University Arena (MI) · at W Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
MASS -5.5✓ WMU covered by 2.5
MASS -5.5✓ WMU covered by 2.5Closing total157.5Over by 9.5
| MASS | This season | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-7 | Record | 6-8 |
| 8-8 | ATS | 9-5 |
| 10-6 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MASS 81–78 WMU · ✓ MASS (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 36 | 49 | 85 |
| WMU | 35 | 47 | 82 |
1st half: MASS 36, WMU 35 (MASS by 1). The model had MASS by 1.7 and a total of 74.7 (actual 71).
Team stats
| MASS | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-61 48% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 11-29 38% | 3-pointers | 12-31 39% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 17 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 35 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 8-18 | 5-12 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 29 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 27 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 27 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| K'Jei Parker G | 19 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 6-11 | 4-7 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Donovan Brown G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dimitri Clerc, CJ Outlaw, Bilal Osman, Josh Engel, Rollie Castineyra
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Ryans G | 31 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Max Burton F | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Trey Lewis G | 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-8 |
| Jayden Brewer G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justice Williams G | 30 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 10-13 | 5-8 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 23 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Declan Peterson C | 18 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Brady Swartz G | 13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Carson Vis G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Junior Sileu, Hudson Ward, Michael Sulaka
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -2.5
3 → MASS
CloseMASS -5.5
3 pts toward MASS
Total
Open161.5
▼ 4
Close157.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MASS -238 · WMU +195
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -2.5 · closed MASS -5.5 · moved 3 toward MASSmodel MASS -2.5
model MASS -2.5
Opened 161.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 4 downmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MASS -5.5 | MASS -2.7 | WMU +2.8 | W WMU covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 159.6 | Over 2.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MASS 81.1 · WMU 78.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MASS -1.7 | MASS -1.0 |
| 1H total | 74.7 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | MASS 38.2 · WMU 36.5 | MASS 36 · WMU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MASS | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| WMU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vs KENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @ EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs BGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ OHIO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs BALL | W 79-71 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+1.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+8.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
+2.5
over 10under 6avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Michigan
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @ TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @ M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vsEMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
over 8under 6avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass
9-7 overall · 1-4 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ball State79–71
- L@ Ohio83–86
- Lvs Bowling Green100–101
- L@ E Michigan74–80
- Lvs Kent State59–69
3 days since their last game.
W Michigan
6-8 overall · 1-3 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Michigan79–62
- L@ Miami OH76–87
- L@ Toledo79–84
- Lvs Buffalo71–88
- L@ Iowa51–91
3 days since their last game.