McCamish Pavilion · at Georgia Tech
Closing line
GT -6.5✓ GT covered by 4.5
GT -6.5✓ GT covered by 4.5Closing total141.5Over by 21.5
 MRST | This season | GT |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 6-4 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 3-7 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRST 64–70 GT · ✓ GT (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 36 | 40 | 76 |
| GT | 44 | 43 | 87 |
1st half: MRST 36, GT 44 (GT by 8). The model had GT by 3.3 and a total of 63.1 (actual 80).
Team stats
| MRST | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 33-57 58% |
| 13-27 48% | 3-pointers | 8-11 73% |
| 7-14 50% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 26 12 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 21 | Assists | 21 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Lewis G | 32 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 8-16 | 2-4 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 28 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 0-6 | 0-1 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 22 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Justin Menard G | 22 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Jason Schofield C | 20 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 32 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Tarik Watson C | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Myles Parker F | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Ricky McKenzie G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Gabriel C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trace Salton F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Parby Kabamba F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Antoni Vlogianitis G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Martin Kawa
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Washington G | 34 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 4-12 | 1-1 |
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. F | 33 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 6-12 | 3-5 |
| Akai Fleming G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Mouhamed Sylla C | 25 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Kam Craft G | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chas Kelley III G | 25 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Davi Remagen G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cole Kirouac C | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Peyton Marshall C | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Eric Chatfield Jr. F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dyllan Thompson, Brandon Stores Jr., Baye Ndongo, Jaeden Mustaf
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGT -6.5
ModelGT -5.7
Model edgeMRST +0.8
L GT covered
Total
Market141.5
Model134.6
Model edgeUnder 6.9
L Over
Projected score
MRST 64.4 · GT 70.1
MRST 76 · GT 87
Win probability
GT 69%
1st half
Spread
GT -3.3
GT -8.0
Total
63.1
80 points
Projected score
MRST 29.9 · GT 33.2
MRST 36 · GT 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGT -6.5
no move
CloseGT -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open136.5
▲ 5
Close141.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
MRST +240 · GT -298
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GT -6.5 · unchangedmodel GT -5.5
model GT -5.5
Opened 136.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 5 upmodel 134.5
model 134.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSTlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
| GT | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marist
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +5.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ XAV | L 62-66 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 9 | @ DART | W 75-56 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs HARV | L 54-56 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARMY | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs LEH | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 5 | vs MSM | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | vs MAN | W 80-68 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ BRY | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+4.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+7.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+24.5
over 4under 4avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia Tech
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UMES | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vsBRY | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs SELA | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UGA | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs GASO | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs WGA | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs DEP | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs DRKE | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs MSST | L 73-85 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONM | W 79-67 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−24.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
+13.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−4.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+10.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−8.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
−2.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−12.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
−14.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
−10.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−31.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
−19.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−3.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+23.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−30.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
+3.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−11.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
+20.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
+7.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
over 5under 5avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marist
6-2 overall · 2-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bryant82–74
- Wvs Manhattan80–68
- Wvs Mount St Marys64–56
- Wvs Lehigh78–55
- Wvs Army76–65
3 days since their last game.
Georgia Tech
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Monmouth79–67
- Lvs Mississippi St73–85
- Lvs Drake74–84
- Lvs DePaul61–75
- Wvs West Georgia82–66
A week or more of rest.