Rupp Arena · at Kentucky
Closing line
UK -3.5✓ UK covered by 8.5
Closing total156.5Under by 24.5
| This season | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 6-4 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IU 77–81 UK · ✓ UK (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 39 | 21 | 60 |
| UK | 32 | 40 | 72 |
1st half: IU 39, UK 32 (IU by 7). The model had UK by 2.2 and a total of 74.0 (actual 71).
Team stats
| IU | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-44 34% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 4-24 17% | 3-pointers | 3-15 20% |
| 26-29 90% | Free throws | 25-38 66% |
| 37 8 off | Rebounds | 34 14 off |
| 8 | Assists | 10 |
| 2 | Steals | 13 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 24 | Fouls | 18 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries F | 35 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-9 |
| Conor Enright G | 30 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Sam Alexis F | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 24 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 22 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Sisley F | 26 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Nick Dorn G | 22 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Reed Bailey F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Aleksa Ristic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jasai Miles G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ian Stephens G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrej Acimovic, Tryce Grensing, Drew Snively, Josh Harris, Jordan Rayford, Deuce Drake
| UK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh G | 33 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| Denzel Aberdeen G | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Malachi Moreno C | 21 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Collin Chandler G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Trent Noah F | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kam Williams G | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Jaland Lowe G | 24 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-3 |
| Mo Dioubate F | 22 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Garrison F | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Jasper Johnson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Andrija Jelavic, Zach Tow, Reece Potter, Walker Horn, Jayden Quaintance, Braydon Hawthorne
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUK -4.5
1 → IU
CloseUK -3.5
1 pt toward IU
Total
Open152.5
▲ 4
Close156.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
IU +142 · UK -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UK -4.5 · closed UK -3.5 · moved 1 toward IUmodel UK -4
model UK -4
Opened 152.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 4 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UK -3.5 | UK -3.8 | UK +0.3 | W UK covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 158.1 | Over 1.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | IU 77.1 · UK 81 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UK -2.2 | IU -7.0 |
| 1H total | 74.0 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | IU 35.9 · UK 38.1 | IU 39 · UK 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | |
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vs | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
AAMU
W 98-51
+16.5
9
vs
MARQ
W 100-77
+19.5
12
vs
MILW
W 101-70
+6.5
16
vs
UIW
W 69-61
−20.5
20
vs
LIN
W 73-53
−12.5
25
vs
KSU
W 86-69
+6.5
29
vs
BCU
W 100-56
+14.5
3
@
MINN
L 64-73
−16.5
6
vs
LOU
L 78-87
−5.5
9
vs
PSU
W 113-72
+26.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
AAMU
W 98-51
+1.5
9
vs
MARQ
W 100-77
+20.5
12
vs
MILW
W 101-70
+5.5
16
vs
UIW
W 69-61
−27.5
20
vs
LIN
W 73-53
−29.5
25
vs
KSU
W 86-69
−9.5
29
vs
BCU
W 100-56
+7.5
3
@
MINN
L 64-73
−7.5
6
vs
LOU
L 78-87
+2.5
9
vs
PSU
W 113-72
+32.5
over 6under 4avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kentucky
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 77-51 | -31.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 107-59 | -32.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 88-96 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 99-53 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs | L 66-83 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 88-46 | -35.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 104-54 | -37.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 5 | vs | L 59-94 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 9 | vs | W 103-67 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
NICH
W 77-51
−5.5
7
vs
VAL
W 107-59
+15.5
11
@
LOU
L 88-96
−2.5
14
vs
EIU
W 99-53
+10.5
18
vs
MSU
L 66-83
−20.5
21
vs
L-MD
W 88-46
+6.5
26
vs
TNTC
W 104-54
+12.5
2
vs
UNC
L 64-67
−10.5
5
vs
GONZ
L 59-94
−29.5
9
vs
NCCU
W 103-67
−6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
NICH
W 77-51
−29.5
7
vs
VAL
W 107-59
+8.5
11
@
LOU
L 88-96
+10.5
14
vs
EIU
W 99-53
+4.5
18
vs
MSU
L 66-83
−3.5
21
vs
L-MD
W 88-46
−25.5
26
vs
TNTC
W 104-54
+0.5
2
vs
UNC
L 64-67
−32.5
5
vs
GONZ
L 59-94
−6.5
9
vs
NCCU
W 103-67
+21.5
over 5under 5avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana
8-2 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn State113–72
- Lvs Louisville78–87
- L@ Minnesota64–73
- Wvs Bethune100–56
- Wvs Kansas St86–69
4 days since their last game.
Kentucky
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC Central103–67
- Lvs Gonzaga59–94
- Lvs North Carolina64–67
- Wvs Tennessee Tech104–54
- Wvs Loyola MD88–46
4 days since their last game.