Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke · Conference game
Closing line
DUKE -27.5✓ GT covered by 21.5
DUKE -27.5✓ GT covered by 21.5Closing total153.5Over by 10.5
 GT | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 11-1 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 3-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GT 62–87 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 43 | 36 | 79 |
| DUKE | 39 | 46 | 85 |
1st half: GT 43, DUKE 39 (GT by 4). The model had DUKE by 14.9 and a total of 69.9 (actual 82).
Team stats
| GT | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-54 54% | Field goals | 26-64 41% |
| 10-18 56% | 3-pointers | 9-32 28% |
| 11-13 85% | Free throws | 24-35 69% |
| 28 5 off | Rebounds | 42 21 off |
| 18 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 25 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. F | 35 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 9-16 | 5-7 |
| Lamar Washington G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Akai Fleming G | 24 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Baye Ndongo F | 20 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Mouhamed Sylla C | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaeden Mustaf G | 28 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Chas Kelley III G | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Peyton Marshall C | 19 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Cole Kirouac C | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kam Craft, Brandon Stores Jr., Dyllan Thompson, Eric Chatfield Jr., Davi Remagen
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 38 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 8-15 | 3-5 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5-12 | 0-4 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 29 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 28 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Caleb Foster G | 25 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maliq Brown F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Dame Sarr F | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Darren Harris G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cameron Sheffield, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Jack Scott, Sebastian Wilkins
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUKE -27.5
ModelDUKE -25.2
Model edgeGT +2.3
W GT covered
Total
Market153.5
Model149.3
Model edgeUnder 4.2
L Over
Projected score
GT 62.1 · DUKE 87.2
GT 79 · DUKE 85
Win probability
DUKE 99%
1st half
Spread
DUKE -14.9
GT -4.0
Total
69.9
82 points
Projected score
GT 27.5 · DUKE 42.4
GT 43 · DUKE 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -23.5
4 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -27.5
4 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open149.5
▲ 4
Close153.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
GT +2200 · DUKE -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -23.5 · closed DUKE -27.5 · moved 4 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -25
model DUKE -25
Opened 149.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 4 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| DUKE | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
GT 1–5 DUKEDUKE leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · DUKE has won the last 3 meetings · GT 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | GT 70 vs DUKE 78 | DUKE -22.5 | GT W |
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | DUKE 82 @ GT 56 | GT +15.5 | DUKE W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | GT 79 @ DUKE 84 | DUKE -18.5 | GT W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | DUKE 68 @ GT 72 | GT +12 | GT W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | DUKE 86 @ GT 43 | GT +9.5 | DUKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia Tech
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UMES | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vs BRY | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs SELA | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UGA | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs GASO | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs WGA | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs DEP | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs DRKE | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs MSST | L 73-85 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONM | W 79-67 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs MRST | W 87-76 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs LAF | W 95-81 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 28 | vs FAMU | W 89-65 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−24.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
+13.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−4.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+10.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−8.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
−2.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−12.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
−14.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
−10.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+4.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
−2.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−31.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
−19.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−3.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+23.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−30.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
+3.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−11.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
+20.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
+7.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+21.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
+28.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+7.5
over 8under 5avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
12 games played
Straight up
11-1
92% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-9
25% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
over 3under 9avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia Tech
9-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Florida A&M89–65
- Wvs Lafayette95–81
- Wvs Marist87–76
- Wvs Monmouth79–67
- Lvs Mississippi St73–85
3 days since their last game.
Duke
11-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas Tech81–82
- Wvs Lipscomb97–73
- W@ Michigan St66–60
- Wvs Florida67–66
- Wvs Arkansas80–71
A week or more of rest.