Mitchell Center · at South Alabama
Closing line
USA -1.5✓ UNT covered by 2.5
USA -1.5✓ UNT covered by 2.5Closing total135.5Under by 20.5
 UNT | This season | USA |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 7-2 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 3-6 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNT 67–67 USA · ✓ USA (50%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | 30 | 28 | 58 |
| USA | 26 | 31 | 57 |
1st half: UNT 30, USA 26 (UNT by 4). The model had UNT by 0.2 and a total of 62.7 (actual 56).
Team stats
| UNT | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-56 34% | Field goals | 20-49 41% |
| 9-40 23% | 3-pointers | 2-11 18% |
| 11-16 69% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 7 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| UNT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Je'Shawn Stevenson G | 37 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 7-25 | 4-21 |
| David Terrell Jr. G | 36 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Cole Franklin G | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Dylan Arnett F | 29 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Reece Robinson F | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Buddy Hammer Jr. F | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Shackleford F | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| EJ Horton G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Demarion Watson G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Cahmai Crosby G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Will McClendon
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 40 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Randy Brady F | 37 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Chaze Harris G | 34 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 6-14 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 30 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Stephen Williams F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| JJ Wheat G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brian Hawthorne G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Broom, Samuel Shoptaw, Desmond Williams, Peyton Law, Maxwell Land
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSA -2.5
1 → UNT
CloseUSA -1.5
1 pt toward UNT
Total
Open131.5
▲ 4
Close135.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
UNT +100 · USA -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USA -2.5 · closed USA -1.5 · moved 1 toward UNTmodel UNT -0
model UNT -0
Opened 131.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 4 upmodel 134
model 134
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USA -1.5 | UNT -0.1 | UNT +1.6 | W UNT covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 133.8 | Under 1.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UNT 66.9 · USA 66.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNT -0.2 | UNT -4.0 |
| 1H total | 62.7 | 56 |
| 1H projected score | UNT 31.5 · USA 31.3 | UNT 30 · USA 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNTlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% | 3-6 33% |
| USAlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 4-5 44% | 6-3 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Texas
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs NWST | W 80-53 | -11.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 9 | vs LUC | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORST | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ SMC | L 49-80 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 20 | vs CARK | W 74-56 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs EWU | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs PV | W 72-69 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 2 | vs HCU | W 77-75 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 7 | vs TCU | L 55-65 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
+15.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
+3.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
+1.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
−16.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
+1.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
−4.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−13.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
−9.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
−4.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
−12.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
−4.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
+0.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
−4.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
+8.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−0.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
+24.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−15.5
over 3under 6avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Alabama
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
over 6under 3avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Texas
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs TCU55–65
- Wvs Hou Christian77–75
- Wvs Prairie View72–69
- Wvs E Washington79–71
- Wvs C Arkansas74–56
A week or more of rest.
South Alabama
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ ETSU65–91
- Wvs New Mexico St77–75
- W@ UTSA82–58
- L@ UAB72–80
- W@ Jax State71–65
A week or more of rest.