UD Arena · at Dayton · Conference game
Closing line
DAY -16.5✓ FOR covered by 9.5
DAY -16.5✓ FOR covered by 9.5Closing total139.5Under by 20.5
 FOR | This season | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 9-4 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 2-8 | O/U | 6-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FOR 64–77 DAY · ✓ DAY (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FOR | 24 | 32 | 56 |
| DAY | 30 | 33 | 63 |
1st half: FOR 24, DAY 30 (DAY by 6). The model had DAY by 7.7 and a total of 65.9 (actual 54).
Team stats
| FOR | DAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-60 35% | Field goals | 23-54 43% |
| 9-34 26% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 5-8 63% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 41 16 off | Rebounds | 33 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| FOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejour Reaves G | 38 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 7-17 | 1-8 |
| Marcus Greene G | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-13 | 2-11 |
| Rikus Schulte F | 33 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Akira Jacobs F | 29 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Roor Akhuar F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Whitbourn C | 29 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Louis Lesmond G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Kingston Price G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jameson O'Toole, Ryan Pettis, Aidan Crotty, Max Miller, Abass Bodija, Christian Henry, Zarique Nutter, Jace Howard
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett G | 36 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Keonte Jones G | 35 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Derkack G | 34 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Conner F | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 25 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaiun Simon F | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Heard G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Sean Pouedet G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Damon Friery F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Makai Grant, Will Maxwell, Evan Dickey, Amal L'Etang, Jaron McKie, Adam Njie, Malcolm Thomas
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDAY -16.5
ModelDAY -13.0
Model edgeFOR +3.5
W FOR covered
Total
Market139.5
Model140.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
L Under
Projected score
FOR 63.8 · DAY 76.8
FOR 56 · DAY 63
Win probability
DAY 87%
1st half
Spread
DAY -7.7
DAY -6.0
Total
65.9
54 points
Projected score
FOR 29.1 · DAY 36.8
FOR 24 · DAY 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAY -17.5
1 → FOR
CloseDAY -16.5
1 pt toward FOR
Total
Open138.5
▲ 1
Close139.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
FOR +1000 · DAY -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAY -17.5 · closed DAY -16.5 · moved 1 toward FORmodel DAY -13
model DAY -13
Opened 138.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 upmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FOR | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| DAY | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FOR 0–5 DAYDAY leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · DAY has won the last 5 meetings · FOR 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | DAY 93 @ FOR 76 | FOR +7.5 | DAY W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | FOR 70 @ DAY 78 | DAY -13.5 | FOR W |
| Mar 11, 2022-23 | FOR 68 vs DAY 78 | DAY -6.5 | DAY W |
| Jan 10, 2022-23 | DAY 82 @ FOR 58 | FOR +7.5 | DAY W |
| Jan 25, 2021-22 | FOR 61 @ DAY 68 | DAY -14.5 | FOR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fordham
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-8
20% overs · avg −10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NJIT | L 61-72 | -14.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAG | W 63-61 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 14 | @ IONA | L 71-76 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIU | W 69-53 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 29 | vs UALB | W 88-68 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 30 | vs COLG | L 62-72 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs HC | L 69-70 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs FDU | W 75-54 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | vs MAN | W 82-53 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 22 | vs NHVN | W 65-47 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNJIT
NJITL 61-72
−25.5
11
vsWAG
WAGW 63-61
−10.5
14
@IONA
IONAL 71-76
+0.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 69-53
+11.5
29
vsUALB
UALBW 88-68
+9.5
30
vsCOLG
COLGL 62-72
−8.5
6
vsHC
HCL 69-70
−11.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 75-54
+9.5
13
vsMAN
MANW 82-53
+20.5
22
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-47
+4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNJIT
NJITL 61-72
−14.5
11
vsWAG
WAGW 63-61
−15.5
14
@IONA
IONAL 71-76
−10.5
20
vsLIU
LIUW 69-53
−23.5
29
vsUALB
UALBW 88-68
+12.5
30
vsCOLG
COLGL 62-72
−8.5
6
vsHC
HCL 69-70
+0.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 75-54
−12.5
13
vsMAN
MANW 82-53
−12.5
22
vsNHVN
NHVNW 65-47
−15.5
over 2under 8avg −10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Dayton
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
over 6under 7avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fordham
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Haven65–47
- Wvs Manhattan82–53
- Wvs FDU75–54
- Lvs Holy Cross69–70
- Lvs Colgate62–72
A week or more of rest.
Dayton
9-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Liberty61–64
- Wvs Florida St97–69
- Wvs North Florida84–61
- Lvs Virginia73–86
- Wvs ETSU88–71
A week or more of rest.