Millett Hall · at Miami OH · Conference game
Closing line
AKR -4.5✓ M-OH covered by 7.5
AKR -4.5✓ M-OH covered by 7.5Closing total177.5Under by 28.5
| AKR | This season | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| 8-3 | Record | 11-0 |
| 8-3 | ATS | 8-3 |
| 8-3 | O/U | 9-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AKR 91–86 M-OH · ✗ AKR (66%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 36 | 37 | 73 |
| M-OH | 33 | 43 | 76 |
1st half: AKR 36, M-OH 33 (AKR by 3). The model had AKR by 3.0 and a total of 82.5 (actual 69).
Team stats
| AKR | M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-64 44% | Field goals | 20-53 38% |
| 8-32 25% | 3-pointers | 11-35 31% |
| 9-10 90% | Free throws | 25-30 83% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| AKR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson G | 36 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 8-18 | 2-8 |
| Amani Lyles F | 30 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Evan Mahaffey F | 26 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Sharron Young G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Zach Halligan F | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shammah Scott G | 31 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Eric Mahaffey G | 31 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bowen Hardman G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Tai Perkins, Ognjen Stankovic, Josh Henderson, Conner Groce, Rich Brisco, Cody Head, Chabi Barre
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eian Elmer G | 37 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Peter Suder G | 37 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Brant Byers F | 34 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 6-10 | 3-7 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 32 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-7 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 25 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Trey Perry G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Justin Kirby G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Leshawn Stowers, Brady Ganley, Ethan Wright, Blake Anderson, Jackson Kotecki, Evan Ipsaro, Eli Yofan
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAKR -4.5
ModelAKR -4.8
Model edgeAKR +0.3
L M-OH covered
Total
Market177.5
Model176.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
W Under
Projected score
AKR 90.6 · M-OH 85.8
AKR 73 · M-OH 76
Win probability
AKR 66%
1st half
Spread
AKR -3.0
AKR -3.0
Total
82.5
69 points
Projected score
AKR 42.8 · M-OH 39.8
AKR 36 · M-OH 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAKR -2.5
2 → AKR
CloseAKR -4.5
2 pts toward AKR
Total
Open177.5
no move
Close177.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
AKR -192 · M-OH +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AKR -2.5 · closed AKR -4.5 · moved 2 toward AKRmodel AKR -5
model AKR -5
Opened 177.5 · unchangedmodel 176.5
model 176.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKR | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
AKR 6–1 M-OHAKR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · AKR has won the last 3 meetings · AKR 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | M-OH 74 vs AKR 76 | AKR -6.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | M-OH 75 @ AKR 102 | AKR -7.5 | AKR W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | M-OH 63 vs AKR 75 | AKR -8.5 | AKR W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | AKR 68 @ M-OH 70 | M-OH +7.5 | M-OH W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | M-OH 68 @ AKR 73 | AKR -14.5 | M-OH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Akron
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
8-3
73% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-3
73% overs · avg +13.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JMU | W 85-71 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs PRIN | W 104-69 | -13.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 16 | @ PUR | L 79-97 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 21 | vs IONA | W 96-75 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs EVAN | W 97-59 | -11.5 | W +26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs YALE | L 94-97 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs MILW | W 105-81 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 3 | vs BUCK | W 97-77 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | @ TULN | W 88-71 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs MUR | L 100-115 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 19 | vs EMU | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+5.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+21.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+0.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
+9.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
+26.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
−4.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+11.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
−3.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
+10.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
−19.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 3avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJMU
JMUW 85-71
+2.5
8
vsPRIN
PRINW 104-69
+16.5
16
@PUR
PURL 79-97
+12.5
21
vsIONA
IONAW 96-75
−2.5
23
vsEVAN
EVANW 97-59
−0.5
24
vsYALE
YALEL 94-97
+34.5
29
vsMILW
MILWW 105-81
+19.5
3
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-77
+16.5
6
@TULN
TULNW 88-71
−3.5
13
vsMUR
MURL 100-115
+46.5
19
vsEMU
EMUW 93-72
+9.5
over 8under 3avg +13.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami OH
11 games played
Straight up
11-0
100% wins
Against the spread
8-3
73% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-2
82% overs · avg +11.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
covered 8didn’t cover 3avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
over 9under 2avg +11.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Akron
8-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Michigan93–72
- Lvs Murray St100–115
- W@ Tulane88–71
- Wvs Bucknell97–77
- Wvs Milwaukee105–81
A week or more of rest.
Miami OH
11-0 overall · 2-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bowling Green93–83
- W@ Ball State86–77
- W@ Wright St83–76
- W@ E Kentucky79–69
- W@ UNC Asheville90–87
4 days since their last game.