Colonial Life Arena · at South Carolina
Closing line
SC -19.5✓ SC covered by 9.5
SC -19.5✓ SC covered by 9.5Closing total148.5Over by 14.5
 UALB | This season | SC |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | Record | 8-4 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UALB 64–85 SC · ✓ SC (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UALB | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| SC | 48 | 48 | 96 |
1st half: UALB 33, SC 48 (SC by 15). The model had SC by 12.0 and a total of 69.7 (actual 81).
Team stats
| UALB | SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-62 44% | Field goals | 33-55 60% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 14-30 47% |
| 7-8 88% | Free throws | 16-17 94% |
| 30 17 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UALB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Lindsey G | 36 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 7-17 | 2-6 |
| Jaden Kempson G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-13 | 1-3 |
| Zacharie Matulu G | 26 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Isaac Abidde F | 25 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Yaya Keita C | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Okechukwu Okeke F | 29 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Muhammad PG | 22 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Ma'Kye Taylor F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Miles Rose G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tarique Foster G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bautista Giralt C | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sully Adewale, Ife West-Ingram, Will Richardson, Wilkin Paulino, Abdoulaye Fall
| SC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meechie Johnson G | 26 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Mike Sharavjamts G | 26 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Kobe Knox G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Myles Stute G | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Elijah Strong F | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eli Ellis G | 26 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Grant Polk G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Hayden Assemian F | 14 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Butler F | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| EJ Walker F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Nordin Kapic F | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Eli Sparkman G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christ Essandoko, Abu Yarmah, Cam Scott
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSC -19.5
ModelSC -20.2
Model edgeSC +0.7
W SC covered
Total
Market148.5
Model148.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
W Over
Projected score
UALB 64.3 · SC 84.5
UALB 67 · SC 96
Win probability
SC 96%
1st half
Spread
SC -12.0
SC -15.0
Total
69.7
81 points
Projected score
UALB 28.8 · SC 40.8
UALB 33 · SC 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSC -20.5
1 → UALB
CloseSC -19.5
1 pt toward UALB
Total
Open146.5
▲ 2
Close148.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UALB +1400 · SC -3200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SC -20.5 · closed SC -19.5 · moved 1 toward UALBmodel SC -20
model SC -20
Opened 146.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UALB | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| SC | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UAlbany
11 games played
Straight up
1-10
9% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MARQ | L 53-80 | +24.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ MASS | L 62-83 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | @ URI | L 61-80 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | @ SIE | L 63-73 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLG | L 67-69 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs FOR | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ COLU | L 65-93 | +13.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 10 | vs YALE | L 82-93 | +17.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | @ FAU | L 79-105 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | @ STBK | W 71-55 | +10.5 | W +26.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 21 | vs COR | L 75-83 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MARQ
MARQL 53-80
−2.5
8
@MASS
MASSL 62-83
−11.5
14
@URI
URIL 61-80
−3.5
21
@SIE
SIEL 63-73
+0.5
28
vsCOLG
COLGL 67-69
+5.5
29
vsFOR
FORL 68-88
−9.5
6
@COLU
COLUL 65-93
−14.5
10
vsYALE
YALEL 82-93
+6.5
13
@FAU
FAUL 79-105
−7.5
17
@STBK
STBKW 71-55
+26.5
21
vsCOR
CORL 75-83
−1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MARQ
MARQL 53-80
−16.5
8
@MASS
MASSL 62-83
−10.5
14
@URI
URIL 61-80
−9.5
21
@SIE
SIEL 63-73
−4.5
28
vsCOLG
COLGL 67-69
−5.5
29
vsFOR
FORL 68-88
+12.5
6
@COLU
COLUL 65-93
+13.5
10
vsYALE
YALEL 82-93
+29.5
13
@FAU
FAUL 79-105
+36.5
17
@STBK
STBKW 71-55
−20.5
21
vsCOR
CORL 75-83
−9.5
over 4under 7avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Carolina
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NCAT | W 91-72 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 9 | vs USM | W 83-79 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRES | W 81-61 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs RAD | W 87-58 | -10.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs BTLR | L 72-79 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs NU | L 77-79 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHSO | W 74-62 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs VT | L 83-86 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs STET | W 82-51 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIT | W 71-55 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | @ CLEM | L 61-68 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 22 | vs SCST | W 95-70 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNCAT
NCATW 91-72
−3.5
9
vsUSM
USMW 83-79
−13.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 81-61
+3.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 87-58
+18.5
21
vsBTLR
BTLRL 72-79
−3.5
23
vsNU
NUL 77-79
+2.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOW 74-62
−5.5
2
vsVT
VTL 83-86
−5.5
6
vsSTET
STETW 82-51
+8.5
13
vsCIT
CITW 71-55
−6.5
16
@CLEM
CLEML 61-68
+5.5
22
vsSCST
SCSTW 95-70
−6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNCAT
NCATW 91-72
+19.5
9
vsUSM
USMW 83-79
+14.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 81-61
+4.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 87-58
−8.5
21
vsBTLR
BTLRL 72-79
+0.5
23
vsNU
NUL 77-79
+9.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOW 74-62
−14.5
2
vsVT
VTL 83-86
+19.5
6
vsSTET
STETW 82-51
−9.5
13
vsCIT
CITW 71-55
−15.5
16
@CLEM
CLEML 61-68
−13.5
22
vsSCST
SCSTW 95-70
+15.5
over 7under 5avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UAlbany
1-10 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Cornell75–83
- W@ Stony Brook71–55
- L@ FAU79–105
- Lvs Yale82–93
- L@ Columbia65–93
A week or more of rest.
South Carolina
8-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC State95–70
- L@ Clemson61–68
- Wvs The Citadel71–55
- Wvs Stetson82–51
- Lvs Virginia Tech83–86
A week or more of rest.