Convocation Center (OH) · at Ohio · Conference game
Closing line
BGSU -1.5✓ BGSU covered by 8.5
BGSU -1.5✓ BGSU covered by 8.5Closing total153.5Under by 27.5
| BGSU | This season | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 4-6 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 2-7 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BGSU 77–77 OHIO · ✓ BGSU (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | 42 | 26 | 68 |
| OHIO | 29 | 29 | 58 |
1st half: BGSU 42, OHIO 29 (BGSU by 13). The model had BGSU by 0.3 and a total of 72.4 (actual 71).
Team stats
| BGSU | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-53 42% | Field goals | 17-46 37% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 5-28 18% |
| 19-23 83% | Free throws | 19-30 63% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 6 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 24 | Fouls | 20 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| BGSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Towns F | 39 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Javontae Campbell G | 37 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 4-13 | 0-1 |
| Justin Thomas G | 34 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Javon Ruffin G | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Troy Glover II F | 17 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Makhi Leach G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Shackelford G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Camden Karel F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Aiden Goins F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Mayar Wol F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Preston Squire F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jason Kimbrough, Alijah Adem, Mohamed Maxamud, Christian Dedivanaj, Jaxon Pardon, Greg Spurgin
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 38 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-4 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 36 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-11 | 0-8 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 30 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| JJ Kelly G | 25 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Javan Simmons F | 21 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Breath F | 19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Dior Conners G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Chase Boals, Jesse Burris, Ayden Evans, Zay Mosley, Carter Reese, Jordan Fisher
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBGSU -1.5
ModelBGSU -0.2
Model edgeOHIO +1.3
L BGSU covered
Total
Market153.5
Model154.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
L Under
Projected score
BGSU 77.4 · OHIO 77.2
BGSU 68 · OHIO 58
Win probability
BGSU 51%
1st half
Spread
BGSU -0.3
BGSU -13.0
Total
72.4
71 points
Projected score
BGSU 36.3 · OHIO 36
BGSU 42 · OHIO 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOHIO -1.5
3 → BGSU
CloseBGSU -1.5
3 pts toward BGSU
Total
Open150.5
▲ 3
Close153.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
BGSU -130 · OHIO +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OHIO -1.5 · closed BGSU -1.5 · moved 3 toward BGSUmodel BGSU -0
model BGSU -0
Opened 150.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSUlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% | 2-7 22% |
| OHIO | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
BGSU 3–4 OHIOOHIO leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · OHIO has won the last 2 meetings · BGSU 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | OHIO 86 @ BGSU 81 | BGSU +4.5 | OHIO W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | BGSU 59 @ OHIO 66 | OHIO -8.5 | BGSU W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | OHIO 78 @ BGSU 83 | BGSU -0.5 | BGSU W |
| Mar 3, 2022-23 | BGSU 58 @ OHIO 92 | OHIO -9.5 | OHIO W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | OHIO 79 @ BGSU 88 | BGSU +3.5 | BGSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bowling Green
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +6.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TXST | W 83-48 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEM | W 83-60 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | @ DAV | L 87-91 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 19 | vs W&M | L 74-82 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUCK | W 71-66 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs VMI | W 81-48 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 1 | @ KSU | W 82-66 | +12.5 | W +28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVU | L 71-82 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs CHST | W 76-55 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
+29.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
+11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+0.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−16.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−5.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
+21.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
+28.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
−9.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
−15.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
−11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+33.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−11.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−7.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
−19.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
−11.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
+8.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−17.5
over 2under 7avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs MRSH | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs SBU | W 88-83 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+3.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+11.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+20.5
over 6under 4avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bowling Green
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Chicago St76–55
- Lvs Utah Valley71–82
- W@ Kansas St82–66
- Wvs VMI81–48
- Wvs Bucknell71–66
4 days since their last game.
Ohio
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs St Bonaventure88–83
- Wvs Marshall88–81
- Wvs Maine79–57
- Lvs LMU58–70
- Lvs George Mason69–92
A week or more of rest.