Halton Arena · at Charlotte · Conference game
Closing line
TLSA -3.5✓ TLSA covered by 8.5
TLSA -3.5✓ TLSA covered by 8.5Closing total146.5Over by 13.5
| TLSA | This season | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| 11-3 | Record | 8-8 |
| 9-5 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 10-4 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TLSA 78–74 CLT · ✓ TLSA (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | 44 | 42 | 86 |
| CLT | 37 | 37 | 74 |
1st half: TLSA 44, CLT 37 (TLSA by 7). The model had TLSA by 2.5 and a total of 71.6 (actual 81).
Team stats
| TLSA | CLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-57 51% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 10-21 48% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 18-22 82% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 22 5 off |
| 15 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| TLSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Barnstable G | 37 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| David Green F | 32 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 8-13 | 3-3 |
| Ade Popoola G | 31 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Tyler Behrend F | 31 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Tylen Riley G | 30 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 7-12 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Romad Dean F | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jaylen Lawal G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Ian Smikle F | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| KJ Martin Jr. F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Leon Sifferlin, Cal Conroy, Carter Benton, Myles Rigsby, Terrance Ford Jr., Doryan Onwuchekwa
| CLT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Bradford G | 33 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 8-13 | 1-2 |
| Anton Bonke C | 24 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Arden Conyers F | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Major Freeman G | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Spencer Elliott F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dezayne Mingo G | 22 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Damoni Harrison G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ethan Butler F | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jarne Elouna Eyenga F | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Raúl Villar G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Nick Richart F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kylan Blackmon G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Frank Oguche, David Gomez, Kuluel Mading, Andrew Bailey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTLSA -3.5
ModelTLSA -4.0
Model edgeTLSA +0.5
W TLSA covered
Total
Market146.5
Model152.8
Model edgeOver 6.3
W Over
Projected score
TLSA 78.4 · CLT 74.4
TLSA 86 · CLT 74
Win probability
TLSA 64%
1st half
Spread
TLSA -2.5
TLSA -7.0
Total
71.6
81 points
Projected score
TLSA 37 · CLT 34.5
TLSA 44 · CLT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTLSA -3.5
no move
CloseTLSA -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 4
Close146.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
TLSA -192 · CLT +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TLSA -3.5 · unchangedmodel TLSA -4
model TLSA -4
Opened 150.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| CLT | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TLSA 2–2 CLTSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · TLSA has won the last 2 meetings · TLSA 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2024-25 | CLT 63 @ TLSA 69 | TLSA -1.5 | TLSA W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | CLT 67 @ TLSA 69 | TLSA +2.5 | TLSA W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | TLSA 76 @ CLT 84 | CLT -7.5 | CLT W |
| Nov 18, 2022-23 | CLT 68 vs TLSA 65 | TLSA +2.5 | CLT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tulsa
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +6.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-4
71% overs · avg +6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs URI | W 82-65 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORU | W 88-87 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ KSU | L 83-84 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs APSU | W 84-75 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJSU | W 81-51 | -5.5 | W +24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNI | W 63-60 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MOST | W 98-74 | -7.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs UAPB | W 117-84 | -25.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 201 |
| Dec 13 | vs NMSU | W 83-70 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ WKU | W 82-81 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs DEN | W 90-85 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vs RICE | W 97-48 | -12.5 | W +36.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ UNT | L 67-72 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 10 | vs USF | L 78-93 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
+20.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
−4.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+11.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+0.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
+24.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
+5.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+16.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+7.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+8.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
−1.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
−11.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
+36.5
4
@UNT
UNTL 67-72
−7.5
10
vsUSF
USFL 78-93
−16.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
−6.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
+14.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+10.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
−17.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
−14.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+29.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+45.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+6.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
+4.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
+14.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
−7.5
4
@UNT
UNTL 67-72
+0.5
10
vsUSF
USFL 78-93
+7.5
over 10under 4avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Charlotte
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs INST | W 92-76 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs TNTC | W 70-65 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAV | L 55-62 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 16 | @ VT | L 76-84 | +18.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | @ APP | L 63-65 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 27 | vs ILST | L 69-79 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs RICH | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | vs NCAT | W 74-57 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vs USU | L 53-79 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 14 | @ COFC | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 18 | vs LAF | W 81-67 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs UIC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 30 | vs TEM | L 73-76 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs WICH | W 104-100 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 7 | @ UTSA | W 74-58 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 11 | @RICE | W 74-73 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsINST
INSTW 92-76
+11.5
7
vsTNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−7.5
11
vsDAV
DAVL 55-62
−8.5
16
@VT
VTL 76-84
+10.5
21
@APP
APPL 63-65
−0.5
27
vsILST
ILSTL 69-79
−4.5
28
vsRICH
RICHL 66-71
+1.5
2
vsNCAT
NCATW 74-57
+9.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 53-79
−15.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 67-74
−1.5
18
vsLAF
LAFW 81-67
+2.5
21
vsUIC
UICW 88-76
+10.5
30
vsTEM
TEML 73-76
−4.5
3
vsWICH
WICHW 104-100
+9.5
7
@UTSA
UTSAW 74-58
+9.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 74-73
−0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsINST
INSTW 92-76
+15.5
7
vsTNTC
TNTCW 70-65
−11.5
11
vsDAV
DAVL 55-62
−26.5
16
@VT
VTL 76-84
+14.5
21
@APP
APPL 63-65
−4.5
27
vsILST
ILSTL 69-79
+8.5
28
vsRICH
RICHL 66-71
−4.5
2
vsNCAT
NCATW 74-57
−13.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 53-79
−7.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 67-74
+0.5
18
vsLAF
LAFW 81-67
+10.5
21
vsUIC
UICW 88-76
+26.5
30
vsTEM
TEML 73-76
+10.5
3
vsWICH
WICHW 104-100
+63.5
7
@UTSA
UTSAW 74-58
−13.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 74-73
+9.5
over 9under 7avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tulsa
11-3 overall · 1-2 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs South Florida78–93
- L@ North Texas67–72
- Wvs Rice97–48
- Wvs Denver90–85
- W@ Western KY82–81
4 days since their last game.
Charlotte
8-8 overall · 3-1 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Rice74–73
- W@ UTSA74–58
- Wvs Wichita St104–100
- Lvs Temple73–76
- Wvs UIC88–76
3 days since their last game.