Broadview Arena · at Buffalo · Conference game
Closing line
KENT -2.5✓ KENT covered by 3.5
KENT -2.5✓ KENT covered by 3.5Closing total165.5Over by 2.5
| KENT | This season | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | Record | 11-3 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 10-4 |
| 10-4 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KENT 83–82 BUF · ✓ KENT (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT | 44 | 43 | 87 |
| BUF | 30 | 51 | 81 |
1st half: KENT 44, BUF 30 (KENT by 14). The model had KENT by 0.8 and a total of 77.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| KENT | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-63 49% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 11-28 39% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 46 13 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 25 | Assists | 23 |
| 3 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| KENT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delrecco Gillespie F | 40 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 9-12 | 1-1 |
| Rob Whaley Jr. F | 33 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 6-14 | 1-3 |
| Morgan Safford G | 32 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Cian Medley G | 32 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Jahari Williamson G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quinn Woidke G | 29 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Rayvon Griffith G | 19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-4 |
| Brenden Moss G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Magnus Entenmann F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Omer Hamama, Jaymen Townsend, Dezmon Briscoe, Landon Vanderwarker, Dylan Lakatos, Drew Huffman, Dre Jones, Jamal Sumlin
| BUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Freitag G | 38 | 33 | 3 | 7 | 11-26 | 6-13 |
| Ryan Sabol G | 36 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 6-12 | 4-8 |
| Angelo Brizzi G | 29 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Tim Oboh F | 26 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Noah Batchelor G | 24 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mikhali Pocknett F | 18 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ezra McKenna F | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Evan Romano, Aleksa Vlajic, Kyle Jones, Matas Buteliauskas, Daniel Shao, Omar Migues-Hibeljic
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKENT -1.5
1 → KENT
CloseKENT -2.5
1 pt toward KENT
Total
Open164.5
▲ 1
Close165.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
KENT -130 · BUF +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KENT -1.5 · closed KENT -2.5 · moved 1 toward KENTmodel KENT -1
model KENT -1
Opened 164.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 1 upmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | KENT -2.5 | KENT -1.1 | BUF +1.4 | L KENT covered |
| Total | 165.5 | 164.4 | Under 1.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | KENT 82.8 · BUF 81.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | KENT -0.8 | KENT -14.0 |
| 1H total | 77.0 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | KENT 38.9 · BUF 38.1 | KENT 44 · BUF 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| BUF | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
KENT 6–1 BUFKENT leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · KENT has won the last 6 meetings · KENT 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | KENT 68 @ BUF 49 | BUF +10.5 | KENT W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | BUF 64 @ KENT 76 | KENT -15.5 | BUF W |
| Feb 2, 2023-24 | KENT 83 @ BUF 52 | BUF +7.5 | KENT W |
| Feb 10, 2022-23 | KENT 72 @ BUF 65 | BUF +4.5 | KENT W |
| Jan 27, 2022-23 | BUF 68 @ KENT 74 | KENT -10.5 | BUF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kent State
14 games played
Straight up
10-4
71% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-4
71% overs · avg +12.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TROY | L 97-103 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | vs COR | W 110-102 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 164.5 | O 212 |
| Nov 10 | vs UNCW | W 86-77 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs CLE | W 102-95 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vs WRST | W 76-72 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 18 | vs EKU | W 93-78 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 22 | vsCLE | W 91-71 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs APSU | W 96-84 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ PORT | L 78-88 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | @ MASS | W 69-59 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | @ PUR | L 60-101 | +24.5 | L −16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | vs NIU | W 77-73 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs BGSU | W 96-93 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 10 | @ CMU | L 85-87 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
−9.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+1.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+5.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
−4.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−0.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+4.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
+4.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+3.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
−17.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
+8.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
−16.5
3
vsNIU
NIUW 77-73
−12.5
6
vsBGSU
BGSUW 96-93
−0.5
10
@CMU
CMUL 85-87
−12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTROY
TROYL 97-103
+57.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 110-102
+47.5
10
vsUNCW
UNCWW 86-77
+6.5
15
vsCLE
CLEW 102-95
+31.5
16
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-72
−9.5
18
vsEKU
EKUW 93-78
+9.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 91-71
−10.5
3
vsAPSU
APSUW 96-84
+26.5
14
@PORT
PORTL 78-88
+5.5
20
@MASS
MASSW 69-59
−35.5
29
@PUR
PURL 60-101
+5.5
3
vsNIU
NIUW 77-73
−7.5
6
vsBGSU
BGSUW 96-93
+33.5
10
@CMU
CMUL 85-87
+15.5
over 10under 4avg +12.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Buffalo
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
10-4
71% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USM | W 85-79 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 7 | vs GB | W 83-76 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ DEP | W 66-53 | +18.5 | W +31.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 18 | vs UVM | W 94-90 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs VMI | W 78-70 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUCK | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 29 | @ CAN | W 71-53 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs SBU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 9 | @ UMBC | W 83-79 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | @ ECU | L 70-73 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ WMU | W 88-71 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 31 | @NIU | W 81-67 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | vs BALL | W 85-72 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 10 | @ OHIO | L 80-91 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+2.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+3.5
11
@DEP
DEPW 66-53
+31.5
18
vsUVM
UVMW 94-90
+5.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 78-70
+2.5
26
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
29
@CAN
CANW 71-53
+8.5
6
vsSBU
SBUL 69-77
−2.5
9
@UMBC
UMBCW 83-79
+0.5
14
@ECU
ECUL 70-73
−1.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 88-71
+14.5
31
@NIU
NIUW 81-67
+7.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 85-72
+6.5
10
@OHIO
OHIOL 80-91
−6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 4avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSM
USMW 85-79
+10.5
7
vsGB
GBW 83-76
+11.5
11
@DEP
DEPW 66-53
−34.5
18
vsUVM
UVMW 94-90
+42.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 78-70
−2.5
26
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-71
−2.5
29
@CAN
CANW 71-53
−15.5
6
vsSBU
SBUL 69-77
+1.5
9
@UMBC
UMBCW 83-79
+16.5
14
@ECU
ECUL 70-73
−3.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 88-71
+8.5
31
@NIU
NIUW 81-67
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 85-72
+11.5
10
@OHIO
OHIOL 80-91
+14.5
over 8under 6avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kent State
10-4 overall · 3-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ C Michigan85–87
- Wvs Bowling Green96–93
- Wvs N Illinois77–73
- L@ Purdue60–101
- W@ UMass69–59
3 days since their last game.
Buffalo
11-3 overall · 3-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ohio80–91
- Wvs Ball State85–72
- W@ N Illinois81–67
- W@ W Michigan88–71
- L@ East Carolina70–73
3 days since their last game.