Jack Stephens Center · at Little Rock
Closing line
ARST -9.5✓ ARST covered by 2.5
ARST -9.5✓ ARST covered by 2.5Closing total147.5Over by 20.5
| ARST | This season | LR |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 1-6 |
| 6-2 | ATS | 2-5 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARST 80–71 LR · ✓ ARST (81%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARST | 46 | 44 | 90 |
| LR | 39 | 39 | 78 |
1st half: ARST 46, LR 39 (ARST by 7). The model had ARST by 6.1 and a total of 70.6 (actual 85).
Team stats
| ARST | LR | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-69 49% | Field goals | 29-57 51% |
| 13-37 35% | 3-pointers | 10-20 50% |
| 9-9 100% | Free throws | 10-17 59% |
| 42 13 off | Rebounds | 24 3 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| ARST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hampton G | 32 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Fredy-Salam Sylla G | 24 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-7 | 3-3 |
| Matt Hayman G | 22 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| Royal Blue Smith G | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| Chudi Dioramma F | 16 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaxon Ellingsworth F | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-7 |
| T.J. Caldwell G | 23 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-6 |
| Chandler Jackson G | 23 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Christian Harmon G | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-8 |
| Aly Tounkara F | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joey Chammaa, Grayson Bennett, CJ Geathers, Weston Honeycutt, Tim Matthews
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson G | 40 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 13-19 | 6-9 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 38 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 11-17 | 2-6 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 38 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Christian Hughes G | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 23 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tracy Steele Jr. G | 24 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Wallace F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Truman Claytor IV, Joseph Thomas, Travonne Jackson, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess, Tuongthach Gatkek, Khasen Robinson, KK Robinson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARST -7.5
2 → ARST
CloseARST -9.5
2 pts toward ARST
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ARST -395 · LR +310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARST -7.5 · closed ARST -9.5 · moved 2 toward ARSTmodel ARST -10
model ARST -10
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARST -9.5 | ARST -9.9 | ARST +0.4 | W ARST covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 150.8 | Over 3.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ARST 80.3 · LR 70.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARST -6.1 | ARST -7.0 |
| 1H total | 70.6 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | ARST 38.3 · LR 32.2 | ARST 46 · LR 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARSTlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% |
| LRlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 2-5 29% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARST 2–1 LRARST leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · ARST 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024-25 | LR 63 @ ARST 80 | ARST -14.5 | ARST W |
| Dec 1, 2023-24 | ARST 66 @ LR 77 | LR -1.5 | LR W |
| Dec 22, 2022-23 | LR 75 @ ARST 77 | ARST -5.5 | LR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas St
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OHIO | W 89-85 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 7 | @ SFA | L 65-90 | -1.5 | L −26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ MOST | W 86-85 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | @ SMC | L 72-85 | +20.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ SMU | L 69-100 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs JXST | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 28 | vs NDSU | W 85-80 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTA | W 83-63 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+7.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−26.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+2.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−16.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
+6.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+1.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
+14.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OHIO
OHIOW 89-85
+14.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 65-90
−0.5
11
@MOST
MOSTW 86-85
+18.5
19
@SMC
SMCL 72-85
+7.5
21
@SMU
SMUL 69-100
−3.5
24
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-63
−18.5
28
vsNDSU
NDSUW 85-80
+4.5
2
vsUTA
UTAW 83-63
−5.5
over 4under 4avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Little Rock
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −9.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@
MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@
MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@
BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
18
@
MUR
MURL 68-89
−7.5
21
@
TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−3.5
29
@
SIU
SIUL 65-74
+4.5
3
@
CARK
CARKL 47-85
−34.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −9.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
+3.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−10.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
−2.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−6.5
over 2under 5avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas St
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Arlington83–63
- Wvs N Dakota St85–80
- Wvs Jax State74–63
- L@ SMU69–100
- L@ Saint Mary's72–85
4 days since their last game.
Little Rock
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ C Arkansas47–85
- L@ S Illinois65–74
- L@ Texas St56–65
- L@ Murray St68–89
- W@ Ball State68–62
3 days since their last game.