Jersey Mike’s Arena · at Rutgers · Conference game
Closing line
IU -7.5✓ IU covered by 15.5
IU -7.5✓ IU covered by 15.5Closing total147.5Under by 6.5
| IU | This season | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| 12-7 | Record | 9-10 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 9-10 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IU 79–70 RUTG · ✓ IU (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 47 | 35 | 82 |
| RUTG | 32 | 27 | 59 |
1st half: IU 47, RUTG 32 (IU by 15). The model had IU by 5.1 and a total of 69.8 (actual 79).
Team stats
| IU | RUTG | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-60 50% | Field goals | 21-58 36% |
| 15-35 43% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 7-7 100% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 40 11 off | Rebounds | 27 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 6 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 5 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries F | 37 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 9-20 | 4-12 |
| Nick Dorn G | 36 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 6-10 |
| Sam Alexis F | 30 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 29 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 11-17 | 5-11 |
| Conor Enright G | 27 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tayton Conerway G | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Jasai Miles G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Reed Bailey F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trent Sisley F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Deuce Drake, Josh Harris, Ian Stephens, Aleksa Ristic, Andrej Acimovic, Tryce Grensing, Drew Snively, Jordan Rayford
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamichael Davis G | 29 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 22 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Powers G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Dylan Grant F | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tariq Francis G | 28 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 10-23 | 1-4 |
| Lino Mark G | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Denis Badalau F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Harun Zrno G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones, Max Fradkin, Baye Fall
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIU -7.5
ModelIU -8.3
Model edgeIU +0.8
W IU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model149.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
L Under
Projected score
IU 78.6 · RUTG 70.3
IU 82 · RUTG 59
Win probability
IU 77%
1st half
Spread
IU -5.1
IU -15.0
Total
69.8
79 points
Projected score
IU 37.4 · RUTG 32.3
IU 47 · RUTG 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -8.5
1 → RUTG
CloseIU -7.5
1 pt toward RUTG
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
IU -340 · RUTG +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -8.5 · closed IU -7.5 · moved 1 toward RUTGmodel IU -8.5
model IU -8.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| RUTG | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
IU 2–3 RUTGRUTG leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · IU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | RUTG 74 @ IU 84 | IU -7.5 | IU W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | IU 57 @ RUTG 66 | RUTG -3.5 | RUTG W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | RUTG 60 @ IU 66 | IU -4.5 | IU W |
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | IU 48 @ RUTG 63 | RUTG +2.5 | RUTG W |
| Mar 2, 2021-22 | RUTG 66 @ IU 63 | IU -5 | RUTG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vs PSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vs WASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vs NEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs IOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @ MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
over 9under 10avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rutgers
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs OSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs ORE | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ ILL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vs NU | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ WIS | L 87-96 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 20 | @IOWA | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+7.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−3.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+6.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+6.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+33.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−13.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+7.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+33.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
−10.5
over 10under 9avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana
12-7 overall · 3-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan72–86
- Lvs Iowa57–74
- L@ Michigan St60–81
- Lvs Nebraska77–83
- W@ Maryland84–66
3 days since their last game.
Rutgers
9-10 overall · 2-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa62–68
- L@ Wisconsin87–96
- Wvs Northwestern77–75
- L@ Illinois55–81
- Wvs Oregon88–85
3 days since their last game.