UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · at Milwaukee · Conference game
Closing line
MILW -3.5✓ MILW covered by 18.5
MILW -3.5✓ MILW covered by 18.5Closing total156.5Under by 24.5
 PFW | This season | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 5-6 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 4-7 |
| 7-4 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PFW 79–81 MILW · ✓ MILW (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 16 | 39 | 55 |
| MILW | 44 | 33 | 77 |
1st half: PFW 16, MILW 44 (MILW by 28). The model had MILW by 1.2 and a total of 74.9 (actual 60).
Team stats
| PFW | MILW | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 28-63 44% |
| 7-32 22% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 20 4 off | Rebounds | 53 19 off |
| 12 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II G | 34 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 5-17 | 3-10 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 33 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 7-14 | 1-4 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-6 |
| Darius Duffy F | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Morgan G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Yuval Levin F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| EJ Mosley G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mason Shrout G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Danny Kelly, Solomon Richard, Quentin Morgan, Ja'Corey Lipkins, Ebrahim Kaba
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Franklin G | 29 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 27 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 24 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| Faizon Fields F | 23 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Josh Dixon G | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Jackson F | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Amar Augillard G | 18 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 18 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Simeon Murchison F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Austin Villarreal G | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Tate Mackenzie, Ned Renfree, Stevie Elam, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMILW -1.5
2 → MILW
CloseMILW -3.5
2 pts toward MILW
Total
Open158.5
▼ 2
Close156.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PFW +136 · MILW -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MILW -1.5 · closed MILW -3.5 · moved 2 toward MILWmodel MILW -2
model MILW -2
Opened 158.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 2 downmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MILW -3.5 | MILW -2.2 | PFW +1.3 | L MILW covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 160.1 | Over 3.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PFW 78.9 · MILW 81.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MILW -1.2 | MILW -28.0 |
| 1H total | 74.9 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | PFW 36.9 · MILW 38.1 | PFW 16 · MILW 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| MILW | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
PFW 4–4 MILWSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · PFW has won the last 2 meetings · PFW 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2024-25 | PFW 81 @ MILW 79 | MILW -4.5 | PFW W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | MILW 73 @ PFW 78 | PFW -2.5 | PFW W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | PFW 88 @ MILW 96 | MILW -1.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | MILW 68 @ PFW 65 | PFW -3.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 23, 2022-23 | PFW 94 @ MILW 96 | MILW -3.5 | PFW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue FW
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ OSU | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ WMU | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ UTAH | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ SLU | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs CHST | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ OAK | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs NKU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EMU | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs DETM | W 81-77 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 21 | @ ND | W 72-69 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−15.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+5.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−11.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+0.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
−4.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+0.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
+11.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
−5.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
+14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−7.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+0.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−15.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+17.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
+30.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
−2.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
+4.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
−8.5
over 7under 4avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Milwaukee
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vs RMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 21 | @ CLE | W 81-71 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
−8.5
over 6under 5avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue FW
5-6 overall · 2-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Notre Dame72–69
- Wvs Detroit Mercy81–77
- Wvs E Michigan80–65
- Wvs N Kentucky79–77
- L@ Oakland92–101
A week or more of rest.
Milwaukee
5-6 overall · 2-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Cleveland St81–71
- Wvs S Dakota St88–87
- Lvs Indiana St68–70
- Wvs Robert Morris74–72
- L@ Akron81–105
A week or more of rest.