Bud Walton Arena · at Arkansas
Closing line
ARK -23.5✓ ARK covered by 4.5
Closing total169.5Over by 18.5
| This season | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 8-2 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 7-3 |
| 8-2 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: QUC 73–97 ARK · ✓ ARK (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 36 | 44 | 80 |
| ARK | 60 | 48 | 108 |
1st half: QUC 36, ARK 60 (ARK by 24). The model had ARK by 14.3 and a total of 79.5 (actual 96).
Team stats
| QUC | ARK | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-68 44% | Field goals | 36-64 56% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 14-28 50% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 22-27 81% |
| 34 16 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 26 |
| 6 | Steals | 13 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 32 |
Players
| QUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasir Mann G | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Chris Ashby G | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-9 | 0-7 |
| Carson Schwieger F | 24 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Avantae Parker F | 23 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Watford G | 17 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Yoav Berman F | 26 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Maban Jabriel G | 20 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| Isaiah Henry G | 19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Gus Larson F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Reid Celestin F | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kam Clark G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Crider G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Brandly, Colby Christiansen, Danzelle Bullock Coles, Jimma James, Saif-Allah Zatari, Seamus Wilson, Matthew Walter
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 31 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 8-13 | 4-6 |
| Nick Pringle F | 26 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 25 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 9-11 | 5-7 |
| Karter Knox G | 23 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| DJ Wagner G | 23 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Meleek Thomas G | 27 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 1-11 | 1-7 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 25 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Malique Ewin F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Sealy F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Karuletwa G | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ayden Kelley G | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amere Brown G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Paulo Semedo, Karim Rtail, Elmir Dzafic
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -24.5
1 → QUC
CloseARK -23.5
1 pt toward QUC
Total
Open175.5
▼ 6
Close169.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
QUC +2000 · ARK -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -24.5 · closed ARK -23.5 · moved 1 toward QUCmodel ARK -24
model ARK -24
Opened 175.5 · closed 169.5 · moved 6 downmodel 170
model 170
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARK -23.5 | ARK -24.1 | ARK +0.6 | W ARK covered |
| Total | 169.5 | 169.9 | Over 0.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | QUC 72.9 · ARK 97 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARK -14.3 | ARK -24.0 |
| 1H total | 79.5 | 96 |
| 1H projected score | QUC 32.5 · ARK 46.9 | QUC 36 · ARK 60 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | |
| 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Queens University Royals
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-2
80% overs · avg +11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 74-94 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 81-87 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 81-64 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 165.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 101-94 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | @ | L 79-90 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 28 | @ | L 69-94 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 107-74 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 12 | vs | W 102-78 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ | L 73-111 | +18.5 | L −19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WIN
L 74-81
−3.5
8
@
VILL
L 74-94
−2.5
11
@
DUQ
L 81-87
+6.5
15
vs
SHU
W 81-64
+11.5
20
vs
UNCG
W 101-94
−0.5
23
@
FUR
L 79-90
−2.5
28
@
UVA
L 69-94
+0.5
3
vs
GWEB
W 107-74
+18.5
12
vs
SCST
W 102-78
+5.5
14
@
WAKE
L 73-111
−19.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
WIN
L 74-81
−8.5
8
@
VILL
L 74-94
+17.5
11
@
DUQ
L 81-87
+5.5
15
vs
SHU
W 81-64
−20.5
20
vs
UNCG
W 101-94
+44.5
23
@
FUR
L 79-90
+15.5
28
@
UVA
L 69-94
+2.5
3
vs
GWEB
W 107-74
+19.5
12
vs
SCST
W 102-78
+22.5
14
@
WAKE
L 73-111
+18.5
over 8under 2avg +11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arkansas
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SOU
W 109-77
+5.5
8
@
MSU
L 66-69
−0.5
11
vs
CARK
W 93-56
+1.5
14
vs
SAM
W 79-75
−20.5
18
vs
WIN
W 84-83
−22.5
21
vs
JKST
W 115-61
+24.5
27
vs
DUKE
L 71-80
+3.5
3
vs
LOU
W 89-80
+10.5
6
vs
FRES
W 82-58
+4.5
13
vs
TTU
W 93-86
+9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
SOU
W 109-77
+35.5
8
@
MSU
L 66-69
−20.5
11
vs
CARK
W 93-56
−9.5
14
vs
SAM
W 79-75
−4.5
18
vs
WIN
W 84-83
−1.5
21
vs
JKST
W 115-61
+16.5
27
vs
DUKE
L 71-80
−8.5
3
vs
LOU
W 89-80
+2.5
6
vs
FRES
W 82-58
−21.5
13
vs
TTU
W 93-86
+23.5
over 4under 6avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Queens University Royals
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wake Forest73–111
- Wvs SC State102–78
- Wvs Gardner-Webb107–74
- L@ Virginia69–94
- L@ Furman79–90
2 days since their last game.
Arkansas
8-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas Tech93–86
- Wvs Fresno St82–58
- Wvs Louisville89–80
- Lvs Duke71–80
- Wvs Jackson St115–61
3 days since their last game.