James A. Rhodes Arena · at Akron · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -21.5✓ WMU covered by 6.5
AKR -21.5✓ WMU covered by 6.5Closing total163.5Over by 29.5
 WMU | This season | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| 6-9 | Record | 11-4 |
| 10-5 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WMU 76–93 AKR · ✓ AKR (93%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 51 | 38 | 89 |
| AKR | 52 | 52 | 104 |
1st half: WMU 51, AKR 52 (AKR by 1). The model had AKR by 10.0 and a total of 78.7 (actual 103).
Team stats
| WMU | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-61 56% | Field goals | 38-67 57% |
| 12-26 46% | 3-pointers | 20-35 57% |
| 9-14 64% | Free throws | 8-9 89% |
| 28 11 off | Rebounds | 31 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 23 |
| 2 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Williams G | 33 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 11-15 | 5-7 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 31 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 6-13 | 2-6 |
| Max Burton F | 28 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| EJ Ryans G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Trey Lewis G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brady Swartz G | 30 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Jayden Brewer G | 22 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 8-11 | 2-2 |
| Junior Sileu F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Carson Vis G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Declan Peterson, Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Hudson Ward, Michael Sulaka
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson G | 36 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 12-21 | 4-8 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 33 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 27 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Amani Lyles F | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Zach Halligan F | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Mahaffey G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Shammah Scott G | 25 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 9-14 | 5-8 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ognjen Stankovic F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Josh Henderson, Tai Perkins, Conner Groce, Sharron Young, Rich Brisco, Cody Head, Chabi Barre
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -18.5
3 → AKR
CloseAKR -21.5
3 pts toward AKR
Total
Open168.5
▼ 5
Close163.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
WMU +1700 · AKR -4500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -18.5 · closed AKR -21.5 · moved 3 toward AKRmodel AKR -17
model AKR -17
Opened 168.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 5 downmodel 168
model 168
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AKR -21.5 | AKR -17.0 | WMU +4.5 | W WMU covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 168.1 | Over 4.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | WMU 75.5 · AKR 92.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AKR -10.0 | AKR -1.0 |
| 1H total | 78.7 | 103 |
| 1H projected score | WMU 34.3 · AKR 44.4 | WMU 51 · AKR 52 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| AKR | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
WMU 2–5 AKRAKR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · WMU 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | WMU 92 @ AKR 105 | AKR -14.5 | WMU W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | AKR 84 @ WMU 90 | WMU +8.5 | WMU W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | WMU 66 @ AKR 77 | AKR -14.5 | WMU W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | WMU 64 @ AKR 81 | AKR -14.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | AKR 63 @ WMU 55 | WMU +7.5 | AKR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Michigan
15 games played
Straight up
6-9
40% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @ TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @ M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs EMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs MASS | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+9.5
over 9under 6avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Akron
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vsEMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs CMU | W 82-69 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 9 | @ BGSU | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 13 | vs BALL | W 87-77 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−10.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
+5.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
−10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
6
vsCMU
CMUW 82-69
−13.5
9
@BGSU
BGSUW 77-67
−19.5
13
vsBALL
BALLW 87-77
+11.5
over 9under 6avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Michigan
6-9 overall · 1-4 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UMass82–85
- Wvs E Michigan79–62
- L@ Miami OH76–87
- L@ Toledo79–84
- Lvs Buffalo71–88
4 days since their last game.
Akron
11-4 overall · 4-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ball State87–77
- W@ Bowling Green77–67
- Wvs C Michigan82–69
- L@ Miami OH73–76
- Wvs E Michigan93–72
4 days since their last game.