Merkert Gymnasium · at Stonehill
Closing line
STO -2.5✓ UML covered by 13.5
STO -2.5✓ UML covered by 13.5Closing total148.5Under by 9.5
 UML | This season | STO |
|---|---|---|
| 0-6 | Record | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UML 75–76 STO · ✗ STO (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 34 | 41 | 75 |
| STO | 23 | 41 | 64 |
1st half: UML 34, STO 23 (UML by 11). The model had STO by 0.4 and a total of 70.3 (actual 57).
Team stats
| UML | STO | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-64 44% | Field goals | 23-70 33% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 11-31 35% |
| 12-25 48% | Free throws | 7-9 78% |
| 48 14 off | Rebounds | 45 15 off |
| 13 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UML | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrel Yepdo G | 32 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-4 |
| Xavier Spencer G | 30 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-8 |
| Austin Green F | 19 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Simmons II F | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Jared Frey G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Victor Okojie F | 32 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Angel Montas Jr. G | 21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Walter G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| JJ Massaquoi F | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Khalil Farmer G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kris Johnson, Keenan Bey, Jerrell Roberson II
| STO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hermann Koffi G | 37 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-18 | 2-9 |
| Rex Sunderland G | 28 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Ridvan Tutic F | 23 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Raymond Espinal-Guzman F | 20 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Chas Stinson G | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pearse McGuinn F | 30 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Davante Hackett G | 25 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5-10 | 5-8 |
| Trenton Ruth G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Cory Lovell F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Norbu Jenpa, Colin Byrne, Anthony Holden, Eino Montin, Charlie Diamantis, Ethan Meuser, Will Batchelder
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTO -2.5
ModelSTO -0.9
Model edgeUML +1.6
W UML covered
Total
Market148.5
Model150.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
UML 74.6 · STO 75.5
UML 75 · STO 64
Win probability
STO 53%
1st half
Spread
STO -0.4
UML -11.0
Total
70.3
57 points
Projected score
UML 35 · STO 35.3
UML 34 · STO 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTO -3.5
1 → UML
CloseSTO -2.5
1 pt toward UML
Total
Open150.5
▼ 2
Close148.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UML +120 · STO -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STO -3.5 · closed STO -2.5 · moved 1 toward UMLmodel STO -1
model STO -1
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMLlast 6 | 0-6 0% | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% |
| STOlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UML 3–0 STOUML leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UML has won the last 3 meetings · UML 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | STO 67 @ UML 78 | UML -14.5 | STO W |
| Nov 29, 2023-24 | UML 80 @ STO 74 | STO +15.5 | STO W |
| Nov 27, 2022-23 | STO 59 @ UML 73 | UML -13.5 | UML W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass Lowell
6 games played
Straight up
0-6
0% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −4.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
CONN
CONNL 47-110
−26.5
10
vs
NHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−16.5
13
@
COLU
COLUL 72-86
−0.5
16
@
WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
−3.5
19
@
BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+11.5
22
@
SPU
SPUL 66-68
+6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−2.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
+1.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
+18.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+14.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
−13.5
over 4under 2avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stonehill
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
DEP
DEPL 64-72
+14.5
11
@
URI
URIL 57-80
−6.5
14
@
FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+4.5
15
vs
L-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−4.5
17
@
ISU
ISUL 57-96
+1.5
21
vs
LAF
LAFW 74-70
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
−11.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−14.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+0.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−1.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+6.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+2.5
over 3under 3avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass Lowell
0-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Peter's66–68
- L@ Bradley77–87
- L@ Wake Forest75–109
- L@ Columbia72–86
- Lvs New Haven67–73
4 days since their last game.
Stonehill
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lafayette74–70
- L@ Iowa State57–96
- Lvs Loyola MD63–74
- L@ Fairfield71–73
- L@ Rhode Island57–80
5 days since their last game.