Truist Arena · at N Kentucky
Closing line
NKU -7.5✓ NKU covered by 1.5
NKU -7.5✓ NKU covered by 1.5Closing total143.5Under by 4.5
 BU | This season | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 3-2 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 5-2 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BU 72–77 NKU · ✓ NKU (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BU | 29 | 36 | 65 |
| NKU | 24 | 50 | 74 |
1st half: BU 29, NKU 24 (BU by 5). The model had NKU by 2.4 and a total of 69.7 (actual 53).
Team stats
| BU | NKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-41 56% | Field goals | 23-60 38% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 8-29 28% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 20-24 83% |
| 24 6 off | Rebounds | 33 18 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 23 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| BU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Gladden G | 36 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 7-9 | 1-1 |
| Mike McNair Jr. G | 32 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Ben Defty C | 29 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Sam Hughes F | 27 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Ben Roy G | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Azmar Abdullah G | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Malcolm Chimezie F | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Donte Tisinger Jr. G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Quinn Nielsen F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peter Carr, Spencer Joyner, Kyrone Alexander, Ethan Okwuosa, Matai Baptiste, Andrew Bhesania, Otto Landrum
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Gherezgher G | 33 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 8-20 | 4-11 |
| LJ Wells F | 31 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Kael Robinson F | 28 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Tae Dozier G | 27 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Oday G | 30 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 15 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Addison Archer F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ryan Tolliver, Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang, Mitchel Minor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNKU -7.5
ModelNKU -4.2
Model edgeBU +3.3
L NKU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model148.8
Model edgeOver 5.3
L Under
Projected score
BU 72.3 · NKU 76.5
BU 65 · NKU 74
Win probability
NKU 64%
1st half
Spread
NKU -2.4
BU -5.0
Total
69.7
53 points
Projected score
BU 33.6 · NKU 36.1
BU 29 · NKU 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -6.5
1 → NKU
CloseNKU -7.5
1 pt toward NKU
Total
Open149.5
▼ 6
Close143.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
BU +250 · NKU -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -6.5 · closed NKU -7.5 · moved 1 toward NKUmodel NKU -4
model NKU -4
Opened 149.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 6 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% |
| NKUlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Boston U
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +11.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NE
NEW 76-75
+3.5
7
@
NU
NUL 52-76
−6.5
12
vs
BRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+9.5
15
vs
MRMK
MRMKL 79-91
−14.5
18
@
COLU
COLUL 49-54
−0.5
22
vs
HARV
HARVW 75-74
+5.5
25
@
PSU
PSUL 87-96
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+8.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−8.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+37.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
+34.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−41.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+12.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+40.5
over 5under 2avg +11.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Kentucky
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +8.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@
ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@
CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vs
EKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vs
WOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
over 3under 2avg +8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Boston U
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Penn State87–96
- Wvs Harvard75–74
- L@ Columbia49–54
- Lvs Merrimack79–91
- Wvs Brown90–77
4 days since their last game.
N Kentucky
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wofford93–83
- Wvs E Kentucky82–71
- W@ C Michigan90–66
- L@ ETSU63–75
- L@ Tennessee56–95
3 days since their last game.