M.A.C. Center · at Kent State · Conference game
Closing line
KENT -5.5✓ TOL covered by 2.5
KENT -5.5✓ TOL covered by 2.5Closing total168.5Over by 2.5
 TOL | This season | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | Record | 11-4 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 7-8 |
| 6-9 | O/U | 11-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOL 82–86 KENT · ✓ KENT (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 41 | 43 | 84 |
| KENT | 35 | 52 | 87 |
1st half: TOL 41, KENT 35 (TOL by 6). The model had KENT by 2.1 and a total of 78.7 (actual 76).
Team stats
| TOL | KENT | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 8-19 42% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 20-29 69% | Free throws | 26-36 72% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 37 13 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 25 | Fouls | 27 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 38 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 6-13 | 2-5 |
| Austin Parks C | 31 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 31 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 4-7 |
| Sean Craig F | 29 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 21 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mynor Strong G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Will James Jr. G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Ode G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: London Praytor, Phoenix Glassnor, Toby Nwokolo, Chris Riddle
| KENT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delrecco Gillespie F | 38 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 11-18 | 0-2 |
| Cian Medley G | 33 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Morgan Safford G | 25 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Jahari Williamson G | 20 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Rob Whaley Jr. F | 19 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quinn Woidke G | 22 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Rayvon Griffith G | 16 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Dezmon Briscoe F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Magnus Entenmann F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brenden Moss G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Omer Hamama G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Lakatos, Jaymen Townsend, Landon Vanderwarker, Drew Huffman, Dre Jones, Jamal Sumlin
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketKENT -5.5
ModelKENT -3.8
Model edgeTOL +1.7
W TOL covered
Total
Market168.5
Model168.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
L Over
Projected score
TOL 82.1 · KENT 85.9
TOL 84 · KENT 87
Win probability
KENT 63%
1st half
Spread
KENT -2.1
TOL -6.0
Total
78.7
76 points
Projected score
TOL 38.3 · KENT 40.4
TOL 41 · KENT 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKENT -3.5
2 → KENT
CloseKENT -5.5
2 pts toward KENT
Total
Open171.5
▼ 3
Close168.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
TOL +195 · KENT -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KENT -3.5 · closed KENT -5.5 · moved 2 toward KENTmodel KENT -4
model KENT -4
Opened 171.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 3 downmodel 168
model 168
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| KENT | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
TOL 2–7 KENTKENT leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · KENT has won the last 3 meetings · TOL 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | TOL 65 @ KENT 105 | KENT -6.5 | KENT W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | KENT 83 @ TOL 64 | TOL -1.5 | KENT W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | KENT 67 vs TOL 59 | TOL -5.5 | KENT W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | KENT 71 @ TOL 86 | TOL -7.5 | TOL W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | TOL 89 @ KENT 75 | KENT -3.5 | TOL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Toledo
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @ WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ RMU | L 70-75 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | @ MSU | L 69-92 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vs WMU | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ CMU | W 78-75 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ NIU | W 75-61 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | vs M-OH | L 73-87 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs OHIO | W 101-85 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−6.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+0.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
−5.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−4.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
+6.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−15.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+13.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
13
@RMU
RMUL 70-75
−9.5
16
@MSU
MSUL 69-92
+10.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 84-79
+2.5
3
@CMU
CMUW 78-75
−5.5
6
@NIU
NIUW 75-61
−25.5
9
vsM-OH
M-OHL 73-87
−6.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 101-85
+24.5
over 6under 9avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kent State
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-4
73% overs · avg +11.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsTROY | L 97-103 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | vs COR | W 110-102 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 164.5 | O 212 |
| Nov 10 | vs UNCW | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs CLE | W 102-95 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vsWRST | W 76-72 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 18 | vs EKU | W 93-78 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 22 | vsCLE | W 91-71 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs APSU | W 96-84 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ PORT | L 78-88 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | @ MASS | W 69-59 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | @ PUR | L 60-101 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | vsNIU | W 77-73 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs BGSU | W 96-93 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 10 | @CMU | L 85-87 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ BUF | W 87-81 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
−9.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+1.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+5.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
−4.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−0.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+4.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
+4.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+3.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
−17.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
+8.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
−16.5
3
vsNIU
NIUW 77-73
−12.5
6
vsBGSU
BGSUW 96-93
−0.5
10
@CMU
CMUL 85-87
−12.5
13
@BUF
BUFW 87-81
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
+57.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+47.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+6.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
+31.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−9.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+9.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
−10.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+26.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
+5.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
−35.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
+5.5
3
vsNIU
NIUW 77-73
−7.5
6
vsBGSU
BGSUW 96-93
+33.5
10
@CMU
CMUL 85-87
+15.5
13
@BUF
BUFW 87-81
+2.5
over 11under 4avg +11.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Toledo
8-7 overall · 4-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio101–85
- Lvs Miami OH73–87
- W@ N Illinois75–61
- W@ C Michigan78–75
- Wvs W Michigan84–79
3 days since their last game.
Kent State
11-4 overall · 4-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Buffalo87–81
- L@ C Michigan85–87
- Wvs Bowling Green96–93
- Wvs N Illinois77–73
- L@ Purdue60–101
3 days since their last game.