Lee's Family Forum · Neutral site
Closing line
SCU -1.5✓ ASU covered by 4.5
SCU -1.5✓ ASU covered by 4.5Closing total154.5Over by 6.5
 ASU | This season | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 7-2 |
| 7-3 | ATS | 6-3 |
| 4-6 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ASU 78–79 SCU · ✗ SCU (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 38 | 44 | 82 |
| SCU | 55 | 24 | 79 |
1st half: ASU 38, SCU 55 (SCU by 17). The model had SCU by 0.4 and a total of 73.3 (actual 93).
Team stats
| ASU | SCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-53 55% | Field goals | 27-64 42% |
| 10-21 48% | 3-pointers | 11-32 34% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 31 12 off |
| 20 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 11 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 16 | Fouls | 22 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massamba Diop C | 35 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-1 |
| Maurice Odum G | 33 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 5-10 | 2-7 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Johnson G | 20 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 19 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Meeusen G | 31 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. F | 14 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Best G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jovan Icitovic, Dame Salane, Vijay Wallace, Quentin McCoy, Adante' Holiman, Bryce Ford, Kash Polk
| SCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Mahi F | 33 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 6-15 | 3-6 |
| Jake Ensminger G | 31 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Christian Hammond G | 31 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 4-8 |
| Brenton Knapper G | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bukky Oboye C | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Allen Graves F | 26 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Sash Gavalyugov G | 22 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-14 | 2-8 |
| Thierry Darlan G | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| KJ Cochran G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Francis Chukwudebelu C | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Noah Badibanga, Brad Longcor III, Juan Reyna, Gehrig Normand, Chris Tadjo, Malachi Douyon, Brendan Yarusso
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSCU -1.5
ModelSCU -0.9
Model edgeASU +0.6
W ASU covered
Total
Market154.5
Model156.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
ASU 77.9 · SCU 78.8
ASU 82 · SCU 79
Win probability
SCU 53%
1st half
Spread
SCU -0.4
SCU -17.0
Total
73.3
93 points
Projected score
ASU 36.5 · SCU 36.9
ASU 38 · SCU 55
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSCU -2.5
1 → ASU
CloseSCU -1.5
1 pt toward ASU
Total
Open156.5
▼ 2
Close154.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
ASU +110 · SCU -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SCU -2.5 · closed SCU -1.5 · moved 1 toward ASUmodel SCU -1
model SCU -1
Opened 156.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| SCUlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ASU 1–0 SCUASU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ASU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024-25 | SCU 74 vs ASU 81 | ASU +5.5 | ASU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona St
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
over 4under 6avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Santa Clara
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs MCN | W 79-67 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 10 | @ XAV | W 87-68 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEV | W 98-83 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs IDST | W 64-55 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 21 | vs UL | W 80-43 | -19.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 27 | vs SLU | L 70-71 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs MINN | W 86-75 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vsUTU | W 90-80 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNM | L 71-98 | +1.5 | L −25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsMCN
MCNW 79-67
+5.5
10
@XAV
XAVW 87-68
+22.5
15
vsNEV
NEVW 98-83
+8.5
18
vsIDST
IDSTW 64-55
−5.5
21
vsUL
ULW 80-43
+17.5
27
vsSLU
SLUL 70-71
+0.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 86-75
+5.5
3
vsUTU
UTUW 90-80
−10.5
6
@UNM
UNML 71-98
−25.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsMCN
MCNW 79-67
−5.5
10
@XAV
XAVW 87-68
−0.5
15
vsNEV
NEVW 98-83
+36.5
18
vsIDST
IDSTW 64-55
−22.5
21
vsUL
ULW 80-43
−17.5
27
vsSLU
SLUL 70-71
−17.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 86-75
+22.5
3
vsUTU
UTUW 90-80
+25.5
6
@UNM
UNML 71-98
+15.5
over 4under 5avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona St
8-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Arizona73–48
- Wvs Oklahoma86–70
- Lvs USC75–88
- Wvs Washington St100–94
- Wvs Texas87–86
4 days since their last game.
Santa Clara
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ New Mexico71–98
- Wvs Utah Tech90–80
- Wvs Minnesota86–75
- Lvs Saint Louis70–71
- Wvs Louisiana80–43
A week or more of rest.