The Pit · at New Mexico · Conference game
Closing line
UNM -6.5✓ UNM covered by 16.5
UNM -6.5✓ UNM covered by 16.5Closing total146.5Over by 4.5
 GCU | This season | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 12-3 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 5-10 | O/U | 10-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GCU 70–76 UNM · ✓ UNM (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCU | 33 | 31 | 64 |
| UNM | 38 | 49 | 87 |
1st half: GCU 33, UNM 38 (UNM by 5). The model had UNM by 3.5 and a total of 68.1 (actual 71).
Team stats
| GCU | UNM | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-65 34% | Field goals | 29-55 53% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 8-16 50% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 21-28 75% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 39 6 off |
| 8 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 24 | Fouls | 16 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Henley G | 34 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-3 |
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 32 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-10 | 1-6 |
| Efe Demirel C | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Shaw G | 22 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Brian Moore Jr. G | 21 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Makaih Williams G | 31 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 6-16 | 1-6 |
| Dusty Stromer G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach F | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Kaleb Smith F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evan Boisdur G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cole Pepe, Luke Shaw, Braylon Johnson, Jack Sawyer, Dennis Evans
| UNM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall G | 30 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 7-12 | 2-3 |
| Antonio Chol F | 29 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Luke Haupt G | 28 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Deyton Albury G | 25 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Tomislav Buljan F | 20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Uriah Tenette G | 24 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Tajavis Miller G | 24 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| JT Rock C | 20 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Sir Marius Jones, Timeo Pons, Milos Vicentic, Kallai Patton, Kevin Patton Jr., Chris Howell
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNM -6.5
ModelUNM -6.0
Model edgeGCU +0.5
L UNM covered
Total
Market146.5
Model145.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
L Over
Projected score
GCU 69.7 · UNM 75.7
GCU 64 · UNM 87
Win probability
UNM 70%
1st half
Spread
UNM -3.5
UNM -5.0
Total
68.1
71 points
Projected score
GCU 32.3 · UNM 35.8
GCU 33 · UNM 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNM -8.5
2 → GCU
CloseUNM -6.5
2 pts toward GCU
Total
Open140.5
▲ 6
Close146.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
GCU +250 · UNM -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNM -8.5 · closed UNM -6.5 · moved 2 toward GCUmodel UNM -6
model UNM -6
Opened 140.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 6 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| UNM | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grand Canyon
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-10
33% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs PFW | W 90-71 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | vs YSU | L 81-90 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 10 | vs NIU | W 88-59 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 15 | @ SLU | L 64-78 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs NWST | W 85-72 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTAH | W 68-58 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs IOWA | L 46-59 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | vs STET | W 67-45 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | vs OKST | L 78-84 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs CCU | W 82-61 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ WYO | W 82-70 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs IUIN | W 91-78 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 169.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 3 | vs CSU | L 60-70 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | @ BOIS | W 75-58 | +8.5 | W +25.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs SJSU | W 76-58 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
−24.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
+6.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−5.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
−5.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
+4.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−4.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−2.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
−4.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
+3.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+14.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−10.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−16.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
+25.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
+1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
+18.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
−16.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−25.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
+9.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
−27.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−38.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−29.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
+6.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
−0.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+4.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−0.5
3
vsCSU
CSUL 60-70
−13.5
7
@BOIS
BOISW 75-58
−7.5
10
vsSJSU
SJSUW 76-58
−7.5
over 5under 10avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Mexico
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs ETAM | W 76-54 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTA | W 74-56 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs UCR | W 82-68 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ NMSU | L 68-76 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 20 | vs NEB | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs MSST | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALST | W 93-87 | -19.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs SCU | W 98-71 | -1.5 | W +25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | @ VCU | W 81-78 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 14 | vs FGCU | W 75-59 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 20 | vsSJSU | W 88-65 | -16.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @BOIS | L 53-62 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 3 | vsWYO | W 78-58 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 6 | @CSU | W 80-70 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ AF | W 91-49 | -16.5 | W +25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−0.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
+4.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
−5.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
−11.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
−3.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+8.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
−13.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+25.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+11.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+6.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−3.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
+12.5
6
@CSU
CSUW 80-70
+8.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-49
+25.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−13.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
−15.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
+8.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
+4.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
+4.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+6.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
+31.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+15.5
10
@VCU
VCUW 81-78
+1.5
14
vsFGCU
FGCUW 75-59
−25.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 88-65
+0.5
30
@BOIS
BOISL 53-62
−31.5
3
vsWYO
WYOW 78-58
−15.5
6
@CSU
CSUW 80-70
+6.5
10
@AF
AFW 91-49
+1.5
over 10under 5avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grand Canyon
10-5 overall · 3-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San José St76–58
- W@ Boise St75–58
- Lvs Colorado St60–70
- Wvs IU Indy91–78
- W@ Wyoming82–70
3 days since their last game.
New Mexico
12-3 overall · 4-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Air Force91–49
- W@ Colorado St80–70
- Wvs Wyoming78–58
- L@ Boise St53–62
- Wvs San José St88–65
3 days since their last game.