Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern · Conference game
Closing line
OSU -1.5✓ OSU covered by 2.5
OSU -1.5✓ OSU covered by 2.5Closing total155.5Over by 12.5
| OSU | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 5-3 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 2-6 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 6-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OSU 78–78 NU · ✓ OSU (52%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 40 | 46 | 86 |
| NU | 44 | 38 | 82 |
1st half: OSU 40, NU 44 (NU by 4). The model had OSU by 0.5 and a total of 73.1 (actual 84).
Team stats
| OSU | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-61 57% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 4-14 29% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 12-20 60% | Free throws | 16-18 89% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 34 13 off |
| 24 | Assists | 21 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 62 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 38 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Noel F | 35 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 13-15 | 0-1 |
| Devin Royal F | 25 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 24 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Amare Bynum F | 27 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Colin White F | 18 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Taison Chatman, Josh Ojianwuna, Braylen Nash, Ivan Njegovan, Myles Herro, Mathieu Grujicic
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 39 | 32 | 8 | 4 | 10-16 | 2-3 |
| Arrinten Page F | 34 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 33 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-3 |
| Jayden Reid G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2-10 | 1-4 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K.J. Windham G | 22 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Tre Singleton F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Justin Mullins G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jake West G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Max Green G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cade Bennerman, Gus Hurlburt, Blake Smith, Phoenix Gill
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -1.5
no move
CloseOSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▲ 6
Close155.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
OSU -110 · NU -110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel OSU -0.5
model OSU -0.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 6 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OSU -1.5 | OSU -0.5 | NU +1.0 | L OSU covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 156.3 | Over 0.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | OSU 78.4 · NU 77.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OSU -0.5 | NU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 73.1 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | OSU 36.8 · NU 36.3 | OSU 40 · NU 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OSUlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
| NUlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 2-6 25% | 6-2 75% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OSU 2–3 NUNU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · NU has won the last 3 meetings · OSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | NU 70 @ OSU 49 | OSU -8.5 | NU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | OSU 58 @ NU 83 | NU -2.5 | NU W |
| Feb 9, 2022-23 | NU 69 @ OSU 63 | OSU -5.5 | NU W |
| Jan 1, 2022-23 | OSU 73 @ NU 57 | NU +2.5 | OSU W |
| Jan 9, 2021-22 | NU 87 @ OSU 95 | OSU -7.5 | OSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio State
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vs ND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
over 3under 4avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
over 6under 2avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio State
6-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Pitt66–67
- Wvs Mount St Marys113–60
- Wvs W Michigan91–58
- Wvs Notre Dame64–63
- Wvs App State75–53
A week or more of rest.
Northwestern
5-3 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wisconsin73–85
- Lvs Oklahoma St81–86
- Wvs South Carolina79–77
- Lvs Virginia78–83
- W@ DePaul81–79
3 days since their last game.