McGuirk Arena · at C Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
EMU -2.5✓ CMU covered by 37.5
EMU -2.5✓ CMU covered by 37.5Closing total139.5Over by 25.5
| EMU | This season | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | Record | 3-15 |
| 14-5 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 5-14 | O/U | 7-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EMU 73–68 CMU · ✗ EMU (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 36 | 29 | 65 |
| CMU | 38 | 62 | 100 |
1st half: EMU 36, CMU 38 (CMU by 2). The model had EMU by 2.8 and a total of 66.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| EMU | CMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-51 45% | Field goals | 36-64 56% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 9-19 47% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 25 5 off | Rebounds | 33 9 off |
| 9 | Assists | 24 |
| 1 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 36 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 32 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Addison Patterson F | 31 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Mak Manciel G | 31 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| John Shanu II C | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Rubio G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Merritt Alderink F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jon Sanders II G | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Mbaye N'Diaye G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Mehki Ellison, Carlos Hart, Braelon Green
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Garner F | 32 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 5-12 | 0-0 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 32 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 31 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7-14 | 0-0 |
| Tamario Adley G | 31 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 6-10 | 0-3 |
| Logan McIntire G | 27 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 5-10 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Kampen G | 14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Nick Mullen F | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Will Ashford G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kayden Nation F | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jorden Brooks G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Uchenna Amene, Nsikan Usen, Rodney Johnson Jr., Kareem Aburashed
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketEMU -2.5
ModelEMU -4.5
Model edgeEMU +2.0
L CMU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model141.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
W Over
Projected score
EMU 73 · CMU 68.4
EMU 65 · CMU 100
Win probability
EMU 65%
1st half
Spread
EMU -2.8
CMU -2.0
Total
66.2
74 points
Projected score
EMU 34.5 · CMU 31.7
EMU 36 · CMU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenEMU -2.5
no move
CloseEMU -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▲ 2
Close139.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
EMU -166 · CMU +140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened EMU -2.5 · unchangedmodel EMU -4.5
model EMU -4.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| CMU | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
EMU 4–3 CMUEMU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · EMU 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | CMU 73 @ EMU 84 | EMU +2.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | EMU 63 @ CMU 82 | CMU -8.5 | CMU W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | EMU 62 @ CMU 65 | CMU -8.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | CMU 80 @ EMU 64 | EMU -4.5 | CMU W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | CMU 56 @ EMU 62 | EMU -1.5 | EMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Michigan
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
14-5
74% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-14
26% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ PITT | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs IUIN | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ DETM | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs OAK | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @ LOU | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIN | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs NJIT | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ BTLR | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ PFW | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 19 | @ AKR | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ WRST | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 30 | vs MASS | W 80-74 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs OHIO | L 67-68 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ BALL | W 74-52 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @ WMU | L 62-79 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs NIU | W 77-59 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | @ BGSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs KENT | L 75-76 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+3.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−11.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
+11.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+7.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−7.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
+30.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
+3.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
+1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−11.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
−5.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
+4.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+8.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
+1.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
+23.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−18.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
+10.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+5.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
+3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 5avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+2.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−13.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
−23.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+34.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−29.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
−26.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
−13.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
−1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−2.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
+9.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
−8.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+5.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
−15.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
−11.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−4.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
−5.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+22.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
−3.5
over 5under 14avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Michigan
18 games played
Straight up
3-15
17% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ WIS | L 61-88 | +26.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vsOHIO | L 64-80 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs TOL | L 75-78 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @AKR | L 69-82 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vsKENT | W 87-85 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ M-OH | L 61-100 | +15.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vsBALL | L 67-68 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 24 | @WMU | L 65-77 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−0.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−9.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
+4.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
+10.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+12.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
−23.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
+0.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−3.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−7.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
−5.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
−13.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+15.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
+2.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
−7.5
24
@WMU
WMUL 65-77
−6.5
over 7under 11avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Michigan
8-11 overall · 3-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kent State75–76
- L@ Bowling Green79–85
- Wvs N Illinois77–59
- L@ W Michigan62–79
- W@ Ball State74–52
3 days since their last game.
C Michigan
3-15 overall · 1-7 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ W Michigan65–77
- Lvs Ball State67–68
- L@ Miami OH61–100
- Wvs Kent State87–85
- L@ Akron69–82
3 days since their last game.