Madison Square Garden · at St John's · Conference game
Closing line
SJU -15.5✓ SJU covered by 8.5
SJU -15.5✓ SJU covered by 8.5Closing total155.5Over by 4.5
 MARQ | This season | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | Record | 11-5 |
| 5-12 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 8-9 | O/U | 6-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MARQ 70–86 SJU · ✓ SJU (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| SJU | 40 | 52 | 92 |
1st half: MARQ 34, SJU 40 (SJU by 6). The model had SJU by 9.6 and a total of 73.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| MARQ | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-49 47% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 17-27 63% | Free throws | 21-24 88% |
| 26 7 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 20 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Ross G | 38 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Adrien Stevens G | 32 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Nigel James Jr. G | 31 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 6-13 | 0-2 |
| Royce Parham F | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damarius Owens SF | 26 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Michael Phillips II SF | 16 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Joshua Clark F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tre Norman G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nash Walker, Braeden Brenn, Jonah Lucas, Sheek Pearson, Ian Miletic, Casey O'Malley, Ben Gold, Sean Jones
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oziyah Sellers G | 35 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 9-16 | 4-9 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 29 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 26 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 19 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Ian Jackson G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dylan Darling G | 20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 18 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Joson Sanon G | 16 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Ruben Prey F | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kelvin Odih G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Casper Pohto, Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic, Handje Tamba
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSJU -15.5
ModelSJU -16.4
Model edgeSJU +0.9
W SJU covered
Total
Market155.5
Model156.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
W Over
Projected score
MARQ 70 · SJU 86.3
MARQ 68 · SJU 92
Win probability
SJU 92%
1st half
Spread
SJU -9.6
SJU -6.0
Total
73.2
74 points
Projected score
MARQ 31.8 · SJU 41.4
MARQ 34 · SJU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -15.5
no move
CloseSJU -15.5
No change since the open
Total
Open155.5
no move
Close155.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MARQ +900 · SJU -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -15.5 · unchangedmodel SJU -16.5
model SJU -16.5
Opened 155.5 · unchangedmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| SJU | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MARQ 6–3 SJUMARQ leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SJU has won the last 3 meetings · MARQ 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | MARQ 63 vs SJU 79 | SJU -3.5 | SJU W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | SJU 86 @ MARQ 84 | MARQ -4.5 | SJU W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | MARQ 64 @ SJU 70 | SJU -2.5 | SJU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | SJU 75 @ MARQ 86 | MARQ -7.5 | MARQ W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | MARQ 73 @ SJU 72 | SJU -1.5 | MARQ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marquette
17 games played
Straight up
6-11
35% wins
Against the spread
5-12
29% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UALB | W 80-53 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 5 | vs SOU | W 100-82 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 9 | vs IU | L 77-100 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 89-49 | -21.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MD | L 82-89 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs DAY | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs CMU | W 85-71 | -25.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs OU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs VAL | W 75-72 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ WIS | L 76-96 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ PUR | L 59-79 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs GTWN | L 69-78 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @ CREI | L 63-84 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 30 | vs HALL | L 73-79 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 4 | @ CONN | L 57-73 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | vs XAV | W 66-65 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs VILL | L 73-76 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
−15.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−12.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
−11.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
+0.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
−14.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
−8.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−3.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−15.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−14.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
−7.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
+1.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−4.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 12avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
+24.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−3.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
+3.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
−13.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
+0.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
+11.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−16.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−2.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−4.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
+6.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
−14.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−26.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+2.5
over 8under 9avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
16 games played
Straight up
11-5
69% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs MISS | W 63-58 | -13.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs IONA | W 91-64 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 16 | vs DEP | W 79-66 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs UK | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs HARV | W 85-59 | -26.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 31 | @GTWN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | vs PROV | L 71-77 | -14.5 | L −20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 6 | @ BTLR | W 84-70 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | @CREI | W 90-73 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−8.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−1.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−6.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−0.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+3.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−20.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
+9.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
6
vsMISS
MISSW 63-58
−30.5
13
vsIONA
IONAW 91-64
−4.5
16
vsDEP
DEPW 79-66
−2.5
20
vsUK
UKL 66-78
−10.5
23
vsHARV
HARVW 85-59
−1.5
31
@GTWN
GTWNW 95-83
+25.5
3
vsPROV
PROVL 71-77
−18.5
6
@BTLR
BTLRW 84-70
−8.5
10
@CREI
CREIW 90-73
+10.5
over 6under 10avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marquette
6-11 overall · 1-5 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Villanova73–76
- Wvs Xavier66–65
- L@ UConn57–73
- Lvs Seton Hall73–79
- L@ Creighton63–84
3 days since their last game.
St John's
11-5 overall · 4-1 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Creighton90–73
- W@ Butler84–70
- Lvs Providence71–77
- W@ Georgetown95–83
- Wvs Harvard85–59
3 days since their last game.