Neville Arena · at Auburn
Closing line
AUB -25.5✓ AUB covered by 15.5
Closing total171.5Under by 0.5
| This season | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | Record | 8-4 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 9-2 | O/U | 9-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: QUC 75–99 AUB · ✓ AUB (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 21 | 44 | 65 |
| AUB | 57 | 49 | 106 |
1st half: QUC 21, AUB 57 (AUB by 36). The model had AUB by 14.3 and a total of 81.1 (actual 78).
Team stats
| QUC | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 35-63 56% |
| 2-15 13% | 3-pointers | 15-28 54% |
| 21-27 78% | Free throws | 21-30 70% |
| 26 9 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 24 |
| 3 | Steals | 13 |
| 3 | Blocks | 9 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 28 |
Players
| QUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasir Mann G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Yoav Berman F | 26 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Chris Ashby G | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Watford G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Avantae Parker F | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gus Larson F | 24 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Maban Jabriel G | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Kam Clark G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Henry G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Reid Celestin F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Seamus Wilson, Danzelle Bullock Coles, Jimma James, Tyler Crider, Saif-Allah Zatari, Matthew Walter, Colby Christiansen, Jacob Brandly, Carson Schwieger
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Overton G | 30 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 8-12 | 5-7 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 29 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 29 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 25 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 22 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elyjah Freeman G | 23 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 9-13 | 4-4 |
| Filip Jovic C | 18 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Simon Walker G | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Reed Trapp, CJ Williams
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -24.5
1 → AUB
CloseAUB -25.5
1 pt toward AUB
Total
Open174.5
▼ 3
Close171.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
QUC +2200 · AUB -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -24.5 · closed AUB -25.5 · moved 1 toward AUBmodel AUB -24
model AUB -24
Opened 174.5 · closed 171.5 · moved 3 downmodel 173.5
model 173.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AUB -25.5 | AUB -24.0 | QUC +1.5 | L AUB covered |
| Total | 171.5 | 173.4 | Over 1.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | QUC 74.7 · AUB 98.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AUB -14.3 | AUB -36.0 |
| 1H total | 81.1 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | QUC 33.4 · AUB 47.7 | QUC 21 · AUB 57 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% | |
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Queens University Royals
11 games played
Straight up
4-7
36% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-2
82% overs · avg +12.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 74-94 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 81-87 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 81-64 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 165.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 101-94 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | @ | L 79-90 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 69-94 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 107-74 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 12 | vs | W 102-78 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 73-111 | +18.5 | L −19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 80-108 | +23.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WIN
L 74-81
−3.5
8
@
VILL
L 74-94
−2.5
11
@
DUQ
L 81-87
+6.5
15
vs
SHU
W 81-64
+11.5
20
vs
UNCG
W 101-94
−0.5
23
@
FUR
L 79-90
−2.5
28
@
UVA
L 69-94
+0.5
3
vs
GWEB
W 107-74
+18.5
12
vs
SCST
W 102-78
+5.5
14
@
WAKE
L 73-111
−19.5
16
@
ARK
L 80-108
−4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
WIN
L 74-81
−8.5
8
@
VILL
L 74-94
+17.5
11
@
DUQ
L 81-87
+5.5
15
vs
SHU
W 81-64
−20.5
20
vs
UNCG
W 101-94
+44.5
23
@
FUR
L 79-90
+15.5
28
@
UVA
L 69-94
+2.5
3
vs
GWEB
W 107-74
+19.5
12
vs
SCST
W 102-78
+22.5
14
@
WAKE
L 73-111
+18.5
16
@
ARK
L 80-108
+18.5
over 9under 2avg +12.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-3
75% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BCU
W 95-90
−19.5
6
vs
MRMK
W 95-57
+14.5
11
vs
WOF
W 93-62
+3.5
16
vs
HOU
L 72-73
+6.5
19
vs
JKST
W 112-66
+15.5
24
vs
ORE
W 84-73
+6.5
25
vs
MICH
L 72-102
−25.5
26
vs
SJU
W 85-74
+15.5
3
vs
NCSU
W 83-73
+4.5
6
@
ARIZ
L 68-97
−17.5
13
vs
UTC
W 92-78
−5.5
20
vs
PUR
L 60-88
−20.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BCU
W 95-90
+31.5
6
vs
MRMK
W 95-57
+3.5
11
vs
WOF
W 93-62
+2.5
16
vs
HOU
L 72-73
+4.5
19
vs
JKST
W 112-66
+21.5
24
vs
ORE
W 84-73
+1.5
25
vs
MICH
L 72-102
+10.5
26
vs
SJU
W 85-74
−7.5
3
vs
NCSU
W 83-73
−6.5
6
@
ARIZ
L 68-97
+2.5
13
vs
UTC
W 92-78
+19.5
20
vs
PUR
L 60-88
−4.5
over 9under 3avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Queens University Royals
4-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas80–108
- L@ Wake Forest73–111
- Wvs SC State102–78
- Wvs Gardner-Webb107–74
- L@ Virginia69–94
A week or more of rest.
Auburn
8-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue60–88
- Wvs Chattanooga92–78
- L@ Arizona68–97
- Wvs NC State83–73
- Wvs St John's85–74
A week or more of rest.