Breslin Center · at Michigan St
Closing line
DUKE -1.5✓ DUKE covered by 4.5
DUKE -1.5✓ DUKE covered by 4.5Closing total141.5Under by 15.5
| DUKE | This season | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | Record | 8-0 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 1-8 | O/U | 2-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DUKE 72–70 MSU · ✓ DUKE (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE | 31 | 35 | 66 |
| MSU | 34 | 26 | 60 |
1st half: DUKE 31, MSU 34 (MSU by 3). The model had DUKE by 1.4 and a total of 66.5 (actual 65).
Team stats
| DUKE | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-55 38% | Field goals | 21-66 32% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 44 10 off | Rebounds | 43 13 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Khamenia F | 34 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Cameron Boozer F | 34 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 7-13 | 1-3 |
| Caleb Foster G | 29 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 26 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dame Sarr F | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Maliq Brown F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Darren Harris G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Jack Scott, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Sebastian Wilkins, Cameron Sheffield
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 35 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 0-10 | 0-2 |
| Coen Carr F | 35 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-13 | 0-3 |
| Carson Cooper C | 32 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 31 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5-11 | 4-6 |
| Kur Teng G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Scott F | 26 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Cam Ward F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Divine Ugochukwu G | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Trey Fort G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Nick Sanders, Kaleb Glenn, Denham Wojcik, Brennan Walton, Colin Walton
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -1.5
3 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -1.5
3 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open138.5
▲ 3
Close141.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
DUKE -115 · MSU -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -1.5 · closed DUKE -1.5 · moved 3 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -2
model DUKE -2
Opened 138.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 3 upmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUKE -1.5 | DUKE -2.1 | DUKE +0.6 | W DUKE covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 141.8 | Over 0.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | DUKE 72 · MSU 69.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUKE -1.4 | MSU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 66.5 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | DUKE 33.9 · MSU 32.5 | DUKE 31 · MSU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKElast 9 | 9-0 100% | 6-3 67% | 1-8 11% |
| MSUlast 8 | 8-0 100% | 5-3 63% | 2-6 25% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DUKE 2–0 MSUDUKE leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · DUKE has won the last 2 meetings · DUKE 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023-24 | DUKE 74 vs MSU 65 | MSU +4.5 | DUKE W |
| Mar 20, 2021-22 | MSU 76 vs DUKE 85 | DUKE -6.5 | DUKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Duke
9 games played
Straight up
9-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-8
11% overs · avg −5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
over 1under 8avg −5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan St
8 games played
Straight up
8-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vsARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vs IOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
over 2under 6avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Duke
9-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Florida67–66
- Wvs Arkansas80–71
- Wvs Howard93–56
- Wvs Niagara100–42
- Wvs Kansas78–66
4 days since their last game.
Michigan St
8-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Iowa71–52
- Wvs North Carolina74–58
- Wvs East Carolina89–56
- Wvs Detroit Mercy84–56
- Wvs Kentucky83–66
4 days since their last game.