Gallagher-Iba Arena · at Oklahoma St · Conference game
Closing line
ISU -10.5✓ ISU covered by 2.5
ISU -10.5✓ ISU covered by 2.5Closing total162.5Under by 7.5
| ISU | This season | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| 17-2 | Record | 14-5 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 9-10 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ISU 86–76 OKST · ✓ ISU (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 51 | 33 | 84 |
| OKST | 21 | 50 | 71 |
1st half: ISU 51, OKST 21 (ISU by 30). The model had ISU by 5.7 and a total of 75.7 (actual 72).
Team stats
| ISU | OKST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-51 51% | Field goals | 22-56 39% |
| 11-26 42% | 3-pointers | 9-30 30% |
| 21-27 78% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 27 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 11 |
| 10 | Steals | 13 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic F | 38 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 8-12 | 5-9 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 34 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Killyan Toure G | 30 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 29 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 6-8 | 4-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nate Heise G | 24 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jamarion Batemon G | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Rise, Dominick Nelson, Mason Williams, Cade Kelderman, Xzavion Mitchell, Eric Mulder
| OKST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parsa Fallah F | 30 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kanye Clary G | 25 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Anthony Roy G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-7 |
| Vyctorius Miller G | 24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Christian Coleman G | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Curry G | 31 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 6-17 | 3-8 |
| Ryan Crotty G | 22 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Isaiah Coleman G | 12 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Andrija Vukovic F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Benjamin Ahmed F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lefteris Mantzoukas, Robert Jennings II, Daniel Guetta, Kirk Cole, Mekhi Ragland
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketISU -10.5
ModelISU -9.4
Model edgeOKST +1.1
L ISU covered
Total
Market162.5
Model161.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
W Under
Projected score
ISU 85.5 · OKST 76.2
ISU 84 · OKST 71
Win probability
ISU 79%
1st half
Spread
ISU -5.7
ISU -30.0
Total
75.7
72 points
Projected score
ISU 40.7 · OKST 35
ISU 51 · OKST 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -9.5
1 → ISU
CloseISU -10.5
1 pt toward ISU
Total
Open163.5
▼ 1
Close162.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ISU -625 · OKST +455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -9.5 · closed ISU -10.5 · moved 1 toward ISUmodel ISU -9.5
model ISU -9.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 1 downmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| OKST | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
ISU 3–4 OKSTOKST leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · ISU 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | OKST 71 @ ISU 83 | ISU -19.5 | OKST W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | ISU 68 @ OKST 74 | OKST +11.5 | OKST W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | OKST 42 @ ISU 66 | ISU -12.5 | ISU W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | OKST 64 @ ISU 56 | ISU -6.5 | OKST W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | ISU 59 @ OKST 61 | OKST -1.5 | OKST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa State
19 games played
Straight up
17-2
89% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vs WVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsOKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @ KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @ CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vs UCF | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
+15.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
−12.5
over 9under 10avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oklahoma St
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -20.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | vs TA&M | W 87-63 | +2.5 | W +26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs PV | W 94-67 | -30.5 | L −3.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 16 | vs AMCC | W 85-69 | -20.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 19 | vs USF | W 103-95 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 22 | vs NICH | W 95-81 | -23.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | @ NU | W 86-81 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 2 | vs SHSU | W 93-83 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | vs GCU | W 84-78 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs OU | L 76-85 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 18 | vs KC | W 91-79 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 21 | vs CSUF | W 94-89 | -19.5 | L −14.5 | 176.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 29 | vs BCU | W 103-77 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ TTU | L 80-102 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | vsUCF | W 87-76 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 10 | @ISU | L 71-83 | +19.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | vsBAY | L 79-94 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 17 | vs KSU | W 84-83 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | @ TCU | L 65-68 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
+3.5
9
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-63
+26.5
12
vsPV
PVW 94-67
−3.5
16
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-69
−4.5
19
vsUSF
USFW 103-95
+4.5
22
vsNICH
NICHW 95-81
−9.5
27
@NU
NUW 86-81
+7.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 93-83
−3.5
6
vsGCU
GCUW 84-78
+4.5
13
vsOU
OUL 76-85
−6.5
18
vsKC
KCW 91-79
−15.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 94-89
−14.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 103-77
+5.5
3
@TTU
TTUL 80-102
−9.5
6
vsUCF
UCFW 87-76
+9.5
10
@ISU
ISUL 71-83
+7.5
13
vsBAY
BAYL 79-94
−13.5
17
vsKSU
KSUW 84-83
−1.5
20
@TCU
TCUL 65-68
+5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
+0.5
9
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-63
−24.5
12
vsPV
PVW 94-67
−7.5
16
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-69
−0.5
19
vsUSF
USFW 103-95
+20.5
22
vsNICH
NICHW 95-81
+20.5
27
@NU
NUW 86-81
+7.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 93-83
+6.5
6
vsGCU
GCUW 84-78
+6.5
13
vsOU
OUL 76-85
−8.5
18
vsKC
KCW 91-79
+8.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 94-89
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 103-77
+15.5
3
@TTU
TTUL 80-102
+14.5
6
vsUCF
UCFW 87-76
−12.5
10
@ISU
ISUL 71-83
−11.5
13
vsBAY
BAYL 79-94
+7.5
17
vsKSU
KSUW 84-83
−8.5
20
@TCU
TCUL 65-68
−28.5
over 11under 8avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa State
17-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UCF87–57
- L@ Cincinnati70–79
- L@ Kansas63–84
- Wvs Oklahoma St83–71
- W@ Baylor70–60
4 days since their last game.
Oklahoma St
14-5 overall · 2-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ TCU65–68
- Wvs Kansas St84–83
- Lvs Baylor79–94
- L@ Iowa State71–83
- Wvs UCF87–76
4 days since their last game.