Finneran Pavilion · at Villanova · Conference game
Closing line
VILL -12.5✓ DEP covered by 7.5
VILL -12.5✓ DEP covered by 7.5Closing total139.5Under by 2.5
 DEP | This season | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| 8-5 | Record | 10-2 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 9-3 |
| 4-9 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEP 63–76 VILL · ✓ VILL (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEP | 32 | 34 | 66 |
| VILL | 28 | 43 | 71 |
1st half: DEP 32, VILL 28 (DEP by 4). The model had VILL by 7.2 and a total of 65.0 (actual 60).
Team stats
| DEP | VILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 20-58 34% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 21-31 68% |
| 43 12 off | Rebounds | 39 15 off |
| 13 | Assists | 9 |
| 2 | Steals | 9 |
| 7 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 25 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| DEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layden Blocker G | 30 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| CJ Gunn G | 30 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| RJ Smith G | 27 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| NJ Benson F | 26 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Kaleb Banks F | 19 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Maclin G | 32 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Kruz McClure G | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Fabian Flores C | 14 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Theo Pierre-Justin F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremy Lorenz, Ilija Milijasevic, Amsal Delalic, Nate Kasher, Isaiah Medina, Jonas Johnson, Khaman Maker
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan F | 36 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 35 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 7-17 | 5-10 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 33 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 5-12 | 4-6 |
| Matt Hodge F | 32 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-5 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Braden Pierce C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zion Stanford, Chris Jeffrey, Wade Chiddick, Tafara Gapare, Malcolm Flaggs, Nico Onyekwere
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVILL -12.5
ModelVILL -12.3
Model edgeDEP +0.2
W DEP covered
Total
Market139.5
Model138.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
W Under
Projected score
DEP 63.2 · VILL 75.5
DEP 66 · VILL 71
Win probability
VILL 86%
1st half
Spread
VILL -7.2
DEP -4.0
Total
65.0
60 points
Projected score
DEP 28.9 · VILL 36.1
DEP 32 · VILL 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -13.5
1 → DEP
CloseVILL -12.5
1 pt toward DEP
Total
Open138.5
▲ 1
Close139.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
DEP +625 · VILL -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -13.5 · closed VILL -12.5 · moved 1 toward DEPmodel VILL -12.5 matches the line
model VILL -12.5 = line ✓
Opened 138.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 upmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEP | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| VILL | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
DEP 1–8 VILLVILL leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · VILL has won the last 6 meetings · DEP 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | VILL 59 @ DEP 49 | DEP +6.5 | VILL W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | DEP 56 @ VILL 100 | VILL -9.5 | VILL W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | DEP 57 vs VILL 58 | VILL -24.5 | DEP W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | DEP 69 @ VILL 94 | VILL -19.5 | VILL W |
| Dec 23, 2023-24 | VILL 84 @ DEP 48 | DEP +10.5 | VILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
DePaul
13 games played
Straight up
8-5
62% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHST | W 92-62 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs STO | W 72-64 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUF | L 53-66 | -18.5 | L −31.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | vs NU | L 79-81 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs GWEB | W 93-62 | -21.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs DETM | W 95-75 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 28 | vs GT | W 75-61 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs LSU | L 63-96 | +5.5 | L −27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UAPB | W 76-72 | -23.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 9 | vs MORG | W 92-49 | -21.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | @ WICH | W 61-58 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 16 | @ SJU | L 66-79 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs CONN | L 54-72 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+5.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−14.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−31.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+3.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
+9.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+0.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
+12.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
−27.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−19.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
+21.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
+10.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
+6.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 54-72
−5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+10.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−11.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−34.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+14.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
−0.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+18.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
−11.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
+6.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−8.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
−9.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
−26.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
−2.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 54-72
−7.5
over 4under 9avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Villanova
12 games played
Straight up
10-2
83% wins
Against the spread
9-3
75% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 19 | vs WIS | W 76-66 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 23 | @ HALL | W 64-56 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
+13.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
+9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 3avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
19
vsWIS
WISW 76-66
−10.5
23
@HALL
HALLW 64-56
−15.5
over 5under 7avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
DePaul
8-5 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UConn54–72
- L@ St John's66–79
- W@ Wichita St61–58
- Wvs Morgan St92–49
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff76–72
A week or more of rest.
Villanova
10-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Seton Hall64–56
- Wvs Wisconsin76–66
- Wvs Pitt79–61
- L@ Michigan61–89
- Wvs Penn90–63
A week or more of rest.