James A. Rhodes Arena · at Akron · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -23.5✓ CMU covered by 10.5
AKR -23.5✓ CMU covered by 10.5Closing total164.5Under by 13.5
 CMU | This season | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| 2-11 | Record | 8-4 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 8-4 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 8-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CMU 72–93 AKR · ✓ AKR (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 30 | 39 | 69 |
| AKR | 43 | 39 | 82 |
1st half: CMU 30, AKR 43 (AKR by 13). The model had AKR by 12.5 and a total of 77.2 (actual 73).
Team stats
| CMU | AKR | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-47 45% | Field goals | 33-58 57% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 22-27 81% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 20 5 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 22 |
| 10 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 34 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Tamario Adley G | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 8-13 | 4-7 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 28 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 27 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Nick Mullen F | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Logan McIntire G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Keenan Garner F | 18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Kampen G | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Will Ashford G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jorden Brooks, Kayden Nation, Kareem Aburashed, Nsikan Usen, Uchenna Amene, Rodney Johnson Jr.
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson G | 35 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 9-12 | 4-7 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 29 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Amani Lyles F | 29 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Zach Halligan F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Sharron Young G | 18 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shammah Scott G | 24 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 7-9 | 4-4 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cody Head, Ognjen Stankovic, Josh Henderson, Tai Perkins, Chabi Barre, Rich Brisco, Conner Groce
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAKR -23.5
ModelAKR -21.1
Model edgeCMU +2.4
W CMU covered
Total
Market164.5
Model164.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
L Under
Projected score
CMU 71.8 · AKR 92.9
CMU 69 · AKR 82
Win probability
AKR 97%
1st half
Spread
AKR -12.5
AKR -13.0
Total
77.2
73 points
Projected score
CMU 32.3 · AKR 44.8
CMU 30 · AKR 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -22.5
1 → AKR
CloseAKR -23.5
1 pt toward AKR
Total
Open164.5
no move
Close164.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CMU +2000 · AKR -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -22.5 · closed AKR -23.5 · moved 1 toward AKRmodel AKR -21
model AKR -21
Opened 164.5 · unchangedmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| AKR | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
CMU 0–6 AKRAKR leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · AKR has won the last 6 meetings · CMU 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | AKR 85 @ CMU 82 | CMU +3.5 | CMU W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | CMU 71 @ AKR 87 | AKR -8.5 | AKR W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | CMU 47 @ AKR 68 | AKR -13.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | AKR 69 @ CMU 51 | CMU +9.5 | AKR W |
| Mar 4, 2021-22 | CMU 56 @ AKR 57 | AKR -13.5 | CMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Michigan
13 games played
Straight up
2-11
15% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @ NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ WIS | L 61-88 | +26.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs OHIO | L 64-80 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs TOL | L 75-78 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−0.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−9.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
+4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−3.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−7.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
−5.5
over 5under 8avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Akron
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs EMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | @ M-OH | L 73-76 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
3
@M-OH
M-OHL 73-76
−28.5
over 8under 4avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Michigan
2-11 overall · 0-3 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Toledo75–78
- Lvs Ohio64–80
- L@ Wisconsin61–88
- L@ N Illinois73–74
- L@ Stony Brook55–78
3 days since their last game.
Akron
8-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami OH73–76
- Wvs E Michigan93–72
- Lvs Murray St100–115
- W@ Tulane88–71
- Wvs Bucknell97–77
3 days since their last game.