University Arena (MI) · at W Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
EMU -1.5✓ WMU covered by 18.5
EMU -1.5✓ WMU covered by 18.5Closing total145.5Under by 4.5
| EMU | This season | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-8 | Record | 5-8 |
| 11-4 | ATS | 8-5 |
| 4-11 | O/U | 8-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EMU 74–72 WMU · ✗ EMU (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 36 | 26 | 62 |
| WMU | 30 | 49 | 79 |
1st half: EMU 36, WMU 30 (EMU by 6). The model had EMU by 1.3 and a total of 68.7 (actual 66).
Team stats
| EMU | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 6-26 23% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 25 6 off | Rebounds | 39 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 38 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8-13 | 1-2 |
| Carlos Hart G | 37 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-14 | 0-8 |
| Addison Patterson F | 34 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 8-13 | 1-4 |
| Braelon Green G | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| John Shanu II C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jon Sanders II G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Mehki Ellison G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Mak Manciel G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Rubio G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Merritt Alderink F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Godslove Nwabude, Mbaye N'Diaye
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Brewer G | 32 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 7-12 | 3-5 |
| Max Burton F | 32 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| EJ Ryans G | 29 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Trey Lewis G | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carson Vis G | 29 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Justice Williams G | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Declan Peterson C | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brady Swartz, Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Junior Sileu, Hudson Ward, Michael Sulaka
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketEMU -1.5
ModelEMU -2.0
Model edgeEMU +0.5
L WMU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model146.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
L Under
Projected score
EMU 74.3 · WMU 72.3
EMU 62 · WMU 79
Win probability
EMU 57%
1st half
Spread
EMU -1.3
EMU -6.0
Total
68.7
66 points
Projected score
EMU 35 · WMU 33.7
EMU 36 · WMU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenEMU -1.5
no move
CloseEMU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
EMU -122 · WMU +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened EMU -1.5 · unchangedmodel EMU -2
model EMU -2
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
| WMU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
EMU 3–4 WMUWMU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · EMU 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | EMU 54 @ WMU 61 | WMU -2.5 | WMU W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | WMU 67 @ EMU 70 | EMU +2.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | EMU 56 @ WMU 73 | WMU -4.5 | WMU W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | WMU 59 @ EMU 66 | EMU -3.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 10, 2022-23 | EMU 79 @ WMU 85 | WMU -3.5 | WMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Michigan
15 games played
Straight up
7-8
47% wins
Against the spread
11-4
73% covers · avg +5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-11
27% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ PITT | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs IUIN | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ DETM | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs OAK | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @ LOU | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIN | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs NJIT | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ BTLR | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ PFW | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 19 | @ AKR | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ WRST | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 30 | vs MASS | W 80-74 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs OHIO | L 67-68 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ BALL | W 74-52 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+3.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−11.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
+11.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+7.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−7.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
+30.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
+3.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
+1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−11.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
−5.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
+4.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+8.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
+1.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
+23.5
covered 11didn’t cover 4avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+2.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−13.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
−23.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+34.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−29.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
−26.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
−13.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
−1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−2.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
+9.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
−8.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+5.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
−15.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
−11.5
over 4under 11avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Michigan
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vsPFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @ TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @ M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
over 8under 5avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Michigan
7-8 overall · 2-2 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ball State74–52
- Lvs Ohio67–68
- Wvs UMass80–74
- L@ Wright St64–70
- L@ Akron72–93
4 days since their last game.
W Michigan
5-8 overall · 0-3 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami OH76–87
- L@ Toledo79–84
- Lvs Buffalo71–88
- L@ Iowa51–91
- W@ SIUE83–73
4 days since their last game.