Mercyhurst Athletic Center · at Mercyhurst · Conference game
Closing line
MERC -3.5✓ WAG covered by 6.5
MERC -3.5✓ WAG covered by 6.5Closing total133.5Over by 29.5
 WAG | This season | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| 6-16 | Record | 11-14 |
| 11-11 | ATS | 16-8 |
| 13-9 | O/U | 10-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WAG 65–71 MERC · ✗ MERC (70%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 35 | 35 | 13 | 83 |
| MERC | 26 | 44 | 10 | 80 |
1st half: WAG 35, MERC 26 (WAG by 9). The model had MERC by 3.4 and a total of 63.5 (actual 61).
Team stats
| WAG | MERC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-58 45% | Field goals | 28-63 44% |
| 7-17 41% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 24-30 80% | Free throws | 17-27 63% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 33 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 21 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| WAG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Jones G | 39 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 5-14 | 2-5 |
| Travis Gray G | 34 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| John Awoke G | 34 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Bin Basil F | 32 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bryan Akanmu F | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eddie Placer G | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Michael Cooper G | 25 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Makhai Anderson G | 17 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Huascar Cuevas, Elijah Brown, Sam Smith, Jaden Baker, Zavier Fitch
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qadir Martin F | 39 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 38 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 7-16 | 3-6 |
| Jake Lemelman G | 36 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 10-19 | 4-9 |
| Christian Gamble G | 30 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 19 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sean Lang G | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| James Thomas F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Or Faran, Chris Leman, Brady Conner, Vladimir Pavlovic, Emilis Butkus
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMERC -3.5
ModelMERC -6.0
Model edgeMERC +2.5
L WAG covered
Total
Market133.5
Model135.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
W Over
Projected score
WAG 64.8 · MERC 70.7
WAG 83 · MERC 80
Win probability
MERC 70%
1st half
Spread
MERC -3.4
WAG -9.0
Total
63.5
61 points
Projected score
WAG 30 · MERC 33.5
WAG 35 · MERC 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMERC -5.5
2 → WAG
CloseMERC -3.5
2 pts toward WAG
Total
Open132.5
▲ 1
Close133.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WAG +160 · MERC -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MERC -5.5 · closed MERC -3.5 · moved 2 toward WAGmodel MERC -6
model MERC -6
Opened 132.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 1 upmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAG | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| MERC | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WAG 0–3 MERCMERC leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MERC has won the last 3 meetings · WAG 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | MERC 70 @ WAG 69 | WAG -1.5 | MERC W |
| Jan 24, 2024-25 | WAG 66 @ MERC 71 | MERC +1.5 | MERC W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | MERC 69 @ WAG 65 | WAG -5.5 | MERC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wagner
22 games played
Straight up
6-16
27% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VCU | L 74-103 | +25.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | @ HALL | L 61-68 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 11 | @ FOR | L 61-63 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 16 | @ UMBC | L 70-71 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 22 | @ GTWN | L 75-92 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 26 | @ MAN | W 103-101 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ MD | L 63-89 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs UMES | W 78-64 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 2 | @ CHST | W 79-72 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 4 | vs STO | L 60-69 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | vs SFPA | L 69-71 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | vsMERC | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | @ NHVN | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @ FDU | L 61-68 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 23 | @ LEM | L 67-69 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 29 | vs CCSU | L 55-62 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 31 | vsFDU | W 75-72 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 5 | vsLEM | W 79-78 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @CCSU | L 67-84 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 12 | vs LIU | L 57-67 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @STO | W 68-57 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 16 | @LIU | L 65-83 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
−3.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
+14.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
+10.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+5.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+8.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+4.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
−3.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+9.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+5.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−16.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−9.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
−2.5
17
@NHVN
NHVNL 74-80
−4.5
19
@FDU
FDUL 61-68
−4.5
23
@LEM
LEML 67-69
+5.5
29
vsCCSU
CCSUL 55-62
−4.5
31
vsFDU
FDUW 75-72
+1.5
5
vsLEM
LEMW 79-78
+2.5
7
@CCSU
CCSUL 67-84
−11.5
12
vsLIU
LIUL 57-67
−3.5
14
@STO
STOW 68-57
+14.5
16
@LIU
LIUL 65-83
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VCU
VCUL 74-103
+43.5
7
@HALL
HALLL 61-68
−5.5
11
@FOR
FORL 61-63
−15.5
16
@UMBC
UMBCL 70-71
+0.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 75-92
+26.5
26
@MAN
MANW 103-101
+59.5
2
@MD
MDL 63-89
+8.5
17
vsUMES
UMESW 78-64
+10.5
2
@CHST
CHSTW 79-72
+4.5
4
vsSTO
STOL 60-69
−10.5
8
vsSFPA
SFPAL 69-71
−4.5
10
vsMERC
MERCL 69-70
+6.5
17
@NHVN
NHVNL 74-80
+24.5
19
@FDU
FDUL 61-68
−8.5
23
@LEM
LEML 67-69
−7.5
29
vsCCSU
CCSUL 55-62
−19.5
31
vsFDU
FDUW 75-72
+13.5
5
vsLEM
LEMW 79-78
+18.5
7
@CCSU
CCSUL 67-84
+14.5
12
vsLIU
LIUL 57-67
−11.5
14
@STO
STOW 68-57
−3.5
16
@LIU
LIUL 65-83
+9.5
over 13under 9avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercyhurst
25 games played
Straight up
11-14
44% wins
Against the spread
16-8
67% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NU | L 47-70 | +26.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 6 | @ LUC | W 73-65 | +21.5 | W +29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ CAN | L 55-58 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 15 | vs MORG | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ M-OH | L 71-76 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | @ MRSH | L 60-69 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | @ WVU | L 38-70 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 5 | @ LAF | L 71-79 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ DAV | L 47-80 | +11.5 | L −21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 17 | @ SYR | L 62-76 | +24.5 | W +10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs BING | W 82-61 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 132.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 2 | vsFDU | L 67-74 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsLEM | W 74-60 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 8 | @LIU | L 58-60 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 10 | @WAG | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 132.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsSTO | L 57-62 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | vsCCSU | W 79-61 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | @NHVN | W 61-57 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 122.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 25 | vsCHST | W 61-59 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsNHVN | W 70-51 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 122.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 31 | @CHST | L 74-78 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 129.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | vsSFPA | W 98-89 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 7 | @FDU | L 52-55 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 12 | @LEM | L 57-58 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 14 | @SFPA | W 94-79 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
+3.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
+29.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−4.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+7.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+10.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
+2.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−10.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−21.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+10.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+13.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
−12.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
+11.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
+6.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+2.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+16.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
+2.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−7.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
+13.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
−6.5
5
vsSFPA
SFPAW 98-89
+2.5
7
@FDU
FDUL 52-55
−0.5
12
@LEM
LEML 57-58
+1.5
14
@SFPA
SFPAW 94-79
+12.5
covered 16didn’t cover 8avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NU
NUL 47-70
−23.5
6
@LUC
LUCW 73-65
−6.5
12
@CAN
CANL 55-58
−22.5
15
vsMORG
MORGW 86-72
+11.5
20
@M-OH
M-OHL 71-76
+7.5
23
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-69
−18.5
30
@WVU
WVUL 38-70
−19.5
13
@DAV
DAVL 47-80
−5.5
17
@SYR
SYRL 62-76
+6.5
20
vsBING
BINGW 82-61
+10.5
2
vsFDU
FDUL 67-74
+7.5
4
vsLEM
LEMW 74-60
−7.5
8
@LIU
LIUL 58-60
−21.5
10
@WAG
WAGW 70-69
+6.5
17
vsSTO
STOL 57-62
−9.5
19
vsCCSU
CCSUW 79-61
+7.5
23
@NHVN
NHVNW 61-57
−4.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 61-59
−11.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 70-51
−1.5
31
@CHST
CHSTL 74-78
+22.5
5
vsSFPA
SFPAW 98-89
+49.5
7
@FDU
FDUL 52-55
−24.5
12
@LEM
LEML 57-58
−23.5
14
@SFPA
SFPAW 94-79
+34.5
over 10under 14avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wagner
6-16 overall · 4-10 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Long Island65–83
- W@ Stonehill68–57
- Lvs Long Island57–67
- L@ C Connecticut67–84
- Wvs Le Moyne79–78
3 days since their last game.
Mercyhurst
11-14 overall · 8-6 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Saint Francis Red Wolves94–79
- L@ Le Moyne57–58
- L@ FDU52–55
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves98–89
- L@ Chicago St74–78
5 days since their last game.