Capital One Arena · at Georgetown · Conference game
Closing line
VILL -2.5✓ VILL covered by 4.5
VILL -2.5✓ VILL covered by 4.5Closing total140.5Over by 12.5
| VILL | This season | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| 17-5 | Record | 13-10 |
| 15-7 | ATS | 9-14 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 12-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VILL 74–69 GTWN · ✓ VILL (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 37 | 43 | 80 |
| GTWN | 40 | 33 | 73 |
1st half: VILL 37, GTWN 40 (GTWN by 3). The model had VILL by 3.0 and a total of 66.7 (actual 77).
Team stats
| VILL | GTWN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-57 49% | Field goals | 24-60 40% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 14-28 50% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 18 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 24 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Perkins G | 34 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 34 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 11-15 | 3-5 |
| Duke Brennan F | 33 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Matt Hodge F | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-8 | 0-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 23 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Braden Pierce C | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Zion Stanford, Tafara Gapare, Malcolm Flaggs, Wade Chiddick, Nico Onyekwere
| GTWN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams F | 31 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Malik Mack G | 31 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 7-15 | 3-9 |
| Isaiah Abraham F | 30 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| KJ Lewis G | 30 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-14 | 1-6 |
| Julius Halaifonua C | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Vince Iwuchukwu C | 28 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Kayvaun Mulready G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jeremiah Williams G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Fort F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hashem Asadallah, Austin Montgomery, DeShawn Harris-Smith, Mason Moses, Langston Love, Michael Van Raaphorst, Seal Diouf, Gabriel Landeira
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVILL -2.5
ModelVILL -4.8
Model edgeVILL +2.3
W VILL covered
Total
Market140.5
Model142.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
W Over
Projected score
VILL 73.6 · GTWN 68.8
VILL 80 · GTWN 73
Win probability
VILL 66%
1st half
Spread
VILL -3.0
GTWN -3.0
Total
66.7
77 points
Projected score
VILL 34.8 · GTWN 31.9
VILL 37 · GTWN 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -4.5
2 → GTWN
CloseVILL -2.5
2 pts toward GTWN
Total
Open138.5
▲ 2
Close140.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
VILL -155 · GTWN +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -4.5 · closed VILL -2.5 · moved 2 toward GTWNmodel VILL -5
model VILL -5
Opened 138.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 2 upmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| GTWN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
VILL 8–2 GTWNVILL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · VILL 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | GTWN 51 @ VILL 66 | VILL -8.5 | VILL W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | VILL 73 @ GTWN 75 | GTWN +5.5 | GTWN W |
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | GTWN 64 @ VILL 63 | VILL -7.5 | GTWN W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | GTWN 47 @ VILL 75 | VILL -15.5 | VILL W |
| Feb 16, 2023-24 | VILL 70 @ GTWN 54 | GTWN +10.5 | VILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Villanova
22 games played
Straight up
17-5
77% wins
Against the spread
15-7
68% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs WIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @ HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 31 | vs DEP | W 71-66 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ BTLR | W 85-67 | +2.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 7 | vs CREI | L 72-76 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | @ MARQ | W 76-73 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @ PROV | W 88-82 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 17 | vs SJU | L 79-86 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | vsGTWN | W 66-51 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @ CONN | L 67-75 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 30 | vsPROV | W 87-73 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsHALL | W 72-60 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−7.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+20.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
−8.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
−0.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+3.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
−4.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
+6.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+3.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+5.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
+6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 7avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
31
vsDEP
DEPW 71-66
−2.5
3
@BTLR
BTLRW 85-67
+2.5
7
vsCREI
CREIL 72-76
+5.5
10
@MARQ
MARQW 76-73
+2.5
13
@PROV
PROVW 88-82
+13.5
17
vsSJU
SJUL 79-86
+17.5
21
vsGTWN
GTWNW 66-51
−25.5
24
@CONN
CONNL 67-75
+4.5
30
vsPROV
PROVW 87-73
+2.5
4
vsHALL
HALLW 72-60
−2.5
over 12under 10avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgetown
23 games played
Straight up
13-10
57% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MORG | W 87-70 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | @ MD | W 70-60 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs BING | W 83-70 | -27.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CLEM | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | vs WAG | W 92-75 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 27 | vs DAY | L 79-84 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs MIA | L 65-78 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs UMBC | W 90-81 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNC | L 61-81 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs SPU | W 76-68 | -20.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 17 | @MARQ | W 78-69 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | vs XAV | L 77-80 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 22 | vs COPP | W 97-67 | -33.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | vsSJU | L 83-95 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @DEP | L 50-56 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 10 | vsHALL | L 67-76 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 13 | @CREI | L 83-86 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vsCONN | L 62-64 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 21 | @VILL | L 51-66 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 24 | @PROV | W 81-78 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsDEP | W 70-61 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 31 | @BTLR | W 77-64 | +5.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | vsCREI | W 76-68 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMORG
MORGW 87-70
−10.5
7
@MD
MDW 70-60
+14.5
12
vsBING
BINGW 83-70
−14.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+6.5
22
vsWAG
WAGW 92-75
−8.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 79-84
−3.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 65-78
−7.5
3
vsUMBC
UMBCW 90-81
−10.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 61-81
−9.5
13
vsSPU
SPUW 76-68
−12.5
17
@MARQ
MARQW 78-69
+15.5
20
vsXAV
XAVL 77-80
−7.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 97-67
−3.5
31
vsSJU
SJUL 83-95
−3.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 50-56
−3.5
10
vsHALL
HALLL 67-76
−7.5
13
@CREI
CREIL 83-86
+5.5
17
vsCONN
CONNL 62-64
+9.5
21
@VILL
VILLL 51-66
−6.5
24
@PROV
PROVW 81-78
+8.5
28
vsDEP
DEPW 70-61
+5.5
31
@BTLR
BTLRW 77-64
+18.5
4
vsCREI
CREIW 76-68
+6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMORG
MORGW 87-70
+2.5
7
@MD
MDW 70-60
−14.5
12
vsBING
BINGW 83-70
+11.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+10.5
22
vsWAG
WAGW 92-75
+26.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 79-84
+17.5
28
vsMIA
MIAL 65-78
−8.5
3
vsUMBC
UMBCW 90-81
+21.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 61-81
−7.5
13
vsSPU
SPUW 76-68
+3.5
17
@MARQ
MARQW 78-69
−2.5
20
vsXAV
XAVL 77-80
+7.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 97-67
+13.5
31
vsSJU
SJUL 83-95
+25.5
6
@DEP
DEPL 50-56
−38.5
10
vsHALL
HALLL 67-76
+5.5
13
@CREI
CREIL 83-86
+21.5
17
vsCONN
CONNL 62-64
−15.5
21
@VILL
VILLL 51-66
−25.5
24
@PROV
PROVW 81-78
−0.5
28
vsDEP
DEPW 70-61
−8.5
31
@BTLR
BTLRW 77-64
−8.5
4
vsCREI
CREIW 76-68
−2.5
over 12under 11avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Villanova
17-5 overall · 8-3 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Seton Hall72–60
- Wvs Providence87–73
- L@ UConn67–75
- Wvs Georgetown66–51
- Lvs St John's79–86
3 days since their last game.
Georgetown
13-10 overall · 5-7 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Creighton76–68
- W@ Butler77–64
- Wvs DePaul70–61
- W@ Providence81–78
- L@ Villanova51–66
3 days since their last game.