Thomas Assembly Center · at Louisiana Tech
Closing line
LT -9.5✓ LT covered by 11.5
LT -9.5✓ LT covered by 11.5Closing total126.5Under by 17.5
 UL | This season | LT |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | Record | 3-3 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 3-7 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UL 58–70 LT · ✓ LT (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 19 | 25 | 44 |
| LT | 31 | 34 | 65 |
1st half: UL 19, LT 31 (LT by 12). The model had LT by 7.0 and a total of 60.1 (actual 50).
Team stats
| UL | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-50 30% | Field goals | 22-49 45% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 29 13 off | Rebounds | 37 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 6 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'vion Lavergne G | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Jaxon Olvera G | 28 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Dorian Finister G | 26 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Todd Jones Jr. F | 26 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Joshua Lewis F | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Milan Mejia G | 29 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Dariyus Woodson F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mike Collins G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jeremiah Evans F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kyran Ratliff F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Michael Mouton, Jamyron Keller, Rahman Olajuwon, Logan Myers, Sean Elkinton, Karris Bilal, Zeke Cook, Christian Landry
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Dudley G | 40 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 7-13 | 5-8 |
| AJ Bates G | 40 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 7-13 | 0-2 |
| Kaden Cooper F | 40 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Sir Issac Herron F | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Will Jeffress F | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Scooter Williams G | 20 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Will Allen F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kylan Howze F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Avery Thomas II F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: A'Meir Williams, Melian Martinez, Keegan Rowell, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Lachlan Thompson, Jaylen Fenner
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLT -9.5
ModelLT -11.9
Model edgeLT +2.4
W LT covered
Total
Market126.5
Model128.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
UL 58.1 · LT 70
UL 44 · LT 65
Win probability
LT 85%
1st half
Spread
LT -7.0
LT -12.0
Total
60.1
50 points
Projected score
UL 26.6 · LT 33.6
UL 19 · LT 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLT -11.5
2 → UL
CloseLT -9.5
2 pts toward UL
Total
Open125.5
▲ 1
Close126.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UL +410 · LT -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LT -11.5 · closed LT -9.5 · moved 2 toward ULmodel LT -12
model LT -12
Opened 125.5 · closed 126.5 · moved 1 upmodel 128
model 128
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| LTlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UL 1–3 LTLT leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · LT has won the last 2 meetings · UL 2-1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | LT 69 @ UL 58 | UL +6.5 | LT W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | UL 67 @ LT 72 | LT -6.5 | UL W |
| Nov 17, 2022-23 | LT 88 @ UL 94 | UL -4.5 | UL W |
| Dec 11, 2021-22 | UL 69 @ LT 78 | LT -9 | P |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisiana
10 games played
Straight up
1-9
10% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BALL | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 7 | vs SELA | W 58-52 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 11 | vs TULN | L 62-66 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | @ MCN | L 62-88 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ STAN | L 66-93 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ SCU | L 43-80 | +19.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 24 | @ UCD | L 56-77 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs JKST | L 45-51 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 3 | @ LAM | L 55-65 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCW | L 63-70 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−6.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
+2.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
+1.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
−10.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
−6.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−11.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−11.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
+0.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−2.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
−25.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
−7.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
+15.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
+19.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−3.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−40.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
−9.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+2.5
over 3under 7avg −6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana Tech
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@
INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
−0.5
29
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+8.5
3
@
GASO
GASOL 69-77
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
+6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+3.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
+0.5
over 3under 3avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisiana
1-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Wilmington63–70
- L@ Lamar55–65
- Lvs Jackson St45–51
- L@ UC Davis56–77
- L@ Santa Clara43–80
A week or more of rest.
Louisiana Tech
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ GA Southern69–77
- Wvs Alcorn St83–58
- Wvs Indiana St75–73
- L@ Indiana St51–60
- Wvs Jackson St68–51
A week or more of rest.