Canisius Golden Griffins at Siena Saints: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Dec 7, 2:00 PM ETMVP Arena · at Siena · Conference game

#359CANCanisius52final

Final

#260SIESiena74▲ winner

Closing lineSIE -17.5✓ SIE covered by 4.5

Closing total131.5Under by 5.5

Season records: Canisius and Siena
CAN	This season	SIE
3-5	Record	8-2
3-5	ATS	6-4
2-6	O/U	3-7

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: CAN 57–76 SIE · ✓ SIE (96%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
CAN	23	29	52
SIE	41	33	74

1st half: CAN 23, SIE 41 (SIE by 18). The model had SIE by 11.6 and a total of 62.3 (actual 64).

Team stats

CAN		SIE
17-54 31%	Field goals	26-59 44%
4-20 20%	3-pointers	11-33 33%
14-19 74%	Free throws	11-18 61%
39 12 off	Rebounds	38 10 off
7	Assists	20
2	Steals	6
0	Blocks	7
14	Turnovers	6
14	Fouls	13
24	Points in paint	26
0	Fast-break points	17

Players

CAN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kahlil Singleton G	30	3	2	0	1-10	1-7
Mike Evbagharu G	30	10	17	2	4-15	0-1
Bryan Ndjonga F	27	3	2	0	0-1	0-1
Javantae Edwards G	24	12	1	0	4-5	1-2
Myles Wilmoth F	17	2	2	0	0-3	0-2
Bench
Brendan Oliver F	19	9	4	0	2-6	1-3
Chris Kumu G	18	5	2	1	2-7	1-3
Max Jusianiec G	13	2	1	3	1-1	0-0
Andreo Ash F	7	2	0	0	1-2	0-0
Evan van der Plas F	5	4	2	0	2-3	0-1
Nicco DiGiulio G	3	0	1	1	0-0	0-0
Zach Christian G	3	0	1	0	0-1	0-0
Trevor Augustine G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
King Ijeoma F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Anthony Benard, Marcus Niblack

SIE	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Justice Shoats G	33	10	2	7	4-9	0-2
Gavin Doty G	27	8	7	3	3-7	2-4
Brendan Coyle G	26	9	2	2	3-11	3-11
Antonio Chandler F	25	16	12	0	6-10	0-1
Tasman Goodrick F	19	6	6	4	3-4	0-0
Bench
Isaiah Henderson G	21	10	1	1	2-7	2-7
Christian Jones G	20	12	1	2	4-6	4-6
Francis Folefac F	16	3	3	1	1-2	0-0
Chris Torres G	4	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
Danny Murray G	3	0	0	0	0-1	0-1
Cooper Nadler G	3	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Mosi Clayton G	3	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Owen Schlager, Tajae Jones, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme, Riley Mulvey

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	SIE -17.5	SIE -19.6	SIE +2.1	W SIE covered
Total	131.5	132.8	Over 1.3	L Under
Projected score	—	CAN 56.6 · SIE 76.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SIE -11.6	SIE -18.0
1H total	62.3	64
1H projected score	CAN 25.3 · SIE 36.9	CAN 23 · SIE 41

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CAN LLWLL	3-5	38%	1-3	2-4
SIE LWWLW	6-4	60%	2-2	5-4

Venue/role: CAN away, as underdog; SIE home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
CAN UUOUU	2-6	25%	3-5
SIE OUUUO	3-7	30%	8-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CANlast 8	3-5 38%	3-5 38%	2-6 25%
SIE	8-2 80%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22

CAN 5–3 SIECAN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CAN 5-3 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 23, 2024-25	CAN 93 @ SIE 88	SIE -11.5	CAN W
Dec 8, 2024-25	SIE 66 @ CAN 53	CAN +4.5	SIE W
Feb 18, 2023-24	CAN 73 @ SIE 64	SIE +5.5	CAN W
Jan 12, 2023-24	SIE 63 @ CAN 67	CAN -8.5	SIE W
Jan 15, 2022-23	SIE 62 @ CAN 66	CAN +4.5	CAN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Canisius

8 games played

Straight up

3-5

38% wins

Against the spread

3-5

38% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-6

25% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-538%

L L W L W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-538%

L W W L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-625%

U O U U U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@DAY	L 48-88	+25.5	L −14.5	142.5	U 136
Nov 8	@SBU	L 70-89	+21.5	W +2.5	136.5	O 159
Nov 12	vsMERC	W 58-55	+1.5	W +4.5	135.5	U 113
Nov 17	@HPU	L 50-93	+23.5	L −19.5	152.5	U 143
Nov 21	vsUMES	W 60-57	-3.5	L −0.5	128.5	U 117
Nov 23	vsBING	W 75-66	-2.5	W +6.5	129.5	O 141
Nov 29	vsBUF	L 53-71	+9.5	L −8.5	139.5	U 124
Dec 5	@SPU	L 57-69	+9.5	L −2.5	129.5	U 126

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DAY

L 48-88

−14.5

SBU

L 70-89

+2.5

MERC

W 58-55

+4.5

HPU

L 50-93

−19.5

UMES

W 60-57

−0.5

BING

W 75-66

+6.5

BUF

L 53-71

−8.5

SPU

L 57-69

−2.5

covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DAY

L 48-88

−6.5

SBU

L 70-89

+22.5

MERC

W 58-55

−22.5

HPU

L 50-93

−9.5

UMES

W 60-57

−11.5

BING

W 75-66

+11.5

BUF

L 53-71

−15.5

SPU

L 57-69

−3.5

over 2under 6avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Siena

10 games played

Straight up

8-2

80% wins

Against the spread

6-4

60% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-7

30% overs · avg −7.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-280%

W W L L W W W W W W

6 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

6-460%

W W W L L L W W L W

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-730%

U U O U U O U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsBRY	W 82-66	-13.5	W +2.5	148.5	U 148
Nov 7	@BRWN	W 62-46	-3.5	W +12.5	142.5	U 108
Nov 12	@SBU	L 66-75	+9.5	W +0.5	140.5	O 141
Nov 17	vsCOLG	L 69-72	-6.5	L −9.5	146.5	U 141
Nov 21	vsUALB	W 73-63	-10.5	L −0.5	140.5	U 136
Nov 24	@HC	W 73-69	-9.5	L −5.5	137.5	O 142
Nov 28	vsLONG	W 70-63	-5.5	W +1.5	145.5	U 133
Nov 29	@AMER	W 59-55	-2.5	W +1.5	137.5	U 114
Nov 30	vsME	W 64-60	-9.5	L −5.5	127.5	U 124
Dec 5	vsNIA	W 83-54	-12.5	W +16.5	129.5	O 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BRY

W 82-66

+2.5

BRWN

W 62-46

+12.5

SBU

L 66-75

+0.5

COLG

L 69-72

−9.5

UALB

W 73-63

−0.5

W 73-69

−5.5

LONG

W 70-63

+1.5

AMER

W 59-55

+1.5

W 64-60

−5.5

NIA

W 83-54

+16.5

covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BRY

W 82-66

−0.5

BRWN

W 62-46

−34.5

SBU

L 66-75

+0.5

COLG

L 69-72

−5.5

UALB

W 73-63

−4.5

W 73-69

+4.5

LONG

W 70-63

−12.5

AMER

W 59-55

−23.5

W 64-60

−3.5

NIA

W 83-54

+7.5

over 3under 7avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Canisius @ Siena

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Canisius

Siena

Canisius

Siena