Athletics-Recreation Center · at Valparaiso
Closing line
UNCW -4.5✓ VAL covered by 1.5
UNCW -4.5✓ VAL covered by 1.5Closing total136.5Over by 6.5
| UNCW | This season | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | Record | 5-3 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCW 72–68 VAL · ✓ UNCW (62%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 31 | 42 | 73 |
| VAL | 40 | 30 | 70 |
1st half: UNCW 31, VAL 40 (VAL by 9). The model had UNCW by 2.3 and a total of 65.8 (actual 71).
Team stats
| UNCW | VAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 23-65 35% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 6-25 24% |
| 19-33 58% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 46 22 off | Rebounds | 39 18 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 24 | Fouls | 25 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge G | 35 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 7-13 | 4-10 |
| Noah Ross G | 35 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-2 |
| Christian May G | 30 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Greedy Williams G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 16 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gavin Walsh F | 33 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Madison Durr G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Luster II, Adam Tokpah, Matija Prodanovic, JoJo Fullwood, Makel Smith, Grady Whitt, Jahnathan Lamothe
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JT Pettigrew F | 32 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 5-15 | 0-4 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 27 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 22 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-4 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 22 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Rakim Chaney G | 20 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Owen Dease F | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Justus McNair G | 16 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6-7 | 0-1 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Tucker Tornatta F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kyonte Thomas G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sader Servilus G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kobe Walker, Camden Webster, Nick Lombardi, Jayden Watson, Joe Vick
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -4.5
no move
CloseUNCW -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▼ 1
Close136.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNCW -205 · VAL +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -4.5 · unchangedmodel UNCW -3.5
model UNCW -3.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 1 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNCW -4.5 | UNCW -3.6 | VAL +0.9 | W VAL covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 140.4 | Over 3.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UNCW 72 · VAL 68.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNCW -2.3 | VAL -9.0 |
| 1H total | 65.8 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | UNCW 34 · VAL 31.7 | UNCW 31 · VAL 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCWlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% |
| VALlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Wilmington
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ KENT | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs UPST | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs ECU | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ RAD | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs SELA | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs NAVY | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs GWEB | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs MRSH | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UL | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
−5.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−1.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+3.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
+1.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+21.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+7.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−7.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
−5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
+6.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−22.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
−0.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+2.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
−10.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+5.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+2.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−11.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
+2.5
over 5under 4avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Valparaiso
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −9.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
over 3under 5avg −9.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Wilmington
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Louisiana70–63
- Wvs Marshall70–69
- Wvs Gardner-Webb88–62
- Wvs Navy87–57
- Wvs SE Louisiana70–57
A week or more of rest.
Valparaiso
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Marquette72–75
- Wvs W Michigan84–55
- Lvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles56–64
- W@ Cleveland St90–75
- Wvs Bryant68–50
A week or more of rest.