Humphrey Coliseum · at Mississippi St
Closing line
MSST -1.5✓ SMU covered by 7.5
MSST -1.5✓ SMU covered by 7.5Closing total162.5Over by 5.5
 SMU | This season | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| 7-0 | Record | 3-3 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 0-6 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMU 83–83 MSST · ✓ SMU (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 39 | 35 | 13 | 87 |
| MSST | 43 | 31 | 7 | 81 |
1st half: SMU 39, MSST 43 (MSST by 4). The model had SMU by 0.5 and a total of 77.7 (actual 82).
Team stats
| SMU | MSST | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-72 44% | Field goals | 27-70 39% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 50 14 off | Rebounds | 40 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 23 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Washington F | 41 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-5 |
| B.J. Edwards G | 41 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3-12 | 0-4 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 40 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 11-21 | 1-5 |
| Boopie Miller G | 39 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 9-19 | 5-9 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 35 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Jaden Toombs F | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sam Walters, Billy White III, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Chance Puryear, B.J. Davis-Ray, Trey Utter, Nigel Walls
| MSST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard G | 39 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5-19 | 1-7 |
| Achor Achor F | 38 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Epps G | 33 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 8-17 | 3-6 |
| Quincy Ballard C | 32 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee G | 30 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 6-12 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shawn Jones Jr. G | 33 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Amier Ali F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Walker F | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sergej Macura, Gai Chol, Dellquan Warren, King Grace, Cameren Paul, Tee Bartlett
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMSST -1.5
ModelSMU -0.6
Model edgeSMU +2.1
W SMU covered
Total
Market162.5
Model165.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
W Over
Projected score
SMU 83.3 · MSST 82.7
SMU 87 · MSST 81
Win probability
SMU 52%
1st half
Spread
SMU -0.5
MSST -4.0
Total
77.7
82 points
Projected score
SMU 39.1 · MSST 38.6
SMU 39 · MSST 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -1.5
3 → MSST
CloseMSST -1.5
3 pts toward MSST
Total
Open165.5
▼ 3
Close162.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SMU +100 · MSST -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -1.5 · closed MSST -1.5 · moved 3 toward MSSTmodel SMU -0.5
model SMU -0.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 3 downmodel 166
model 166
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMUlast 7 | 7-0 100% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
| MSSTlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 0-6 0% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMU 0–1 MSSTMSST leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SMU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2024-25 | MSST 84 @ SMU 79 | SMU +1.5 | MSST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SMU
7 games played
Straight up
7-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
over 3under 4avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mississippi St
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
0-6
0% covers · avg −14 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
UNA
UNAW 86-62
−0.5
10
vs
ISU
ISUL 80-96
−10.5
15
vs
SELA
SELAW 75-68
−20.5
20
vs
KSU
KSUL 77-98
−23.5
21
vs
UNM
UNML 78-80
−8.5
24
vs
NOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−20.5
covered 0didn’t cover 6avg −14 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUNA
UNAW 86-62
−3.5
10
vsISU
ISUL 80-96
+25.5
15
vsSELA
SELAW 75-68
−7.5
20
vsKSU
KSUL 77-98
+10.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
+6.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−1.5
over 3under 3avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SMU
7-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Radford89–72
- Wvs Arkansas St100–69
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff106–60
- Wvs Butler87–85
- Wvs Murray St102–91
4 days since their last game.
Mississippi St
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs LSU N Orleans81–78
- Lvs New Mexico78–80
- Lvs Kansas St77–98
- Wvs SE Louisiana75–68
- Lvs Iowa State80–96
4 days since their last game.