Freedom Hall (TN) · at ETSU
Closing line
ETSU -9.5✓ JXST covered by 15.5
ETSU -9.5✓ JXST covered by 15.5Closing total134.5Over by 21.5
 JXST | This season | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 0-7 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JXST 63–74 ETSU · ✗ ETSU (83%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXST | 31 | 50 | 81 |
| ETSU | 34 | 41 | 75 |
1st half: JXST 31, ETSU 34 (ETSU by 3). The model had ETSU by 6.5 and a total of 63.9 (actual 65).
Team stats
| JXST | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-49 53% | Field goals | 22-41 54% |
| 11-22 50% | 3-pointers | 8-15 53% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 23-29 79% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 20 5 off |
| 11 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| JXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Bryant G | 33 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 10-16 | 6-10 |
| Jacoby Hill G | 30 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil G | 30 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-2 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. G | 25 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Aitor Anabitarte F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford F | 30 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Jaye Nash G | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Iaroslav Niagu F | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Franklin G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Connor Loy, Jordan Vick, Aidan Driggers, Ben Vungo, Toby Nnadozie, Thomas Tut
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 35 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 7-10 | 3-4 |
| Cam Morris III F | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 31 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Allen Strothers G | 25 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Blake Barkley F | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Smith G | 29 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Maki Johnson G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Henry Sisemore, Frederico Whitaker Jr., Maddox Huff, Joseph Carter, Brayden Crump, Gabe Sisk, Milton Matthews III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketETSU -9.5
ModelETSU -11.1
Model edgeETSU +1.6
L JXST covered
Total
Market134.5
Model136.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
JXST 62.6 · ETSU 73.7
JXST 81 · ETSU 75
Win probability
ETSU 83%
1st half
Spread
ETSU -6.5
ETSU -3.0
Total
63.9
65 points
Projected score
JXST 28.7 · ETSU 35.2
JXST 31 · ETSU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -11.5
2 → JXST
CloseETSU -9.5
2 pts toward JXST
Total
Open133.5
▲ 1
Close134.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
JXST +410 · ETSU -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -11.5 · closed ETSU -9.5 · moved 2 toward JXSTmodel ETSU -11
model ETSU -11
Opened 133.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 upmodel 136.5
model 136.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JXSTlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 0-7 0% | 4-3 57% |
| ETSU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JXST 1–1 ETSUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · JXST 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023-24 | ETSU 61 @ JXST 59 | JXST -3.5 | ETSU W |
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | JXST 63 @ ETSU 61 | ETSU -2.5 | JXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jax State
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
0-7
0% covers · avg −7.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg −9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
14
vs
CCU
CCUW 74-67
−0.5
19
vs
USA
USAL 65-71
−8.5
24
@
ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−6.5
26
vs
NDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−9.5
1
vs
UNA
UNAL 66-73
−13.5
13
@
GAST
GASTL 73-77
−7.5
17
vs
EKU
EKUL 59-62
−5.5
covered 0didn’t cover 7avg −7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
14
vsCCU
CCUW 74-67
+1.5
19
vsUSA
USAL 65-71
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 63-74
−18.5
26
vsNDSU
NDSUL 43-56
−43.5
1
vsUNA
UNAL 66-73
+4.5
13
@GAST
GASTL 73-77
+10.5
17
vsEKU
EKUL 59-62
−21.5
over 4under 3avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
ETSU
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ PRES | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs NKU | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @UNA | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs MORE | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs ULM | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs CARK | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ DAY | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vsUSA | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ APSU | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNC | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+22.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
+10.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
−5.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+18.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
−4.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+5.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
−7.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
+18.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+12.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
+7.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−15.5
over 5under 5avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jax State
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs E Kentucky59–62
- L@ Georgia St73–77
- Lvs North Alabama66–73
- Lvs N Dakota St43–56
- L@ Arkansas St63–74
3 days since their last game.
ETSU
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Carolina58–77
- L@ Austin Peay75–76
- Wvs South Alabama91–65
- L@ Dayton71–88
- Wvs C Arkansas80–57
4 days since their last game.