Joan Perry Brock Center · at Longwood · Conference game
Closing line
HPU -9.5✓ HPU covered by 2.5
HPU -9.5✓ HPU covered by 2.5Closing total156.5Under by 26.5
| HPU | This season | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| 16-4 | Record | 9-11 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 14-6 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HPU 86–76 LONG · ✓ HPU (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 31 | 40 | 71 |
| LONG | 21 | 38 | 59 |
1st half: HPU 31, LONG 21 (HPU by 10). The model had HPU by 5.7 and a total of 75.8 (actual 52).
Team stats
| HPU | LONG | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-50 48% | Field goals | 22-53 42% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 7-9 78% |
| 26 5 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 11 |
| 13 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Anderson F | 37 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 6-13 | 1-5 |
| Braden Hausen F | 36 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Owen Aquino F | 32 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Rob Martin G | 29 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Scotty Washington G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Conrad Martinez G | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Vincent Brady II G | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase Johnston G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Liam Carney, David Fonville, Babacar Diallo, Josh Ibukunoluwa, Birgir Irving, Mavrick Miller, Caden Miller, Dorian Grosber, Kasen Krueger, Cam'Ron Fletcher
| LONG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Tucker F | 31 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Johan Nziemi F | 29 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Emanuel Richards G | 29 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Jacoi Hutchinson G | 21 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Kelly G | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Redd Thompson Jr. G | 33 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 6-14 | 3-8 |
| Jaylen Benard G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Alphonzo Billups III G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Jones F | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Payne F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KJ McClurg, Isaiah Kalala, Gerald Burr III, Jerome Williams, Quadri Bashiru
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -9.5
ModelHPU -9.3
Model edgeLONG +0.2
L HPU covered
Total
Market156.5
Model161.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
L Under
Projected score
HPU 85.6 · LONG 76.3
HPU 71 · LONG 59
Win probability
HPU 79%
1st half
Spread
HPU -5.7
HPU -10.0
Total
75.8
52 points
Projected score
HPU 40.7 · LONG 35.1
HPU 31 · LONG 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHPU -10.5
1 → LONG
CloseHPU -9.5
1 pt toward LONG
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
HPU -500 · LONG +380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HPU -10.5 · closed HPU -9.5 · moved 1 toward LONGmodel HPU -9.5 matches the line
model HPU -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| LONG | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
HPU 3–7 LONGLONG leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · HPU has won the last 2 meetings · HPU 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | LONG 67 @ HPU 80 | HPU -16.5 | LONG W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | LONG 72 @ HPU 83 | HPU -10.5 | HPU W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | HPU 80 @ LONG 82 | LONG +3.5 | LONG W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | LONG 80 vs HPU 79 | HPU -7.5 | LONG W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | HPU 72 @ LONG 74 | LONG +2.5 | LONG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
High Point
20 games played
Straight up
16-4
80% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-6
70% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs JAX | W 85-64 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | @ UAB | L 74-91 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs CAN | W 93-50 | -23.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIC | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIW | W 91-80 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 29 | vs WCU | W 93-73 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 3 | vs SIU | L 84-86 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs NJIT | W 89-72 | -28.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | vs APP | L 78-86 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs LAS | W 84-72 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs BRY | W 93-47 | -19.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 31 | @ UNCA | W 87-69 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | vsLONG | W 80-67 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs GWEB | W 104-49 | -26.5 | W +28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | @ CHSO | W 84-82 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ WIN | L 75-92 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vs UPST | W 89-69 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ RAD | W 93-83 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 29 | vs PRES | W 84-81 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+3.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
−11.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
−11.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
−20.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
−1.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
+26.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+7.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−3.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
+28.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
−6.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
−19.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+3.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+2.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
−11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+6.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
+7.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
+5.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
+19.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
+6.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
−13.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+4.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−13.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
−9.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
+2.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
+4.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+5.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+10.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
+15.5
over 14under 6avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Longwood
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ PITT | L 60-78 | +14.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | vs JMU | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs BING | W 90-82 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UMES | L 82-83 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 23 | @ COLU | L 70-95 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs SIE | L 63-70 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs ME | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 30 | @ AMER | L 66-92 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | @ MORG | W 84-80 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 13 | vs DSU | L 76-81 | -13.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 17 | @ WAKE | L 68-71 | +24.5 | W +21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | @ NCCU | W 74-72 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vsWIN | W 82-70 | +7.5 | W +19.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @HPU | L 67-80 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | @UNCA | L 61-72 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vsPRES | W 77-70 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 17 | @RAD | L 83-85 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | vsGWEB | W 91-56 | -16.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 23 | vsCHSO | W 81-79 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 29 | @UPST | L 60-65 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−3.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+11.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
−7.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
−18.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
−21.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−1.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−1.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
−20.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
−1.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
−18.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
+21.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−1.5
31
vsWIN
WINW 82-70
+19.5
3
@HPU
HPUL 67-80
+3.5
7
@UNCA
UNCAL 61-72
−8.5
10
vsPRES
PRESW 77-70
+3.5
17
@RAD
RADL 83-85
+2.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 91-56
+18.5
23
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-79
+0.5
29
@UPST
UPSTL 60-65
−6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−7.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+4.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
+24.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
+26.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
+11.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−12.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−12.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
+9.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
+9.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
+17.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
−24.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−0.5
31
vsWIN
WINW 82-70
−9.5
3
@HPU
HPUL 67-80
−13.5
7
@UNCA
UNCAL 61-72
−15.5
10
vsPRES
PRESW 77-70
+7.5
17
@RAD
RADL 83-85
+10.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 91-56
−8.5
23
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-79
+3.5
29
@UPST
UPSTL 60-65
−22.5
over 10under 10avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
High Point
16-4 overall · 7-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Presbyterian84–81
- W@ Radford93–83
- Wvs SC Upstate89–69
- L@ Winthrop75–92
- W@ Charleston So84–82
2 days since their last game.
Longwood
9-11 overall · 4-4 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SC Upstate60–65
- Wvs Charleston So81–79
- Wvs Gardner-Webb91–56
- L@ Radford83–85
- Wvs Presbyterian77–70
2 days since their last game.