Dickies Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
TTU -5.5✓ TTU covered by 18.5
TTU -5.5✓ TTU covered by 18.5Closing total154.5Under by 14.5
 LSU | This season | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | Record | 6-2 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 2-6 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 79–80 TTU · ✓ TTU (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| TTU | 47 | 35 | 82 |
1st half: LSU 26, TTU 47 (TTU by 21). The model had TTU by 0.2 and a total of 74.4 (actual 73).
Team stats
| LSU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-63 33% | Field goals | 28-60 47% |
| 4-24 17% | 3-pointers | 13-27 48% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 48 13 off |
| 6 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. G | 33 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 28 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-4 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 22 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 20 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Max Mackinnon G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-9 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Miller III F | 27 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Rashad King G | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Jalen Reece G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| PJ Carter G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ron Zipper G | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Mazi Mosley G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaden Bobbett, Matt Gilhool, Jalen Reed
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 37 | 27 | 5 | 10 | 9-16 | 5-9 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 32 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| JT Toppin F | 31 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Luke Bamgboye F | 22 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Petty G | 26 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 25 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| Leon Horner G | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Nolan Groves G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Francis, Jazz Henderson Jr., Josiah Moseley, Marial Akuentok, LaTrell Hoover
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTTU -5.5
ModelTTU -0.6
Model edgeLSU +4.9
L TTU covered
Total
Market154.5
Model159.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
L Under
Projected score
LSU 79.2 · TTU 79.8
LSU 58 · TTU 82
Win probability
TTU 52%
1st half
Spread
TTU -0.2
TTU -21.0
Total
74.4
73 points
Projected score
LSU 37.1 · TTU 37.3
LSU 26 · TTU 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLSU -3.5
9 → TTU
CloseTTU -5.5
9 pts toward TTU
Total
Open150.5
▲ 4
Close154.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
LSU +185 · TTU -225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LSU -3.5 · closed TTU -5.5 · moved 9 toward TTUmodel TTU -0.5
model TTU -0.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 4 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSUlast 8 | 8-0 100% | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% |
| TTUlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 2-6 25% | 3-5 38% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LSU 0–1 TTUTTU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · LSU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | TTU 76 @ LSU 68 | LSU +2.5 | TTU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
8 games played
Straight up
8-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +7.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
over 5under 3avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas Tech
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −7.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vsNOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
over 3under 5avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
8-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Boston College78–69
- Wvs DePaul96–63
- Wvs Drake71–62
- Wvs Omaha99–73
- Wvs Alcorn St107–81
4 days since their last game.
Texas Tech
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wyoming76–72
- Wvs LSU N Orleans82–50
- Lvs Purdue56–86
- Wvs Wake Forest84–83
- Wvs Milwaukee80–63
A week or more of rest.