G.B. Hodge Center · at SC Upstate · Conference game
Closing line
UPST -1.5✓ RAD covered by 8.5
UPST -1.5✓ RAD covered by 8.5Closing total158.5Under by 13.5
 RAD | This season | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| 4-8 | Record | 5-7 |
| 4-8 | ATS | 8-4 |
| 8-4 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RAD 78–80 UPST · ✗ UPST (58%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAD | 37 | 39 | 76 |
| UPST | 30 | 39 | 69 |
1st half: RAD 37, UPST 30 (RAD by 7). The model had UPST by 1.2 and a total of 73.7 (actual 67).
Team stats
| RAD | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-58 45% | Field goals | 26-66 39% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 17-24 71% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 37 10 off | Rebounds | 41 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| RAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Parker Jr. G | 36 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 8-14 | 3-5 |
| Jaylon Johnson G | 35 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Tyson Brown F | 32 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Del Jones G | 29 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5-14 | 0-3 |
| Lukas Walls G | 28 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brennan Rigsby Jr. G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Frederik Erichsen F | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Mari Jordan G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Louie Jordan F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bradley Land, Gabriel Ferreira, Warren Keel Jr., Diogo Alves, Zion Walker
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmani Gregory G | 32 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 30 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 7-19 | 0-3 |
| Tyler Smith G | 23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 20 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Learic Davis F | 19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Adkins G | 30 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Breylin Garcia F | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chico Johnson G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Coen Collier C | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Rich, Kanye Jones, Nic Book, TJ Lewis
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUPST -1.5
ModelUPST -2.2
Model edgeUPST +0.7
L RAD covered
Total
Market158.5
Model157.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
W Under
Projected score
RAD 77.6 · UPST 79.8
RAD 76 · UPST 69
Win probability
UPST 58%
1st half
Spread
UPST -1.2
RAD -7.0
Total
73.7
67 points
Projected score
RAD 36.3 · UPST 37.4
RAD 37 · UPST 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRAD -1.5
3 → UPST
CloseUPST -1.5
3 pts toward UPST
Total
Open159.5
▼ 1
Close158.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
RAD +102 · UPST -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RAD -1.5 · closed UPST -1.5 · moved 3 toward UPSTmodel UPST -2
model UPST -2
Opened 159.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 1 downmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RAD | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| UPST | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
RAD 6–2 UPSTRAD leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · RAD has won the last 3 meetings · RAD 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UPST 69 @ RAD 79 | RAD -12.5 | UPST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | RAD 80 @ UPST 67 | UPST +5.5 | RAD W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | RAD 67 vs UPST 60 | UPST +5.5 | RAD W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | RAD 69 @ UPST 78 | UPST +2.5 | UPST W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | UPST 61 @ RAD 64 | RAD -8.5 | UPST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Radford
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIU | W 80-75 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNC | L 74-89 | +20.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs WRST | L 59-92 | -6.5 | L −39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLE | L 82-87 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | @ SC | L 58-87 | +10.5 | L −18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNCW | L 73-81 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | @ SMU | L 72-89 | +23.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs USM | L 75-82 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs SFPA | W 89-56 | -13.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs COPP | W 107-77 | -20.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 18 | @ W&M | L 83-96 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs VMI | W 97-90 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 187 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
−11.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+5.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−39.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
−13.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−18.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
−3.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
+6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
−10.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
+19.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+9.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
−4.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
−4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIU
WIUW 80-75
+3.5
11
@UNC
UNCL 74-89
+0.5
15
vsWRST
WRSTL 59-92
−5.5
16
vsCLE
CLEL 82-87
+6.5
18
@SC
SCL 58-87
−8.5
21
vsUNCW
UNCWL 73-81
+2.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 72-89
−4.5
3
vsUSM
USML 75-82
+4.5
7
vsSFPA
SFPAW 89-56
−9.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 107-77
+29.5
18
@W&M
W&ML 83-96
+8.5
21
vsVMI
VMIW 97-90
+28.5
over 8under 4avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
SC Upstate
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CBU | L 75-87 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 5 | @ FRES | W 67-66 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 15 | @UNCW | L 60-73 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | vs TNTC | L 84-88 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | @ WGA | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCCU | W 82-67 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ NEB | L 63-72 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs CCU | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs WCU | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @UNC | L 62-80 | +29.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | @ SCST | W 78-72 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ YSU | L 65-74 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−5.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+7.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
+16.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+4.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
+8.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
+11.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
−4.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−17.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+0.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
−22.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+18.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
−4.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
−9.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
+2.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
over 5under 7avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Radford
4-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs VMI97–90
- L@ William & Mary83–96
- Wvs Coppin St107–77
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves89–56
- Lvs Southern Miss75–82
A week or more of rest.
SC Upstate
5-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Youngstown St65–74
- W@ SC State78–72
- L@ North Carolina62–80
- Wvs W Carolina78–67
- Wvs Coastal85–78
A week or more of rest.