 71-90
+1.5
9
vsMCN
MCNL 64-66
−16.5
16
vsCAN
CANW 62-45
−31.5
22
vsNE
NEW 85-77
+17.5
31
vsLUC
LUCL 57-61
−27.5
3
@GMU
GMUL 50-61
−28.5
7
vsLAS
LASL 72-79
+15.5
10
@DAV
DAVW 70-45
−19.5
over 7under 10avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
VCU
11-6 overall · 2-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ George Mason80–86
- Lvs Saint Louis62–71
- W@ Duquesne93–80
- Wvs St Bonaventure89–82
- Wvs Rider100–79
4 days since their last game.
Rhode Island
10-7 overall · 1-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Davidson70–45
- Lvs La Salle72–79
- L@ George Mason50–61
- Lvs Loyola Chicago57–61
- Wvs Northeastern85–77
4 days since their last game.